Skip to main content
Log in

Development of Cascade Cyclogenesis in the Northwestern Sea of Japan

  • Published:
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The physical mechanisms which led to the explosive consecutive (cascade) cyclogenesis of “the major southern cyclone–the mesocyclone” pair over the Sea of Japan on January 17-21, 2016 are considered. The important role of oceanographic (the thermal state of the northwestern Sea of Japan) and synoptic (the strong cold ultrapolar invasion of Arctic air) factors is demonstrated. The interaction of these factors led to heavy precipitation, storm wind, and intense sea waves. The numerical experiments using the WRF-NMM atmosphere model and various initial conditions for the Sea of Japan surface temperature allowed identifying the driving atmospheric and marine factors needed for the development of cascade cyclogenesis. It is shown that the increased heat accumulation in the sea combined with ultrapolar invasions can initiate the cascade cyclogenesis development. Perhaps, these regional atmospheric and oceanic processes and their interaction response to the climate change of the recent decades.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. L. A. Babenko, “Transformation of Winter Continental Air over the Sea of Japan,” Trudy DVNIGMI, No. 7 (1956) [in Russian].

  2. V. D. Budaeva, Yu. I. Zuenko, and V. G. Makarov, “Structure and Dynamics of Water in the Peter the Great Gulf under Conditions of Strong Summer Desalination (2008-2009),” Trudy DVNIGMI, Anniversary Issue “The 60th Anniversary of FERHRI” (2010) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  3. V. D. Budaeva, V. G. Makarov, L. I. Mezentseva, and Yu. V. Lyubitskii, “Spring Regime of Water in the Peter the Great Gulf (the Sea of Japan) and Its Variability in the Current Decade (2010-2016),” Vestnik DVO RAN, No. 1 (2018) [in Russian].

  4. V. I. Vorob’ev, Synoptic Meteorology (Gidrometeoizdat, Leningrad, 1991) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  5. I. A. Gurvich, Intensive Mesoscale Cyclones over the Far Eastern Seas. Part 1: Structure and Characteristics of Mesoscale Cyclones Derived from Multisensor Satellite Measurements (TOI DVO RAN, Vladivostok, 2017) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  6. I. A. Gurvich and E. V. Zabolotskikh, “Mesoscale Polar Lows over the Eastern Arctic Sector According to Multisensor Satellite Remote Sensing,” Sovremennye Problemy Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli iz Kosmosa, No. 3, 12 (2015) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  7. I. A. Gurvich, L. M. Mitnik, and M. L. Mitnik, “Mesoscale Cyclogenesis over the Far Eastern Seas: The Study Based on Satellite Microwave Radiometer and Radar Data,” Issledovanie Zemli iz Kosmosa, No. 5 (2008) [in Russian].

  8. I. A. Gurvich, L. M. Mitnik, and M. L. Mitnik, “Mesoscale Cyclogenesis over the Sea of Japan on January 7-13, 2009 According to Multisensor Satellite Data,” Issledovanie Zemli iz Kosmosa, No. 3 (2009) [in Russian].

  9. I. A. Gurvich and M. K. Pichugin, “Investigation of Characteristics of Typical Mesoscale Cyclones over the Far Eastern Seas on the Basis of Multisensor Satellite Remote Sensing,” Sovremennye Problemy Distantsionnogo Zondirovaniya Zemli iz Kosmosa, No. 1, 10 (2013) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  10. V. V. Krokhin, A. Yu. Fil, L. I. Evdokimova, M. B. Moiseev, and N. G. Kotovich, “A Technology of Short-range Forecasting of Tropical Cyclones for the Northwest Pacific Basin Based on the HWRF-Ru Regional Model,” Gidrometeorologicheskie Issledovaniya i Prognozy, No. 4 (2018) [in Russian].

  11. A. S. Monin and A. M. Obukhov, “Main Regularities of Turbulent Mixing in the Atmospheric Surface Layer,” Trudy Geofiz. In-ta AN SSSR, No. 24 (1954) [in Russian].

  12. A. A. Nikitin, V. B. Lobanov, and M. A. Danchenko, “Possible Ways of Warm Subtropical Water Transport to the Far Eastern Marine Reserve Area,” Izv. TINRO, No. 131 (2002) [in Russian].

  13. Manual on Short-range Weather Forecasting, Part 2, Issue 5: The Far East, Ed. by N. I. Lisogurskii et al. (Gidrometeoizdat, Leningrad, 1988) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  14. I. N. Rusin and G. G. Tarakanov, Very-short-range Weather Forecasting (Gidrometeoizdat, St. Petersburg, 1996) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  15. E. K. Semenov, N. N. Sokolikhina, I. I. Leonov, and E. V. Sokolikhina, “Atmospheric Circulation over Central European Russia during Freezing Rain in December 2010,” Meteorol. Gidrol., No. 5 (2018) [in Russian].

  16. Current State and Trends in the Nature Environment of the Peter the Great Gulf (the Sea of Japan), Ed. by V. A. Akulichev (GEOS, Moscow, 2008) [in Russian].

  17. S. Businger and R. J. Reed, “Cyclogenesis in Cold Air Masses,” Weather and Forecasting, 2 (1989).

  18. Daily 50m Temperatures, http://www.data.jma.go.jp/kaiyou/data/db/kaikyo/daily/tlOO_HQ.html.

  19. C. E. Dorman, R. C. Beardsley, N. A. Dashko, C. A. Friehe, D. Kheilf, K. Cho, R. Limeburner, and S. M. Varlamov, “Winter Marine Atmospheric Conditions over the Sea of Japan,” J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, No. 12, 109 2004).

    Google Scholar 

  20. M. B. Ek, K. E. Mitchell, Y. Lin, E. Rogers, P. Grunmann, V. Koren, G. Gayno, and J. D. Tarpley, “Implementation of NOAH Land Surface Model Advances in the NCEP Observational Mesoscale Eta Model,” J. Geophys. Res., No. D22, 108 2003).

    Google Scholar 

  21. S. B. Fels and M. D. Schwarzkopf, “An Efficient, Accurate Algorithm for Calculating CO2 15 mm Band Cooling Rates,” J. Geophys. Res, 86 (1981).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. B. S. Ferrier, Y. Lin, T. Black, E. Rogers, and G. Mego, “Implementation of a New Grid-scale Cloud and Precipitation Scheme in the NCEP Eta Model,” in Preprints of 15th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, San Antonio, TX (Amer. Meteorol. Soc, 2002).

    Google Scholar 

  23. Fu Gang, Polar Lows: Intense Cyclones in Winter (China Meteorological Press, Beijing, 2001).

    Google Scholar 

  24. P. Gachon, R. Laprise, P. Zwack, and F. J. Saucier, “The Effects of Interactions between Surface Forcings in the Development of a Model-simulated Polar Low in Hudson Bay,” Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, No. 1, 55 (2003).

    Google Scholar 

  25. GHRSST. GHRSST Science Team 2012). The Recommended GHRSST Data Specification (CDS) 2.0, Document Revision 5 (GHRSST International Project Office, 2012), https://www.ghrsst.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/GDS20r5.pdf

  26. Z. I. Janjic, “Comments on “Development and Evaluation of a Convection Scheme for Use in Climate Models”,” J. Atmos. Sci, 57 2000).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. H. Lautensach, Korea: A Geography Based on the Author’s Travels and Literature (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg, New York, London, Paris, Tokyo, 1988).

    Book  Google Scholar 

  28. G. L. Mellor and T. Yamada, “Development of Turbulent Closure Model for Geophysical Fluid Problems,” Rev. Geophys. Space Phys, 20 (1982).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. NESDIS. IMS Daily Northern Hemisphere Snow and Ice Analysis at 1 km, 4 km, and 24 km Resolutions, https://nsidc.org/data/G02156.

  30. K. Ninomiya, “A Meso-scale Low Family Formed over the Northeastern Sea of Japan in the Northwestern Part of a Parent Polar Low,” J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, Ser. II, No. 4, 72 (1994).

    Google Scholar 

  31. K. Ninomiya, “Polar/comma-cloud Lows over the Sea of Japan and the Northwestern Pacific in Winter,” J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, Ser. II, No. 1, 67 (1989).

    Google Scholar 

  32. E. Rasmussen, “A Case Study of a Polar Low Development over the Barents Sea,” Tellus A, 37 (1985).

  33. F. Sanders and J. R. Gyakum, “Synoptic-dynamic Climatology of the “Bomb”,” Mon. Wea. Rev., No. 10, 108 (1980).

    Google Scholar 

  34. The Global Forecast System (GFS): Global Spectral Model Version 13.0.2, https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/GFS/doc.php.

  35. User’s Guide for the NMM Core of the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Modeling System 2013). http://www.dtcenter.org/wrf-nmm/users/docs/userguide/index.php.

  36. J. Yamaguchi, Y. Kanno, G. Chen, and T. Iwasaki, “Cold Air Mass Analysis of the Record-breaking Cold Surge Event over East Asia in January 2016,” J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan., Ser. II, No. 1, 97 2019).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the senior researcher of the FERHRI Division for Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones L.I. Evdokimova for assistance and valuable advice.

Funding

The research was supported by the Roshydromet Special-purpose Research and Development Program as well as in the framework of state assignment No. 0271-2019-0011 of Il’ichev Pacific Oceanological Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences “Development of Physical Basis and Methods for Remote Sensing and Modern Information Technologies for Integrated Studies of the Ocean and Atmosphere.’

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to V. V. Krokhin.

Additional information

Russian Text © The Author(s), 2019, published in Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2019, No. 12, pp. 53-69.

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Krokhin, V.V., Budaeva, V.D., Kotovich, N.G. et al. Development of Cascade Cyclogenesis in the Northwestern Sea of Japan. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 44, 825–836 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373919120057

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373919120057

Keywords

Navigation