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Assessing barriers to adaptation to climate change in coastal Tanzania: Does where you live matter?

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Abstract

Research on barriers to climate change adaptation has, hitherto, disproportionately focused on institutional barriers. Despite the critical importance of personal barriers in shaping the adaptive response of humanity to climate change and variability, the literature on the subject is rather nascent. This study is premised on the hypothesis that place-specific characteristics (where you live) and compositional (both biosocial and sociocultural) factors may be salient to differentials in adaptation to climate change in coastal areas of developing countries. This is because adaptation to climate change is inherently local. Using cross-sectional survey data on 1,253 individuals (606 males and 647 females), barriers to adaptation to climate change were observed to vary with place, indicating that there is inequality in barriers to adaptation. In the multivariate models, the place-specific differences in barriers to adaptation were robust and remained statistically significant even when socio-demographic (compositional) variables were controlled. Observed differences in barriers to adaptation to climate change in coastal Tanzania mainly reflect strong place-specific disparities among groups indicating the need for adaptation policies that are responsive to processes of socio-institutional learning in a specific context, involving multiple people that have a stake in the present and the future of that place. These people are making complex, multifaceted choices about managing and adapting to climate-related risks and opportunities, often in the face of resource constraints and competing agendas.

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Acknowledgments

We acknowledge research funding from ‘the Indian Ocean World: The Making of the First Global Economy in the Context of Human Environment Interaction’ project within the framework of Major Collaborative Research Initiative (MCRI). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Many thanks to Karen Van Kerkoerle, of the Cartographic Unit, Department of Geography, University of Western Ontario, for drawing the map of the study areas.

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Correspondence to Frederick Ato Armah.

Appendix

Appendix

Contingency tables show the distribution of the barriers to adaptation to climate change by Place-specific and compositional (biosocial and sociocultural) variables

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: don’t know what steps to take to protect myself (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 9.9300, Pr = 0.002, Cramer’s V = 0.09

  Male

45.3

54.7

  Female

54.7

45.3

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 0.5389, Pr = 0.900, Cramer’s V = 0.02

  18–35

49.8

50.2

  36–50

50.9

49.1

  51–65

48.9

51.1

  More than 65

53.2

46.8

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 0.7202, Pr = 0.396, Cramer’s V = −0.02

  Unmarried

51.9

48.1

  Married

49.2

50.8

 Ethnicity

  

χ² (2) = 11.2682, Pr = 0.004, Cramer’s V = 0.10

  Zaramo

59.8

40.2

  Sambaa

45.4

54.6

  Others

48.0

52.0

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 32.4003, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.16

  Christian

39.5

60.5

  Muslim

55.8

44.2

  Traditional

0.0

100.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 3.3447, Pr = 0.067, Cramer’s V = −0.05

  Unemployed

60.0

40.0

  Employed

49.4

50.6

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 50.0298, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.21

  No education

64.4

35.6

  Primary

57.8

42.2

  Secondary

44.9

55.1

  Tertiary

31.4

68.6

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 0.6692, Pr = 0.413, Cramer’s V = 0.02

  Yes

54.2

45.8

  No

49.8

50.2

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 60.5685, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.23

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

38.3

61.7

  Pwani

63.9

36.1

  Tanga

58.6

41.4

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 13.3316, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.11

  Not easy

43.3

56.7

  Easy

54.4

45.6

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 41.7254, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.19

  Rural

61.7

38.3

  Urban

42.2

57.8

  1. * Income and distance to nearest health facility are continuous variables

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: lack the skill needed (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 8.0164, Pr = 0.005, Cramer’s V = 0.08

  Male

66.2

33.8

  Female

73.9

26.1

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 4.2596, Pr = 0.235, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  18–35

69.0

31.0

  36–50

68.7

31.3

  51–65

71.8

28.2

  More than 65

79.2

20.8

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 3.9051, Pr = 0.048, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  Unmarried

66.6

33.4

  Married

72.2

27.8

 Ethnicity

  

χ² (2) = 4.7400, Pr = 0.093, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  Zaramo

75.9

24.1

  Sambaa

67.2

32.8

  Others

69.1

30.9

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 5.4271, Pr = 0.06, Cramer’s V = 0.07

  Christian

66.1

33.9

  Muslim

72.4

27.6

  Traditional

50.0

50.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 12.0575, Pr = 0.001, Cramer’s V = −0.09

  Unemployed

86.2

13.8

  Employed

69.1

30.9

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 59.7848, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.23

  No education

83.9

16.1

  Primary

77.9

22.1

  Secondary

65.3

34.7

  Tertiary

51.0

49.0

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 0.5051, Pr = 0.477, Cramer’s V = 0.02

  Yes

67.5

32.5

  No

70.6

29.4

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 16.9107, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.12

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

64.5

35.5

  Pwani

75.7

24.3

  Tanga

75.6

24.4

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 4.5675, Pr = 0.033, Cramer’s V = −0.06

  Not easy

73.9

26.1

  Easy

68.0

32.0

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 33.9572, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.17

  Rural

63.8

36.2

  Urban

79.6

20.4

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: lack of personal energy or motivation (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 3.4068, Pr = 0.065, Cramer’s V = 0.05

  Male

51.2

48.8

  Female

56.7

43.3

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 7.9184, Pr = 0.048, Cramer’s V = 0.08

  18–35

58.9

41.1

  36–50

52.2

47.8

  51–65

48.5

51.5

  More than 65

57.1

42.9

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 22.1577, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = −0.14

  Unmarried

63.5

36.5

  Married

49.0

51.0

 Ethnicity

  

χ² (2) = 0.8937, Pr = 0.640, Cramer’s V = 0.03

  Zaramo

56.8

43.2

  Sambaa

53.8

46.2

  Others

53.3

46.7

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 0.0800, Pr = 0.961, Cramer’s V = 0.0084

  Christian

53.6

46.4

  Muslim

54.3

45.7

  Traditional

50.0

50.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 0.7637, Pr = 0.382, Cramer’s V = −0.03

  Unemployed

58.8

41.2

  Employed

53.7

46.3

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 12.5329, Pr = 0.006, Cramer’s V = 0.10

  No education

71.3

28.7

  Primary

52.0

48.0

  Secondary

51.9

48.1

  Tertiary

55.7

44.3

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 3.3476, Pr = 0.07, Cramer’s V = −0.05

  Yes

53.1

46.9

  No

61.8

38.2

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 13.7881, Pr = 0.001, Cramer’s V = 0.11

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

58.4

41.6

  Pwani

55.4

44.6

  Tanga

45.3

54.7

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 38.6438, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.18

  Not easy

42.3

57.7

  Easy

61.3

38.7

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 13.9949, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = −0.11

  Rural

  

  Urban

  

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: lack of time (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 1.9559, Pr = 0.162, Cramer’s V = −0.04

  Male

16.1

83.6

  Female

13.2

86.8

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 2.8717, Pr = 0.538, Cramer’s V = 0.05

  18–35

14.5

85.5

  36–50

12.7

87.3

  51–65

16.3

83.7

  More than 65

18.2

81.8

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 0.8748, Pr = 0.350, Cramer’s V = −0.03

  Unmarried

15.9

84.1

  Married

13.9

86.1

 Ethnicity

  

χ² (2) = 18.8154, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.12

  Zaramo

10.6

89.4

  Sambaa

5.0

95.0

  Others

17.3

82.7

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 5.8896, Pr = 0.053, Cramer’s V = 0.07

  Christian

18.1

81.9

  Muslim

12.8

87.2

  Traditional

25.0

75.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 1.291, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = −0.03

  Unemployed

18.8

81.2

  Employed

14.3

85.7

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 9.6827, Pr = 0.021, Cramer’s V = 0.09

  No education

14.9

85.1

  Primary

11.6

88.4

  Secondary

15.9

84.1

  Tertiary

20.6

79.4

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 3. 9668, Pr = 0.046, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  Yes

8.9

91.1

  No

15.3

84.7

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 39.2638, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.18

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

21.2

78.8

  Pwani

10.4

89.7

  Tanga

6.8

93.2

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 16.5106, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.11

  Not easy

9.3

90.7

  Easy

17.9

82.1

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 37.7121, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.17

  Rural

7.4

92.6

  Urban

19.6

80.4

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: lack of money or resources needed (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 4.5769, Pr = 0.032, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  Male

61.6

38.4

  Female

67.7

32.3

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 6.6403, Pr = 0.084, Cramer’s V = 0.07

  18–35

63.3

36.7

  36–50

66.8

33.2

  51–65

61.1

38.9

  More than 65

75.3

24.7

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 3.9364, Pr = 0.047, Cramer’s V = −0.06

  Unmarried

68.6

31.4

  Married

62.7

37.3

 Ethnicity

  Zaramo

65.2

34.8

χ² (2) = 0.6799, Pr = 0.712, Cramer’s V = 0.02

  Sambaa

61.3

38.7

  Others

65.1

34.8

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 6.7887, Pr = 0.034, Cramer’s V = 0.08

  Christian

59.7

40.3

  Muslim

67.4

32.6

  Traditional

50.0

50.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 6.5310, Pr = 0.011, Cramer’s V = −0.07

  Unemployed

77.5

22.5

  Employed

63.8

36.2

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 34.1185, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.17

  No education

86.2

13.8

  Primary

68.0

32.0

  Secondary

60.5

39.5

  Tertiary

53.1

46.9

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 49.8885, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = −0.21

  Yes

95.0

5.0

  No

61.3

38.7

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 15.2163, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.12

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

59.5

40.5

  Pwani

72.9

27.1

  Tanga

66.8

33.2

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 21. 7830, Pr = 0. 000, Cramer’s V = 0.14

  Not easy

56.3

43.7

  Easy

70.0

30.0

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 1.5169, Pr = 0.218, Cramer’s V = 0.04

  Rural

66.9

33.1

  Urban

63.3

36.7

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: lack of help from others (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 2.3778, Pr = 0.123, Cramer’s V = −0.05

  Male

65.7

34.3

  Female

61.3

38.7

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 8.1575, Pr = 0.04, Cramer’s V = 0.08

  18–35

63.8

36.2

  36–50

59.7

40.3

  51–65

69.6

30.4

  More than 65

57.1

42.9

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 1.1464, Pr = 0.284, Cramer’s V = 0.03

  Unmarried

61.2

38.8

  Married

64.5

35.5

 Ethnicity

  Zaramo

64.8

35.2

χ² (2) = 3.7892, Pr = 0.150, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  Sambaa

70.6

29.4

  Others

61.8

38.2

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 2.7308, Pr = 0.255, Cramer’s V = 0.05

  Christian

64.5

35.5

  Muslim

62.6

37.4

  Traditional

100.0

0.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 1.2519, Pr = 0.263, Cramer’s V = 0.03

  Unemployed

57.5

42.5

  Employed

63.8

36.2

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 40.0745, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.19

  No education

37.9

62.1

  Primary

60.2

39.8

  Secondary

72.3

27.7

  Tertiary

69.1

30.9

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 15.6198, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.12

  Yes

46.7

53.3

  No

65.3

34.7

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 52.2237, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.21

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

72.9

27.1

  Pwani

61.4

38.6

  Tanga

48.2

51.8

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 16.3284, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = −0.12

  Not easy

70.7

29.3

  Easy

58.9

41.1

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 2.9761, Pr = 0.085, Cramer’s V = −0.05

  Rural

60.4

39.6

  Urban

65.4

34.6

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: feel I don’t make a difference (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 0.0229, Pr = 0.880, Cramer’s V = −0.004

  Male

55.1

44.9

  Female

54.7

45.3

 Age

  

  18–35

53.4

46.6

χ² (3) = 3.2677, Pr = 0.352, Cramer’s V = 0.05

  36–50

52.8

47.2

  51–65

59.3

40.7

  More than 65

57.1

42.9

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 20.0352, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.13

  Unmarried

45.8

54.2

  Married

59.7

40.3

 Ethnicity

  Zaramo

53.8

46.2

χ² (2) = 0.6465, Pr = 0.724, Cramer’s V = 0.02

  Sambaa

52.1

47.9

  Others

55.6

44.4

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 2.7983, Pr = 0.247, Cramer’s V = 0.05

  Christian

57.9

42.1

  Muslim

53.3

46.7

  Traditional

75.0

25.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 8.2399, Pr = 0.004, Cramer’s V = −0.08

  Unemployed

70.0

30.0

  Employed

53.7

46.3

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 3.9816, Pr = 0.263, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  No education

44.8

55.2

  Primary

55.7

44.3

  Secondary

56.4

43.6

  Tertiary

54.6

45.4

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 22.0902, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.14

  Yes

35.0

65.0

  No

57.3

42.7

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 5.2663, Pr = 0.072, Cramer’s V = 0.07

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

58.4

41.6

  Pwani

52.1

47.9

  Tanga

51.1

48.9

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 9.5747, Pr = 0.002, Cramer’s V = −0.09

  Not easy

60.7

39.3

  Easy

51.3

48.7

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 0.0039, Pr = 0.950, Cramer’s V = 0.001

  Rural

55.0

45.0

  Urban

54.8

45.2

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: I don’t believe in climate change (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 1.3781, Pr = 0.240, Cramer’s V = 0.03

  Male

6.3

93.7

  Female

8.1

91.9

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 4.9499, Pr = 0.176, Cramer’s V = 0.07

  18–35

8.9

91.1

  36–50

5.3

94.7

  51–65

6.7

93.3

  More than 65

10.4

89.6

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 0.0256, Pr = 0.873, Cramer’s V = 0.005

  Unmarried

7.1

92.9

  Married

7.3

92.7

 Ethnicity

  

χ² (2) = 12.9632, Pr = 0.002, Cramer’s V = 0.09

  Zaramo

6.8

93.2

  Sambaa

0.8

99.2

  Others

8.4

91.6

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 10.4669, Pr = 0.005, Cramer’s V = 0.09

  Christian

10.4

89.6

  Muslim

5.6

94.4

  Traditional

25.0

75.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 2.9819, Pr = 0.084, Cramer’s V = −0.05

  Unemployed

12.5

87.5

  Employed

6.9

93.1

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 8.8704, Pr = 0.031, Cramer’s V = 0.09

  No education

3.4

96.6

  Primary

5.8

94.2

  Secondary

8.3

91.7

  Tertiary

11.3

88.7

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 8.5152, Pr = 0.004, Cramer’s V = 0.09

  Yes

0.8

99.2

  No

8.0

92.0

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 64.8263, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.24

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

13.6

86.4

  Pwani

2.9

97.1

  Tanga

0.0

100.0

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 6.1195, Pr = 0.013, Cramer’s V = 0.07

  Not easy

4.9

95.1

  Easy

8.7

91.3

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 38.2802, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = −0.18

  Rural

1.5

98.5

  Urban

11.2

88.8

Distribution of self-reported barriers to adaptation to climate change: believe God will protect me (n = 1,130)

Variables

Yes (%)

No (%)

Pearson’s χ² (df)

Compositional factors

 Sex

  

χ² (1) = 0.1709, Pr = 0.679, Cramer’s V = −0.01

  Male

40.6

59.4

  Female

39.4

60.6

 Age

  

χ² (3) = 8.1728, Pr = 0.043, Cramer’s V = 0.08

  18–35

34.7

65.3

  36–50

41.6

58.4

  51–65

43.7

56.3

  More than 65

46.8

53.2

 Marital status

  

χ² (1) = 1.6277, Pr = 0.202, Cramer’s V = 0.04

  Unmarried

  

  Married

  

 Ethnicity

  

χ² (2) = 5.7772, Pr = 0.056, Cramer’s V = 0.07

  Zaramo

42.8

57.2

  Sambaa

30.2

69.8

  Others

40.7

59.4

 Religion

  

χ² (2) = 0.5618, Pr = 0.755, Cramer’s V = 0.02

  Christian

38.7

61.3

  Muslim

40.6

59.4

  Traditional

50.0

50.0

 Employment

  

χ² (1) = 2.6996, Pr = 0.100, Cramer’s V = −0.05

  Unemployed

48.8

51.2

  Employed

39.3

60.7

Income*

 Educational attainment

  

χ² (3) = 2.2766, Pr = 0.517, Cramer’s V = 0.24

  No education

34.5

65.5

  Primary

39.1

60.9

  Secondary

42.7

57.3

  Tertiary

40.7

59.3

Place-specific factors

 Availability of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 3.9549, Pr = 0.047, Cramer’s V = 0.06

  Yes

31.7

68.3

  No

41.0

59.0

 Region

  

χ² (2) = 24.4885, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = 0.15

  Dar es Salaam and Zanzibar

45.3

54.7

  Pwani

42.5

57.5

  Tanga

28.3

71.7

Distance to nearest health facility*

 Accessibility of health facility in the neighbourhood

  

χ² (1) = 14.0137, Pr = 0.000, Cramer’s V = −0.11

  Not easy

47.0

53.0

  Easy

35.7

64.3

 Residential locality

  

χ² (1) = 9.3832, Pr = 0.002, Cramer’s V = −0.09

  Rural

34.6

65.4

  Urban

43.7

56.3

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Armah, F.A., Luginaah, I., Hambati, H. et al. Assessing barriers to adaptation to climate change in coastal Tanzania: Does where you live matter?. Popul Environ 37, 231–263 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-015-0232-9

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