Abstract
Defining drought, categorising current droughts, and assessing grassland and rangeland sustainability in a quantitative and scientific manner are important national issues for Australian State and Commonwealth governments, landholders and agribusiness. A challenge for ecologists and modellers of Australia’s grasslands and rangelands is to integrate biological models, geographic information systems, satellite imagery, economics, climatology and visual high-performance computing into readily available products that can provide monitoring and prediction advice in near real-time.
The QDNR systems approach to the management of native grasslands recognises that drought occurs at a regional scale, and that impacts on livestock and natural resources can be forecast using simple models of soil water, plant growth and animal performance Our vision for a comprehensive Australian Grassland and Rangeland Assessment System (Aussie GRASS) is one that consists of the best combination of rainfall analyses, seasonal climate forecasts, satellite and terrestrial monitoring, and simulation models of relevant biological processes. This will provide a rational basis for large-scale management decisions by graziers, extension workers, land resource managers, bureaucrats and politicians. Aussie GRASS products are currently used within the Queensland government for drought declaration assessments and applications for Drought Exceptional Circumstances.
The Aussie GRASS national spatial modelling framework allows agricultural simulation models to be run at a continental scale on a 0.05 degree (~5 km) grid. The simulation model currently in use by the Aussie GRASS project is the GRASP pasture model developed for tropical native pastures in Queensland by QDPI and QDNR. In the latest Aussie GRASS project, other regional models are being examined for their applicability to areas such as the southern winter perennial grass zone, chenopod shrublands or the high rainfall temperate zone.
The Queensland version of the Aussie GRASS model is currently used to produce data for a monthly report — A Summary of Seasonal Conditions in Queensland. Model outputs are used in conjunction with recorded and forecast rainfall, satellite imagery, Southern Oscillation Index and current drought declarations to build a comprehensive picture of the current and future seasonal conditions impacting on primary producers. Other numerous outputs from the model can be produced and tailored as required.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Anon. (1969) Report of the inter-departmental committee on scrub and timber regrowth in the Cobar-Byrock district and other areas of the Western Division of N.S.W. Government Printer, Sydney.
Ash, A.J., Mclvor, J.G., Mott, J.J and Andrew, M.H. (1997) Building grass castles: Integrating ecology and management of Australia’s tropical tally-ass rangelands. Rangeland Journal 19, 123–44.
Beadle, N.C.W. (1948) The vegetation and pastures of Western New South Wales with special reference to soil erosion. Department of Conservation of New South Wales, Sydney.
Bisset, W.J. (1962) The black speargrass (Heteropogon contortus) problem of the sheep country in central-western Queensland. Queensland Journal ofAgricultural Science 19, 189–207.
Bowman, P.J., White, D.H., Cayley, J.W.D. and Bird, P.R. (1982) Predicting rates of pasture growth, senescence and decomposition. Proc. Australian Society of Animal Production 14, 36–37.
Brook, K.D. (1996) Development of a national drought alert strategic information system. Volume 1, Research summary. Final report on QPI20 to Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation. Qld. Dept. Natural Resources. pp. 11.
Burrows, W.H. (1995) Greenhouse revisited–land-use change from a Queensland perspective. Climate Change Newsletter 7, 6–7.
Burrows, W.H., Anderson, E.R., Back, P.V. and Hoffmann, M.B. (1997) Regrowth and woody plant thickening/invasion impacts on the land use change and forestry inventory. IPCC Workshop on Biomass Burning, Land-Use Change and Forestry, Rockhampton, Australia.
Burrows, W.H., Carter, J.O. Scanlan, J.C. and Anderson, E.R. (1990) Management of savannas for livestock production in northeast Australia: contrasts across the treegrass continuum. J. Biogeog. 17, 503–12.
Campbell, S.D. (1995) Plant mechanisms that influence the balance between Heteropogon contortus and Aristida ramosa in spring burnt pastures. Unpub. Ph. D. Thesis. University of Queensland, Brisbane.
Carter, J.O. (1994) Acacia nilotica: a tree legume out of control, in R.C. Gutteridge and H.M. Shelton (eds.), Forage Tree Legumes in Tropical Agriculture. CAB International, U. K pp. 338–351.
Carter, J.O., Flood, N.F., Danaher, et al. (1996a). Development of a national drought alert strategic information system. Volume 3, Development of data rasters for model inputs. Final Report on QPI 20 to Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation. Qld. Dept. Natural Resources. pp. 76.
Carter, J.O., Flood, N.F., McKeon, G.M., Peacock, A. and Beswick, A. (19966) Development of a national drought alert strategic information system. Volume 4, Model framework, parameter derivation, model calibration, model validation, model outputs, and web technology. Final Report on QPI 20 to Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation. Qld. Dept. Natural Resources. pp. 42.
Condon, R.W. (1968) Estimation of grazing capacity on arid grazing lands, in G.A. Stewart (ed.), Land Evaluation: Papers of a CSIRO symposium organised in cooperation with UNESCO. CSIRO Division of Land Research, Canberra. pp. 112–124.
Condon, R.W. (1986a) Recovery from catastrophic erosion in western New South Wales, in `Rangelands: A Resource Under Siege’. Proceedings of the Second International Rangeland Congress, Adelaide. p. 39.
Condon, R.W. (1986b) Scrub invasion on semi-arid grazing lands - causes and effects, in Rangelands: A Resource Under Siege’. Proceedings of the Second International Rangeland Congress, Adelaide. p. 40.
Condon, R.W., Newman, JC, and Cunningham, G.M. (1969a) Soil erosion and pasture degeneration in Central Australia. Part I–Soil erosion and degeneration of pastures and topfeeds. Journal of the Soil Conservation Service of New South Wales 25, 47–92.
Condon, R.W., Newman, J.C. and Cunningham, G.M. (1969b) Soil erosion and pasture degeneration in Central Australia. Part II–Prevention and control of soil erosion and pasture degeneration. Journal of the Soil Conservation Service ofNew South Wales 25, 161–82.
Condon, R.W., Newman, J.C. and Cunningham, G.M. (1969c) Soil erosion and pasture degeneration in Central Australia. Part III -The assessment of grazing capacity. Journal of the Soil Conservation Service of New South Wales 25, 225–50.
Condon, R.W., Newman, J.C. and Cunningham, G.M. (1969d) Soil erosion and pasture degeneration in Central Australia. Part IV. Journal of the Soil Conservation Service ofNew South Wales 25, 295–321.
Danaher, T.J., Carter, J.O., Brook, K.D., Peacock, A. and Dudgeon, G.S. (1992) Broad scale vegetation mapping using NOAA-AVHRR imagery. Proceedings of the Sixth Australasian Remote Sensing Conference, Wellington, New Zealand. Volume 3, pp. 128–37.
Day, K.A., McKeon, G.M. and Carter, J.O. (1997) Evaluating the risks of pasture and land degradation in native pasture in Queensland. Final Project Report for Rural Industries and Research Development Corporation project DAQ124A. Qld. Dept. Natural Resources. pp. 119.
Deutscher, N.C. (1959) The development of the cattle industry in Queensland 1840–1890. Unpub. B.A. (Hons.) Thesis, University of Queensland, Brisbane.
Drosdowsky, W. and Allan, R. (2000) The potential for improved statistical seasonal climate forecasts, in G.L. Hammer, N. Nicholls, and C. Mitchell (eds.), Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems — The Australian Experience. Kluwer Academic, The Netherlands. (this volume).
Dudgeon, G.S., Nilsson, C.S. and Fry, W.B. (1990) Rangeland vegetation monitoring using NOAA-AVHRR data: 1. Improving the spatial and radiometric accuracy of NDVI data. Proceedings of the Fifth Australasian Remote Sensing Conference, Perth, Western Australia. pp. 208–17.
Filet, P., Dudgeon, G., Scanlan, J., Elmes, N., Bushell, J., Quirk, M., Wilson, R. and Kelly, A. (1990) Rangeland vegetation monitoring using NOAA-AVHRR data: 2. Ground truthing NDVI data. Proceedings of the Fifth Australasian Remote Sensing Conference, Perth, Western Australia. pp. 21827.
Gardener, C.J., McIvor, J.G. and Williams, J.C. (1990) Dry tropical rangelands: solving one problem and creating another. Proc. Ecol. Soc. Aust. 16, 279–80.
Hacker, R.B., Wang, K., Richmond, G.S. and Lindner, R.K. (1991) IMAGES: An integrated model of an and grazing ecological system. Agricultural Systems 37, 119–63.
Hall, W.B. (1996) Near-real time financial assessment of the Queensland wool industry on a regional basis. Unpub. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Queensland, Brisbane. pp. 465.
Hammer, G., Stephens, D. and Butler, D. (1996) Development of a national drought alert strategic information system. Volume 6, Wheat modelling sub-project: Development of predictive models of wheat production. Final Report on QPI 20 to Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation. Qld. Dept. Natural Resources. pp. 41.
Hobbs, T.J., Sparrow, A.D. and Landsberg, J.J. (1994) A model of soil moisture balance and herbage growth in the rangelands of central Australia. Journal ofArid Environments 28, 281–98.
Hunt, B.G. and Hirst, A.C. (2000) Global climatic models and their potential for seasonal climate forecasting, in G.L. Hammer, N. Nicholls, and C. Mitchell (eds.), Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems — The Australian Experience. Kluwer Academic, The Netherlands. (this volume).
Hutchinson, M.F. (1991) The application of thin plate smoothing splines to continent-wide data assimilation, in J.D. Jasper (ed.), Data Assimilation Systems. Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne. pp. 104–13.
Johnston, P.W., McKeon, G.M. and Day, K.A. (1996a) Objective “safe” grazing capacities for south-west Queensland Australia: development of a model for individual properties. Rangeland Journal 18, 244–58.
Johnston, P.W., Tannock, P.R., and Beale, I.F. (1996b) Objective “safe” grazing capacities for south-west
Queensland Australia: a model application and evaluation. Rangeland Journal 18,259–69.
McKeon, G. M., Day, K.A., Howden, S.M., Mott, J.J., Orr, D.M., Scattini, W.J. and Weston, E.J. (1990)
Northern Australian savannas: management for pastoral production. J. Biogeog. 17 355–72. McKeon, G.M. and Howden, S.M. (1991) Adapting northern Australian grazing systems to climate change. Climate Change Newsletter 3 5–8.
McKeon, G.M., Ash, A.J., Hall, W.B. and Stafford Smith, D.M. (2000) Simulation of grazing strategies for beef production in north-east Queensland, in G.L. Hammer, N. Nicholls, and C. Mitchell (eds.), Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems — The Australian Experience. Kluwer Academic, The Netherlands. (this volume).
Miles, R.L. (1993) The rates, processes and effects of soil erosion on semi-arid woodland. Unpub. Ph.D. Thesis. Griffith University, Brisbane.
Mills, J.R. (1984) Landuse and its effects on soil erosion and water quality, in I.F. Beale, J.R. Mills and A.J. Pressland (eds.), Use of Conservation of Arid Rangeland in Queensland. Queensland Department of Primary Industries. pp. 9–14.
Moore, A.D., Donnelly, J.R. and Freer, M. (1997) GRAZPLAN: Decision support systems for Australian grazing enterprises–III. Pasture growth and soil moisture submodels and the Grassgro DSS. Agricultural Systems 55, 535–82.
Mortiss, P.D. (1995) The environmental issues of the Upper Burdekin catchment. Project report Q095017, Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation. Queensland Department of Primary Industries, Brisbane.
Noble, J.C. (1997) The delicate and noxious scrub: CSIRO studies on native tree and shrub proliferation in the semi-arid woodlands of Eastern Australia. CSIRO, Canberra, Australia.
On, D.M. and Paton, C.J. (1993) Fire and grazing interact to manipulate pasture composition in black speargrass (Heteropogon contortus) pastures. Proc. XVII International Grassland Congress. pp. 1910–11.
Orr, D.M., McKeon, G.M. and Day, K.A. (1991) Burning and exclosure can rehabilitate degraded black speargrass (Heteropogon contortus) pastures. Tropical Grasslands 25, 233–36.
Orr, D.M., Paton, C.J. and McIntyre, S. (1994) State and transition models for rangelands. 10. A state and transition model for the southern black speargrass zone of Queensland. Tropical Grasslands 28, 26669.
Paton, C.J. and Rickert, K.G. (1989) Burning, then resting, reduces wiregrass (Aristida spp.) in black speargrass pastures. Tropical Grasslands 23, 211–18.
Ratcliffe, F.N. (1937) Further observations on soil erosion and sand drift, with special reference to southwestern Queensland. Council for Scientific and Industrial Research Pamphlet no. 64, Melbourne. Scanlan, J.C., Pressland, A.J. and Myles, D.J. (1996a) Runoff and soil movement on mid-slopes in north-east Queensland grazed woodlands. Rangeland Journal 18, 33–46.
Scanlan, J.C., Pressland, A.J. and Myles, D.J. (1996b) Grazing modifies woody and herbaceous components of north Queensland woodlands. Rangeland Journal 18, 47–57.
Shaw, W.H. (1957) Bunch spear grass dominance in burnt pastures in south eastern Queensland. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 8, 325–34.
Smith, R.C.G. (1994) Australian vegetation watch. Final Report on DOL-1A to the Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation. CSIRO, Canberra, Australia.
Stephens, D.J., Butler, D.G. and Hammer, G.L. (2000) Using seasonal climate forecasts in forecasting the Australian wheat crop, in G.L.
Hammer, N. Nicholls, and C. Mitchell (eds.),Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems — The Australian Experience. Kluwer Academic, The Netherlands. (this volume).
Stone, R.C. and Auliciems, A. (1992) SOI phase relationships with rainfall in eastern Australia. International Journal of Climatology 12, 625–36.
Stone, R.C., Hammer, G.L. and Marcussen, T. (1996a) Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index. Nature 384, 252–255.
Studdert, M.J. (1994) Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease: a calicivirus with differences. Australian Veterinary Journal 71, 264–66.
Tabios, G.Q. and Salas, J.D. (1985) A comparative analysis of techniques for spatial interpolation of precipitation. Water Resource Bulletin 21, 365–80.
White, D.H., Bowman, P.J., Morley, F.H.W., McMannus, W.R. and Filan, S.J. (1983) A simulation model of a breeding ewe flock. Agricultural Systems 10, 149–89.
Wilcox, D.G. and McKinnon, E.A. (1972) A report on the condition of the Gascoyne catchment. Department of Agriculture and Department of Lands & Surveys, Western Australia.
Wood, H., Hassell, R., Carter, J. and Danaher, T. (1996) Development of a national drought alert strategic information system. Volume 2, Field validation of pasture biomass and tree cover. Final Report on QPI 20 to Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation. Qld. Dept. Natural Resources. pp. 50.
Young, R., Lau, L., Hutchinson, M., Hunt, B., Graham, N., Goddard, L., Duncalfe, F., Burrage, K. and McKeon, G. (1997) Integrating advanced GCM seasonal climate forecasts, fine resolution spatial systems, and dynamic web visualisation for sustainable environmental management. Proc. Mission Earth ‘87: Modeling and Simulation of the Earth System. The Society for Computer Simulation, Phoenix, Arizona, U.S.A. pp. 43–52.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2000 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Carter, J.O., Hall, W.B., Brook, K.D., McKeon, G.M., Day, K.A., Paull, C.J. (2000). Aussie Grass: Australian Grassland and Rangeland Assessment by Spatial Simulation. In: Hammer, G.L., Nicholls, N., Mitchell, C. (eds) Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library, vol 21. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9351-9_20
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9351-9_20
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-90-481-5443-2
Online ISBN: 978-94-015-9351-9
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive