Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Migrants and market potential in Spain over the twentieth century: a test of the new economic geography

  • Regular Article
  • Published:
Spanish Economic Review

Abstract

In this paper, we offer a structural contrast of a new economic geography model in Spain over three different periods: the 1920s, the 1960s, and the early years of the 21st century. In line with Crozet (J Econ Geogr 4:439–458, 2004), we analyse the possible existence of a forward effect, i.e. the existence of a relationship between the workers’ localisation decisions and the market potential of the regions. Our results show that this model provides a good explanation of migrant behaviour in Spain throughout the 20th century. Moreover, the changes in the parameters estimated are consistent with a change in the migratory model and reflect the tendency towards a spatial redispersion of economic activity in recent decades.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Antolín P, Bover O (1997) Regional migration in Spain: the effect of personal characteristics and of unemployment, wage and house price differentials using pooled cross-sections. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 59: 215–235

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bentolila S (2001) Las migraciones interiores en España. FEDEA, Documento de Trabajo, 2001–2007

  • Bentolila S, Blanchard O (1990) Spanish unemployment. Econ Policy 10: 233–265

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bentolila S, Dolado JJ (1991) Mismatch and internal migration in Spain. In: Padoa F (eds) Mismatch and labour mobility. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, , pp 182–236

    Google Scholar 

  • Betrán C (1999) Difusión y localización industrial en España durante el primer tercio del siglo XX. Revista de Historia Económica 3: 663–696

    Google Scholar 

  • Bover O, Velilla P (1999) Migration in Spain: historical background and current trends. IZA Discussion Paper 88

  • Bover O, Arellano M (2002) Learning about migration decisions from the migrants: using complementary datasets to model intra-regional migrations in Spain. J Popul Econ 15: 357–380

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brakman S, Garretsen H, Schramm M (2004) The strategic bombing of German cities during WWII and its impact on city growth. J Econ Geogr 4: 201–218

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ciccone A (2002) Agglomeration effects in Europe. Eur Econ Rev 46: 213–227

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clark EC, Herrin WE, Knapp TA, White NE (2003) Migration and implicit amenity markets: does incomplete compensation matter?. J Econ Geogr 3: 289–307

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Combes PP, Mayer T, Thisse JF (2006) Économie géographique. Economica, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Crozet M (2004) Do migrants follow market potentials? an estimation of a new economic geography model. J Econ Geogr 4: 439–458

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis D, Weinstein D (2002) Bones, bombs, and break points: the geography of economic activity. Am Econ Rev 5(22): 1269–1289

    Google Scholar 

  • De la Fuente A (1999) La dinámica territorial de la población española: un panorama y algunos resultados provisionales. Revista de Economía Aplicada 8: 53–108

    Google Scholar 

  • Dirección General de Estadística (1922) Censo de la población española. Año 1920

  • Dirección General del Instituto Geográfico, Catastral y Estadístico (1932) Censo de la Población de España. Año 1930

  • Erdozáin P, Mikelarena F (1996) Algunas consideraciones acerca de la evolución de la población rural en España en el siglo XIX. Noticiario de Historia Agraria 12: 91–118

    Google Scholar 

  • Fujita M, Krugman P, Venables AJ (1999) The spatial economy: cities, regions and international trade. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Fujita M, Mori T (2005) Frontiers of the new economic geography. Papers Reg Sci 84: 377–405

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • García-Coll A, Stillwell J (1999) Inter-Provincial migration in Spain: temporal trends and age-specific patterns. Int J Popul Geogr 5: 97–115

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • García-Coll A (2005) Migraciones interiores y transformaciones territoriales. Papeles de Economía Española 104: 76–91

    Google Scholar 

  • García Ferrer A (1979) Migraciones internas, crecimiento del empleo y diferencias interregionales de salarios en España. CSIC, Madrid

  • Greenwood MJ (1997) Internal migration in developed countries. In: Rosenzwig MR, Stark O (eds) Handbook of population and family economics 1B. Elsevier Science, Amsterdam, pp 647–719

  • Hanson GH (2005) Market potential, increasing returns, and geographic concentration. J Int Econ 67: 1–24

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Head K, Ries J (2001) Increasing returns versus national product differentiation as an explanation for the patterns of US Canada trade. Am Econ Rev 91: 858–876

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Helpman E (1998) The size of regions. In: Pinesines D, Sadkaadka E, Zilchailcha I (eds) Topics in public economics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, , pp 33–54

    Google Scholar 

  • Instituto Nacional de Estadística (1973) Censo de la Población de España. Año 1970

  • Instituto Nacional de Estadística. Several years. Estadística de Variaciones Residenciales

  • Kancs DA (2005) Can we use NEG models to predict migration flows? An example of CEE accession countries. Migr Lett 2: 32–63

    Google Scholar 

  • Kim S (2005) Expansion of markets and the geographic distribution of economic activities: the trends in US regional manufacturing structure, 1860–1987. Q J Econ 110: 881–908

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krugman P (1991) Increasing returns and economic geography. J Polit Econ 99: 483–499

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krugman P, Venables AJ (1995) Globalization and the inequality of nations. Q J Econ 110: 857–880

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lanaspa L, Perdiguero AM, Sanz F (2004) La distribución del tamaño de las ciudades. El caso de España (1900–1999). Revista de Economía Aplicada 34:5–16

  • McFadden D (1974) Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior. In: Zarembka P (eds) Frontiers in econometrics. Academic Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Martinez J, Paluzie E, Pons J, Tirado DA (2008) Agglomeration and labour productivity in Spain over the long term. Cliometrica 3: 195–212

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mueser PR, Graves PE (1995) Examining the role of economic opportunity and amenities in explaining population redistribution. J Urban Econ 37: 176–200

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nadal J (1985) Catalunya, la fàbrica d’Espanya. In: Nadal J, Maluquer de Motes J (eds) Catalunya la fàbrica d’Espanya. Cent anys d’industrialització catalana. Ajuntament de Barcelona, Barcelona

  • Olano A (1990) Las migraciones interiores en fase de dispersión. Revista de Economía y Sociología del Trabajo 8–9: 86–97

    Google Scholar 

  • Ortega JA, Silvestre J (2006) Las consecuencias demográficas. In: Martín Aceña P, Martínez Ruiz E (eds) La economía de la guerra civil. Marcial Pons, Madrid, , pp 53–105

    Google Scholar 

  • Ottaviano GIP, Tabuchi T, Thisse JF (2002) Agglomeration and trade revisited. Int Econ Rev 43: 409–436

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paluzie E, Pons J, Tirado DA (2001) Regional integration and specialization patterns in Spain. Reg Stud 35: 285–296

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paluzie E, Pons J, Tirado DA (2004) The geographical concentration of industry across Spanish regions, 1856–1995. Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft 24: 143–160

    Google Scholar 

  • Pflüger M (2004) A simple, analytically solvable, chamberlinian agglomeration model. Reg Sci Urban Econ 34: 565–573

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Picard P, Zeng DZ (2005) Agricultural sector and industrial agglomeration. J Dev Econ 77: 75–106

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pons J, Paluzie E, Silvestre J, Tirado DA (2007) Testing the new economic geography: migrations and industrial agglomerations in Spain. J Reg Sci 47: 289–313

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ródenas C (1994a) Emigración y economía en España (1960–1990). Civitas, Madrid

  • Ródenas C (1994b) Migraciones interregionales en España (1960–1989): cambios y barreras. Revista de Economía Aplicada 2:5–36

  • Ródenas C, Martí M (1997) Son bajos los flujos migratorios en España?. Revista de Economía Aplicada 6: 155–171

    Google Scholar 

  • Ródenas C, Martí M (2005a) El nuevo mapa de las migraciones interiores en España: los cambios en el patrón de los sesenta. Investigaciones Regionales 6: 21–40

    Google Scholar 

  • Ródenas C, Martí, M (2005b) Migraciones: qué describen el censo de 2001 y la estadística de variaciones residenciales. Paper presented at the VI Jornadas de Economía Laboral, Alacant

  • Rodríguez Osuna J (1985) Población y territorio en España. Siglos XIX y XX. Espasa-Calpe, Madrid

  • Rosenbloom JL, Sundstrom WA (2004) The decline and rise of interstate migration in the United States: Evidence from the IPUMS, 1850–1900. Res Econ Hist 22: 289–325

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rosés JR (2003) Why isn’t the Whole of Spain Industrialized? New economic geography and early industrialization, 1797–1910. J Econ Hist 64: 995–1022

    Google Scholar 

  • Santillana I (1981) Los determinantes económicos de las migraciones interiores en España, 1960–1973. Cuadernos de Economía IX 25: 381–407

    Google Scholar 

  • Sánchez-Alonso B (1995) Las causas de la emigración española, 1880–1930. Alianza, Madrid

  • Silvestre J (2001) Viajes de corta distancia: una visión espacial de las emigraciones interiores en España, 1877–1930. Revista de Historia Económica 19: 247–286

    Google Scholar 

  • Silvestre J (2005) Internal migrations in Spain, 1877–1930. Eur Rev Econ Hist 9: 233–265

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Silvestre J (2007) Temporary internal migrations in Spain, 1860–1930. Soc Sci Hist 31: 539–574

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tabuchi T, Thisse JF (2002) Taste heterogeneity, labour mobility and economic geography. J Dev Econ 69: 155–177

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tirado DA, Paluzie E, Pons J (2002) Economic integration and industrial location: the case of Spain before World War I. J Eco Geogr 2: 343–363

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tirado DA, Pons J, Paluzie E (2003) Industrial agglomerations and wage gradients: the Spanish economy in the interwar period. Universitat de Barcelona Working Papers 103

  • Williamsom J (1965) Regional inequality and the process of national development: a description of the patterns. Economic Development and Cultural Change VIII 4 Supplement 84

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. CAEPS and Departament de Teoria Econòmica, Universitat de Barcelona, Diagonal 690, 08034, Barcelona, Spain

    Elisenda Paluzie

  2. CAEPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Diagonal 690, 08034, Barcelona, Spain

    Jordi Pons

  3. Dpto. de Historia Económica, Universidad de Zaragoza, C/Gran Via 2, 50005, Zaragoza, Spain

    Javier Silvestre

  4. Dpt. d´Història i Institucions Econòmiques, Universitat de Barcelona, Diagonal 690, 08034, Barcelona, Spain

    Daniel A. Tirado

Authors
  1. Elisenda Paluzie
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Jordi Pons
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Javier Silvestre
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Daniel A. Tirado
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Elisenda Paluzie.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Paluzie, E., Pons, J., Silvestre, J. et al. Migrants and market potential in Spain over the twentieth century: a test of the new economic geography. Span Econ Rev 11, 243–265 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10108-008-9052-8

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10108-008-9052-8

Keywords

JEL Classification

Search

Navigation