Abstract
We consider a two-patch epidemiological system where individuals can move from one patch to another, and local interactions between the individuals within a patch are governed by the classical SIRS model. When the time-scale associated with migration is much smaller than the time-scale associated with infection, aggregation methods can be used to simplify the initial complete model formulated as a system of ordinary differential equations. Analysis of the aggregated model then shows that the two-patch basic reproduction rate is smaller than the 1 patch one. We extend this result to a linear chain of P patches (P > 2). These results are illustrated by some examples for which numerical integration of the system of ordinary differential equations is performed. Simulations of an individual based model implemented with a multi-agent system are also carried out.
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Acknowledgements
We thank Gauthier Sallet for helpful remarks. Support from Institut de Recherche pour le Développement and Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon, laboratoire LIP and Institut des Systèmes Complexes is gratefully acknowledged.
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Kouokam, E., Auger, P., Hbid, H. et al. Effect of the Number of Patches in a Multi-patch SIRS Model with Fast Migration on the Basic Reproduction Rate. Acta Biotheor 56, 75–86 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10441-008-9036-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10441-008-9036-y