Skip to main content
Log in

Efficiency evaluation under uncertainty: a stochastic DEA approach

  • Published:
Decisions in Economics and Finance Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In conventional data envelopment analysis (DEA) models, the efficiency measurement is carried out by using deterministic data typically referring to past observations. However, in many operative contexts, decision makers are called to predict the future performance for planning and control purposes. In these situations, ignoring the stochastic nature of data might lead to misleading results. The paper proposes a stochastic DEA approach based on the chance constrained paradigm and accounts for risk measured in terms of tail \(\gamma \)-mean. A deterministic equivalent reformulation is presented under the assumption of discrete distributions. The computational experiments are carried out on an empirical case study related to the evaluation of the credit risk. The results demonstrate the validity of the proposed approach as proactive evaluation technique.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. www.gams.com.

  2. www.ilog.com/products/cplex.

References

  • Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.M., Heath, D.: Coherent measures of risk. Math. Finance 9, 203–228 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Banker, R.D.: Maximum likelihood, consistency and data envelopment analysis: a statistical foundation. Manag. Sci. 39(10), 1265–1273 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beraldi, P., Bruni, M.E.: An exact approach for solving integer problems under probabilistic constraints with random technology matrix. Ann. Oper. Res. 177(1), 127–137 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beraldi, P., Bruni, M.E.: Data envelopment analysis under uncertainty and risk. WASET 66, 837–842 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  • Beraldi, P., Bruni, M.E.: A clustering approach for scenario tree reduction: an application to a stochastic programming portfolio optimization problem. TOP 22, 934–949 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beraldi, P., De Simone, F., Violi, A.: Generating scenario trees: a parallel integrated simulation–optimization approach. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 23(9), 2322–2331 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beraldi, P., Bruni, M.E., Laganá, D.: The express heuristic for probabilistically constrained integer problems. J. Heurist. 19(3), 423–441 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beraldi, P., Bruni, M.E., Iazzolino, G.: Lending decision under uncertainty: a DEA approach. Int. J. Prod. Res. 52(3), 766–775 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bruni, M.E., Conforti, D., Beraldi, P., Tundis, E.: Probabilistically constrained models for efficiency and dominance in DEA. Int. J. Prod. Econ. 177(1), 219–228 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang, T.S., Tone, K., Wu, C.-H.: DEA models incorporating uncertain future performance. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 254(2), 532–549 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Charnes, A., Cooper, W.W.: Chance constrained programming. Manag. Sci. 5(1), 73–79 (1959)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Charnes, A., Cooper, W.W., Rhodes, E.: Measuring the efficiency of decision making units. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 6(2), 429–444 (1978)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, K., Zhu, J.: Computational tractability of chance constrained data envelopment analysis. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 274(3), 1037–1046 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cheng, J., Lisser, A.: A second-order cone programming approach for linear programs with joint probabilistic constraints. Oper. Res. Lett. 40(5), 325–328 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cooper, W.W., Huang, Z., Li, S.: Satisficng DEA model under chance constraints. Ann. Oper. Res. 66(5), 79–295 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  • Cooper, W.W., Deng, H., Huang, Li S: Chance constrained programming approaches to congestion in stochastic data envelopment analysis. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 155(2), 487–501 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Iazzolino, G., Bruni, M.E., Beraldi, P.: Using DEA and financial ratios for credit risk evaluation: an empirical analysis. Appl. Econ. Lett. 20(14), 1310–1317 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kao, C., Liu, S.-T.: Stochastic efficiency measures for production units with correlated data. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 273(1), 278–287 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Land, K.C., Lovell, C.A.K., Thore, S.: Chance-constrained data envelopment analysis. Manag. Decis. Econ. 14, 541–554 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Markowitz, H.M.: Portfolio selection. J. Finance 7, 77–91 (1952)

    Google Scholar 

  • Ogryczak, W.: Tail mean and related robust solution concept. Int. J. Syst. Sci. 45, 29–38 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ogryczak, W., Ruszczynski, A.: Dual stochastic dominance and related mean-risk models. SIAM J. Optim. 13, 60–78 (2002a)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ogryczak, W., Ruszczynski, A.: Dual stochastic dominance and quantile risk measures. Int. Trans. Oper. Res. 9, 661–680 (2002b)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olesen, O.B., Petersen, N.C.: Chance constrained efficiency evaluation. Manag. Sci. 41, 442–457 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olesen, O.B., Petersen, N.C.: Stochastic data envelopment analysis: a review. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 251(1), 2–21 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paradi, J.C., Asmild, M., Simak, P.: Using DEA and worst practice DEA in credit risk evaluation. J. Prod. Anal. 21, 153–165 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Post, T.: Performance evaluation in stochastic environments using mean–variance data envelopment analysis. Oper. Res. 49(2), 281–292 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Premachandra, I.M., Chen, Y., Watson, J.: DEA as a tool for predicting corporate failure and success: a case of bankruptcy assessment. Omega 39, 620–626 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rockafellar, R.T., Uryasev, S.: Optimization of conditional value-at-risk. J. Risk 2, 21–41 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sengupta, J.K.: Data envelopment analysis for efficiency measurement in the stochastic case. Comput. Oper. Res. 14, 117–129 (1987)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sueyoshi, T.: Stochastic DEA for restructure strategy: an application to a Japanese petroleum company. Omega 28, 385–398 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wei, G., Chen, J., Wang, J.: Stochastic efficiency analysis with a reliability consideration. Omega 48, 1–9 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, D., Olson, D.: Enterprise risk management: a DEA VaR approach in vendor selection. Int. J. Prod. Res. 40(6), 4919–4932 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to P. Beraldi.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Appendix A

Appendix A

The following tables report the ranking of the different DMUs computed on the basis of the \(\zeta \) values as function of the probability levels \(\alpha \) and \(\gamma \) (Tables 789 10).

Table 7 Ranking as function of \(\gamma \) for \(\alpha =1\)
Table 8 Ranking as function of \(\gamma \) for \(\alpha =0.95\)
Table 9 Ranking as function of \(\gamma \) for \(\alpha =0.90\)
Table 10 Ranking as function of \(\gamma \) for \(\alpha =0.85\)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Beraldi, P., Bruni, M.E. Efficiency evaluation under uncertainty: a stochastic DEA approach. Decisions Econ Finan 43, 519–538 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10203-020-00295-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10203-020-00295-7

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation