Abstract
In the surroundings of Zaragoza, karstification processes are especially intense in covered karst areas where fluvial terraces lie directly on Tertiary evaporites. Since the beginning of Quaternary, these processes have lead to the development of collapse and subsidence dolines with a wide range of sizes, which have significant economic impacts. To reduce economic impact and increase safety, a regional analysis of this phenomenon is needed for spatial management. Therefore, a probability map of dolines was developed using logistic regression and geographic information system (GIS) techniques. This paper covers the selection of input data, manipulation of data using the GIS technology, and the use of logistic regression to generate a doline probability map. The primary variable in the doline development in this area is geomorphology, represented by the location of endorheic areas and different terrace levels. Secondary variables are the presence of irrigation and the water table gradient.
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Acknowledgments
This research is funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, Ho 804/7–1 + 2). Thanks to the Confederación Hidrográfica del Ebro, Aragón Region Authority, Zaragoza Council, Ministry of Public Works, Z-amaltea, Control-7, Entecsa, CTA and ESHYG for the useful information they gave us. In addition, we would also like to thank Fernando Pérez-Cabello, Maite Echeverría, Asunción Soriano, José Luis Simón, Néstor Jiménez-Torrecilla, Miguel Ángel García-Vera, José Losada, Teresa Carceller, Manuel Arce and Katy Unger-Shayesteh for their valuable advise as well as Yongli Gao (East Tennessee State University) for his critical and helpful comments and Mike Walker (Darmstadt) for improving the English.
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Lamelas, M.T., Marinoni, O., Hoppe, A. et al. Doline probability map using logistic regression and GIS technology in the central Ebro Basin (Spain). Environ Geol 54, 963–977 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00254-007-0895-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00254-007-0895-3