Skip to main content
Log in

Pitfalls for realistic decision theory: an illustration from sequential choice

  • Published:
Synthese Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Decision theory is a theory of rationality, but the concept of rationality has several different dimensions. Making decision theory more realistic with respect to one dimension may well have the result of making it less realistic in another dimension. This paper illustrates this tension in the context of sequential choice. Trying to make decision theory more realistic by accommodating resoluteness and commitment brings the normative assessment dimension of rationality into conflict with the action-guiding dimension. In the case of resolute choice the conflict comes because of a clash of perspectives. The perspective from which resolute choice seems normatively compelling is not the perspective from which it can serve the purpose of guiding action.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bermudez J.L. (2009) Decision theory and rationality. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Boghossian P. (2002) How are objective epistemic reasons possible?. In: Bermudez J.L., Millar A. (eds) Reason and nature: Essays in the theory of rationality. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp 15–48

    Google Scholar 

  • Broome J. (2004) Weighing lives. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Dummett M. (1978) The justification of deduction. In: Dummett M. (eds) Truth and other enigmas. Duckworth, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Gauthier D. (1986) Morals by agreement. Clarendon Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Hammond P.J. (1976) Changing tastes and coherent dynamic choice. The Review of Economic Studies 43(1): 159–173

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jeffrey R. (1974) Preference among preferences. The Journal of Philosophy 71(13): 377–391

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jeffrey R. (1983) The logic of decision. Chicago University Press, Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  • Lewis D. (1983) Philosophical Papers Vol 1. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Machina M. (1989) Dynamic consistency and non-expected utility models of choice under uncertainty. Journal of Economic Literature 27: 1622–1668

    Google Scholar 

  • McClennen E.F. (1990) Rationality and dynamic choice. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • McClennen E.F. (1998) Rationality and rules. In: Danielson P.A. (eds) Modeling rationality, morality, and evolution. Oxford University Press, New York, pp 13–40

    Google Scholar 

  • Pettit P. (2002) Rules, reasons, and norms. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Rabinowicz W. (1995) To have one’s cake and eat it: Sequential choice and expected utility violation. The Journal of Philosophy 92: 586–620

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raiffa H. (1968) Decision analysis: Introductory lectures on choices under uncertainty. Wesley-Addison, Reading, MA

    Google Scholar 

  • Schick F. (1991) Understanding action: An essay on reasons. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Schick F. (1997) Making choices: Recasting decision theory. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Schick F. (2003) Ambiguity and logic. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Strotz R.H. (1956) Myopia and inconsistency in dynamic utility maximization. The Review of Economic Studies 23: 165–180

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wright C. (2002) On basic logical knowledge. In: Bermudez J.L., Millar A. (eds) Reason and nature: Essays in the theory of rationality. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp 49–84

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to José Luis Bermúdez.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Bermúdez, J.L. Pitfalls for realistic decision theory: an illustration from sequential choice. Synthese 176, 23–40 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-009-9482-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-009-9482-3

Keywords

Navigation