Abstract
In order to facilitate the adoption of climate change adaptation and mitigation practices by smallholders, it is essential to understand their perspectives on climate change. However, few empirical studies have considered how smallholders perceive climate change in Central Vietnam. This research investigates the Vietnamese smallholders’ views on the causes and indicators of climate change and factors that affect their perceptions of it in Central Vietnam. A sample size of 170 was drawn from a total of 297 smallholders and a structured questionnaire was developed to collect data. Descriptive, chi-square (χ2) and logistic regression analyses were used. The research results revealed that most smallholders perceived urbanization (93.5%), followed by deforestation (85.3%), air pollution (84.4%) and unappropriated dealing with agricultural wastes (82.4%) are the causes of climate change. A majority of smallholders perceived that excessive lightening (91.2%), followed by change in rainfall season length (90.6%), frequent droughts (90%), change in temperature (88.2%), uneven rainfall distribution (85.9%), rainfall amount (84.1%) and frequent floods (82.9%) are the most noted indicators of climate change. The success of regression model overall prediction is reported by model χ2 = 92.69, p < 0.000, showing that the independent variables significantly explained the dependent variable. Among the independent variables, farming practice, information communication and technology (ICT) owned, community-based organisation participation, gender, type of household, credit programme participation and education level are significantly important determinants of smallholders’ perception on climate change.
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Notes
The Commune is the lowest administrative level of government in Vietnam.
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The author also would like to thank his former student Dinh Thi Le Thu for helping in data collection.
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The author of this research would like to thank Hue University for its financial support in conducting this research.
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Hoang, H.G. Vietnamese smallholders’ perspectives on causes, indicators and determinants of climate change: implication for adaptation strategies. Climatic Change 162, 1127–1142 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02827-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02827-x