Skip to main content
Log in

Risk Stratification of Acute Pulmonary Embolism

  • Vascular Disease (V Lakhter, Section Editor)
  • Published:
Current Treatment Options in Cardiovascular Medicine Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Purpose of review

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a heterogeneous disease process whose presentation varies widely between individuals who are asymptomatic, develop cardiogenic shock, or experience acute PE-related mortality. The purpose of this review is to summarize the available tools used to risk stratify patients presenting with acute PE. We will particularly focus on the demographic, clinical, laboratory, imaging, and multifactor tools used to predict mortality, PE-related morbidity, and bleeding complications.

Recent findings

Established risk assessment strategies incorporate clinical and demographic information into risk scores such as PESI, sPESI, HESTIA, or BOVA scores to stratify patients using their individual risk profiles. Elevated biomarkers (troponin, BNP/NT-Pro-BNP, lactate), evidence of RV dilation and dysfunction, decreased cardiac reserve, and residual lower extremity and intracardiac clot burden are associated with worse prognosis. Novel techniques to identify cardiac reserve are helpful to identify patients who are at high risk for early decompensation.

Summary

Early standardized risk stratification plays a crucial role in management of patients with acute PE. Identification of low-risk population allows for early discharge and outpatient management, while identification of high-risk population allows for rapid escalation of care and allocation of highly specialized resources in a timely fashion. Finally, pulmonary embolism response team model of care has allowed standardization of management of acute PE by harnessing expertise from multiple subspecialties.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3

Similar content being viewed by others

References and Recommended Reading

  1. Beckman MG, Hooper WC, Critchley SE, Ortel TL. Venous thromboembolism. A public health concern. Am J Prev Med. 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2009.12.017.

  2. Wood KE. Major pulmonary embolism: review of a pathophysiologic approach to the golden hour of hemodynamically significant pulmonary embolism. Chest. 2002;121:877–905.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  3. Wells PS, Anderson DR, Rodger M, et al. Derivation of a simple clinical model to categorize patients probability of pulmonary embolism: increasing the models utility with the SimpliRED D-dimer. Thromb Haemost. 2000;83:416–20.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  4. Wicki J, Perneger TV, Junod AF, Bounameaux H, Perrier A. Assessing clinical probability of pulmonary embolism in the emergency ward: a simple score. Arch Intern Med. 2001;161:92–7.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  5. Kline JA, Courtney DM, Kabrhel C, Moore CL, Smithline HA, Plewa MC, et al. Prospective multicenter evaluation of the pulmonary embolism rule-out criteria. J Thromb Haemost. 2008;6:772–80.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  6. Aujesky D, Obrosky DS, Stone RA, Auble TE, Perrier A, Cornuz J, et al. Derivation and validation of a prognostic model for pulmonary embolism. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2005;172:1041–6.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  7. Jiménez D, Aujesky D, Moores L, Gómez V, Lobo JL, Uresandi F, et al. Simplification of the pulmonary embolism severity index for prognostication in patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism. Arch Intern Med. 2010;170:1383–9.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  8. Bova C, Sanchez O, Prandoni P, Lankeit M, Konstantinides S, Vanni S, et al. Identification of intermediate-risk patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism. Eur Respir J. 2014;44:694–703.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  9. Zondag W, Mos ICM, Creemers-Schild D, et al. Outpatient treatment in patients with acute pulmonary embolism: the HESTIA study. J Thromb Haemost. 2011;9:1500–7.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  10. Barnes GD, Muzikansky A, Cameron S, et al. Comparison of 4 acute pulmonary embolism mortality risk scores in patients evaluated by pulmonary embolism response teams. JAMA Netw Open. 2020;3:e2010779.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  11. Jaff MR, McMurtry MS, Archer SL, et al. Management of massive and submassive pulmonary embolism, iliofemoral deep vein thrombosis, and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension: a scientific statement from the american heart association. Circulation. 2011;123:1788–830.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  12. Konstantinides SV, Meyer G, Bueno H, et al. 2019 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of acute pulmonary embolism developed in collaboration with the European respiratory society (ERS). Eur Heart J. 2020;41:543–603.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  13. Alpert JS, Smith R, Carlson CJ, Ockene IS, Dexter L, Dalen JE. Mortality in Patients Treated for Pulmonary Embolism. JAMA J Am Med Assoc. 1976;236:1477–80.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  14. Kasper W, Konstantinides S, Geibel A, Olschewski M, Heinrich F, Grosser KD, et al. Management strategies and determinants of outcome in acute major pulmonary embolism: results of a multicenter registry. J Am Coll Cardiol. 1997;30:1165–71.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  15. Goldhaber SZ, Visani L, De Rosa M. Acute pulmonary embolism: clinical outcomes in the International Cooperative Pulmonary Embolism Registry (ICOPER). Lancet. 1999;353:1386–9.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. Kearon C, Akl EA, Ornelas J, et al. Antithrombotic therapy for VTE disease: CHEST guideline and expert panel report. Chest. 2016;149:315–52.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  17. Quezada A, Jiménez D, Bikdeli B, Moores L, Porres-Aguilar M, Aramberri M, et al. Systolic blood pressure and mortality in acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism. Int J Cardiol. 2020;302:157–63.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  18. Otero R, Trujillo-Santos J, Cayuela A, et al. Haemodynamically unstable pulmonary embolism in the RIETE Registry: systolic blood pressure or shock index? Eur Respir J. 2007;30:1111–6.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  19. Sam A, Sánchez D, Gómez V, Wagner C, Kopecna D, Zamarro C, et al. The shock index and the simplified PESI for identification of low-risk patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Eur Respir J. 2011;37:762–6.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  20. Jara-Palomares L, Alfonso M, Maestre A, et al. Comparison of seven prognostic tools to identify low-risk pulmonary embolism in patients aged <50 years. Sci Rep. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-55,213-8.

  21. Barco S, Ende-Verhaar YM, Becattini C, Jimenez D, Lankeit M, Huisman MV, et al. Differential impact of syncope on the prognosis of patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur Heart J. 2018;39:4186–95.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  22. Becattini C, Agnelli G, Vedovati MC, et al. Multidetector computed tomography for acute pulmonary embolism: diagnosis and risk stratification in a single test. Eur Heart J. 2011;32:1657–63.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  23. Kang DK, Thilo C, Schoepf UJ, Barraza JM, Nance JW, Bastarrika G, et al. CT signs of right ventricular dysfunction: prognostic role in acute pulmonary embolism. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. 2011;4:841–9.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  24. Meinel FG, Nance JW, Joseph Schoepf U, Hoffmann VS, Thierfelder KM, Costello P, et al. Predictive value of computed tomography in acute pulmonary embolism: systematic review and meta-analysis. Am J Med. 2015;128:747–759.e2.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  25. Aviram G, Cohen D, Steinvil A, Shmueli H, Keren G, Banai S, et al. Significance of reflux of contrast medium into the inferior vena cava on computerized tomographic pulmonary angiogram. Am J Cardiol. 2012;109:432–7.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  26. Mastora I, Remy-Jardin M, Masson P, Galland E, Delannoy V, Bauchart JJ, et al. Severity of acute pulmonary embolism: evaluation of a new spiral CT angiographic score in correlation with echocardiographic data. Eur Radiol. 2003;13:29–35.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  27. Qanadli SD, El Hajjam M, Vieillard-Baron A, Joseph T, Mesurolle B, Oliva VL, et al. New CT index to quantify arterial obstruction in pulmonary embolism: comparison with angiographic index and echocardiography. Am J Roentgenol. 2001;176:1415–20.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  28. Furlan A, Aghayev A, Chang CCH, Patil A, Jeon KN, Park B, et al. Short-term mortality in acute pulmonary embolism: clot burden and signs of right heart dysfunction at CT pulmonary angiography. Radiology. 2012;265:283–93.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  29. Jain CC, Chang Y, Kabrhel C, et al. Impact of pulmonary arterial clot location on pulmonary embolism treatment and outcomes (90 Days). Am J Cardiol. 2017;119:802–7.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  30. Bach AG, Nansalmaa B, Kranz J, Taute BM, Wienke A, Schramm D, et al. CT pulmonary angiography findings that predict 30-day mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Eur J Radiol. 2015;84:332–7.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  31. Kurnicka K, Lichodziejewska B, Goliszek S, et al. Echocardiographic pattern of acute pulmonary embolism: analysis of 511 consecutive patients. J Am Soc Echocardiogr. 2016;29:907–13.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  32. Coutance G, Cauderlier E, Ehtisham J, Hamon M, Hamon M. The prognostic value of markers of right ventricular dysfunction in pulmonary embolism: a meta-analysis. Crit Care. 2011. https://doi.org/10.1186/cc10119.

  33. Kurzyna M, Torbicki A, Pruszczyk P, et al. Disturbed right ventricular ejection pattern as a new Doppler echocardiographic sign of acute pulmonary embolism. Am J Cardiol. 2002;90:507–11.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  34. Rudski LG, Lai WW, Afilalo J, Hua L, Handschumacher MD, Chandrasekaran K, et al. Guidelines for the echocardiographic assessment of the right heart in adults: a report from the American Society of Echocardiography. Endorsed by the European Association of Echocardiography, a registered branch of the European Society of Cardiology, and. J Am Soc Echocardiogr. 2010;23:685–713.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  35. Blanco P. Rationale for using the velocity–time integral and the minute distance for assessing the stroke volume and cardiac output in point-of-care settings. Ultrasound J. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13089-020-00170-x.

  36. Brailovsky Y, Lakhter V, Weinberg I, et al. Right ventricular outflow doppler predicts low cardiac index in intermediate risk pulmonary embolism. Clin Appl Thromb. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1177/1076029619886062.

  37. Yuriditsky E, Mitchell OJL, Sista AK, et al. Right ventricular stroke distance predicts death and clinical deterioration in patients with pulmonary embolism. Thromb Res. 2020;195:29–34.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  38. Yuriditsky E, Mitchell OJL, Sibley RA, et al. Low left ventricular outflow tract velocity time integral is associated with poor outcomes in acute pulmonary embolism. Vasc Med (United Kingdom). 2020;25:133–40.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Prosperi-Porta G, Solverson K, Fine N, Humphreys CJ, Ferland A, Weatherald J. Echocardiography-derived stroke volume index is associated with adverse in-hospital outcomes in intermediate-risk acute pulmonary embolism: a retrospective cohort study. Chest. 2020;158:1132–42.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. Konstantinides S, Geibel A, Kasper W, Olschewski M, Blümel L, Just H. Patent foramen ovale is an important predictor of adverse outcome in patients with major pulmonary embolism. Circulation. 1998;97:1946–51.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  41. McConnell MV, Solomon SD, Rayan ME, Come PC, Goldhaber SZ, Lee RT. Regional right ventricular dysfunction detected by echocardiography in acute pulmonary embolism. Am J Cardiol. 1996;78:469–73.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  42. Lodato JA, Ward RP, Lang RM. Echocardiographic predictors of pulmonary embolism in patients referred for helical CT. Echocardiography. 2008;25:584–90.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  43. Dresden S, Mitchell P, Rahimi L, Leo M, Rubin-Smith J, Bibi S, White L, Langlois B, Sullivan A, Carmody K. Right ventricular dilatation on bedside echocardiography performed by emergency Physicians aids in the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism. In: Ann. Emerg. Med. 2014; pp. 16–24.

  44. Vaid U, Singer E, Marhefka GD, Kraft WK, Baram M. Poor positive predictive value of McConnell’s sign on transthoracic echocardiography for the diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism. Hosp Pract (1995). 2013;41:23–7.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. Casazza F, Bongarzoni A, Capozi A, Agostoni O. Regional right ventricular dysfunction in acute pulmonary embolism and right ventricular infarction. Eur J Echocardiogr. 2005;6:11–4.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  46. Lobo JL, Holley A, Tapson V, et al. Prognostic significance of tricuspid annular displacement in normotensive patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism. J Thromb Haemost. 2014;12:1020–7.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  47. Pruszczyk P, Goliszek S, Lichodziejewska B, Kostrubiec M, Ciurzyński M, Kurnicka K, et al. Prognostic value of echocardiography in normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. 2014;7:553–60.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  48. Barrios D, Rosa-Salazar V, Morillo R, Nieto R, Fernández S, Zamorano JL, et al. Prognostic significance of right heart thrombi in patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism: systematic review and meta-analysis. Chest. 2017;151:409–16.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  49. Barrios D, Chavant J, Jiménez D, et al. Treatment of right heart thrombi associated with acute pulmonary embolism. Am J Med. 2017;130:588–95.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  50. Burton JR, Madhavan MV, Finn M, et al. Advanced therapies for acute pulmonary embolism: a focus on catheter-based therapies and future directions. Struct Heart. 2021:1–17.

  51. Becattini C, Cohen AT, Agnelli G, Howard L, Castejón B, Trujillo-Santos J, et al. Risk stratification of patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism based on presence or absence of lower extremity DVT: systematic review and meta-analysis. Chest. 2016;149:192–200.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  52. Coutance G, Le Page O, Lo T, Hamon M. Prognostic value of brain natriuretic peptide in acute pulmonary embolism. Crit Care. 2008. https://doi.org/10.1186/cc6996.

  53. Lankeit M, Jiménez D, Kostrubiec M, Dellas C, Kuhnert K, Hasenfuß G, et al. Validation of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide cut-off values for risk stratification of pulmonary embolism. Eur Respir J. 2014;43:1669–77.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  54. Bajaj A, Saleeb M, Rathor P, Sehgal V, Kabak B, Hosur S. Prognostic value of troponins in acute nonmassive pulmonary embolism: a meta-analysis. Heart Lung J Acute Crit Care. 2015;44:327–34.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  55. Vanni S, Socci F, Pepe G, Nazerian P, Viviani G, Baioni M, et al. High plasma lactate levels are associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with pulmonary embolism. Acad Emerg Med. 2011;18:830–5.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  56. Vanni S, Jiménez D, Nazerian P, et al. Short-term clinical outcome of normotensive patients with acute PE and high plasma lactate. Thorax. 2015;70:333–8.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  57. Vanni S, Nazerian P, Bova C, et al. Comparison of clinical scores for identification of patients with pulmonary embolism at intermediate–high risk of adverse clinical outcome: the prognostic role of plasma lactate. Intern Emerg Med. 2017;12:657–65.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  58. Jiménez D, Kopecna D, Tapson V, et al. Derivation and validation of multimarker prognostication for normotensive patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2014;189:718–26.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  59. Raskob GE, Hull RD, Carter CJ. Heparin therapy for venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. Blood Rev. 1988;2:251–8.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  60. Quinlan DJ, McQuillan A, Eikelboom JW. Low-molecular-weight heparin compared with intravenous unfractionated heparin for treatment of pulmonary embolism: a meta-analysis of randomized, controlled trials. Ann Intern Med. 2004. https://doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-140-3-200,402,030-00008.

  61. Van Es N, Coppens M, Schulman S, Middeldorp S, Büller HR. Direct oral anticoagulants compared with vitamin K antagonists for acute venous thromboembolism: Evidence from phase 3 trials. Blood. 2014;124:1968–75.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  62. Ruíz-Giménez N, Suárez C, González R, et al. Predictive variables for major bleeding events in patients presenting with documented acute venous thromboembolism. Findings from the RIETE Registry. Thromb Haemost. 2008;100:26–31.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  63. Nieto JA, Solano R, Trapero Iglesias N, Ruiz-Giménez N, Fernández-Capitán C, Valero B, et al. Validation of a score for predicting fatal bleeding in patients receiving anticoagulation for venous thromboembolism. Thromb Res. 2013;132:175–9.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  64. Meyer G, Vicaut E, Danays T, et al. Fibrinolysis for patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism. N Engl J Med. 2014;370:1402–11.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  65. Kuo WT, Banerjee A, Kim PS, et al. Pulmonary embolism response to fragmentation, embolectomy, and catheter thrombolysis (PERFECT): initial results from a prospective multicenter registry. Chest. 2015:667–73.

  66. Piazza G, Hohlfelder B, Jaff MR, et al. A prospective, single-arm, multicenter trial of ultrasound-facilitated, catheter-directed, low-dose fibrinolysis for acute massive and submassive pulmonary embolism: the SEATTLE II study. JACC Cardiovasc Interv. 2015;8:1382–92.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  67. Kucher N, Boekstegers P, Müller OJ, et al. Randomized, controlled trial of ultrasound-assisted catheter-directed thrombolysis for acute intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism. Circulation. 2014;129:479–86.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  68. Geller BJ, Adusumalli S, Pugliese SC, et al. Outcomes of catheter-directed versus systemic thrombolysis for the treatment of pulmonary embolism: a real-world analysis of national administrative claims. Vasc Med (United Kingdom). 2020;25:334–40.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  69. Chatterjee S, Weinberg I, Yeh RW, et al. Risk factors for intracranial hemorrhage in patients with pulmonary embolism treated with thrombolytic therapy development of the PE-CH score. Thromb Haemost. 2017;117:246–51.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  70. Lakhter V, Zack CJ, Brailovsky Y, et al. Predictors of intracranial hemorrhage in patients treated with catheter-directed thrombolysis for deep vein thrombosis. J Vasc Surg Venous Lymphat Disord. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvsv.2020.08.029.

  71. Wright C, Elbadawi A, Chen YL, et al. The impact of a pulmonary embolism response team on the efficiency of patient care in the emergency department. J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2019;48:331–5.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  72. Rosovsky R, Chang Y, Rosenfield K, et al. Changes in treatment and outcomes after creation of a pulmonary embolism response team (PERT), a 10-year analysis. J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2019;47:31–40.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  73. Jen WY, Kristanto W, Teo L, et al. Assessing the impact of a pulmonary embolism response team and treatment protocol on patients presenting with acute pulmonary embolism. Hear Lung Circ. 2020;29:345–53.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  74. Chaudhury P, Gadre S, Schneider E, Renapurkar R, Gomes M, Haddadin I, et al. Impact of multidisciplinary pulmonary embolism response team availability on management and outcomes. Am J Cardiol. 2019;124:1465–9.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yevgeniy Brailovsky DO MSc.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

Yevgeniy Brailovsky, Sorcha Allen, Dalila Masic, David Lakhter, and Amir Darki declare no competing interests.

Sanjum S. Sethi reports personal fees from Janssen and personal fees from Chiesi, outside the submitted work.

Human and animal rights and informed consent

This article does not contain any studies with human or animal subjects performed by any of the authors.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

This article is part of the Topical Collection on Vascular Disease

Supplementary information

ESM 1

(DOCX 14 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Brailovsky, Y., Allen, S., Masic, D. et al. Risk Stratification of Acute Pulmonary Embolism. Curr Treat Options Cardio Med 23, 48 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11936-021-00923-4

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11936-021-00923-4

Keywords

Navigation