Skip to main content
Log in

Osteoporosis risk assessment and ethnicity

Validation and comparison of 2 clinical risk stratification instruments

  • Original Articles
  • Published:
Journal of General Internal Medicine Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA), coupled with early treatment, may reduce morbidity and mortality associated with osteoporosis. Clinical tools to enhance selection of women for DXA screening have not been developed or validated in an ethnically diverse population.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of the osteoporosis risk assessment instrument (ORAI) and the simple calculated osteoporosis risk estimation (SCORE) instrument across 3 racial/ethnic groups to identify women who would benefit from DXA scans.

DESIGN: Blinded comparison of the instruments in a cross-sectional sample.

PARTICIPANTS: Two-hundred twenty-six postmenopausal women were recruited from a university-based family medicine clinic. Women with a prior diagnosis of osteoporosis or those taking bone active medications were excluded.

MEASUREMENTS: Participants completed a questionnaire that contained the ORAI and the SCORE questions; 203 completed a DXA scan.

RESULTS: The sensitivity and specificity for the ORAI (0.68, [0.49 to 0.88, 95% CI]; 0.66, [0.59 to 0.73, 95% CI]) and the SCORE instrument (0.54, [0.34 to 0.75, 95% CI]; 0.72, [0.65 to 0.78, 95% CI]) differed significantly from previous reports. Overall, the accuracy of the ORAI (66.5%) and SCORE instrument (70.0%) were similar (McNemar’s test P value=37). The accuracy between instruments differed significantly in African-American women (McNemar’s test, P value <.001). In African Americans, the SCORE instrument correctly identified more women without osteoporosis, but missed 70% of those with osteoporosis.

CONCLUSIONS: The performance of the ORAI and SCORE instrument differed significantly from previous reports. Although both can reduce the use of DXA scans for screening for osteoporosis, lower sensitivities resulted in underrecognition of osteoporosis and may limit their clinical usefulness in an ethnically diverse population.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Ray N, Chan J, Thamer M, Melton M. Medical expenditures for the treatment of osteoporotic fractures in the United States in 1995: report from the National Osteoporosis Foundation. J Bone Miner Res. 1997;12:24–35.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  2. Black D, Cummings S, Karpf D, et al. Randomised trial of effect of alendronate on risk of fracture in women with existing vertebral fractures. Lancet. 1996;347:1535–41.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Black D, Thompson D, Bauer D, et al. Fracture risk reduction with alendronate in women with osteoporosis: the fracture intervention trial. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2000;85:4118–24.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Bone H, Greenspan S, McKeever C, et al. Alendronate and estrogen effects in postmenopausal women with low bone mineral density. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2000;85:720–6.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  5. Downs RJ, Bell N, Ettinger M, et al. Comparison of alendronate and intranasal calcitonin for treatment of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2000;85:1783–8.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Ensrud K, Black D, Palermo L, et al. Treatment with alendronate prevents fractures in women at highest risk: results from the fracture intervention trial. Arch Intern Med. 1997;157:2617–24.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  7. Delmas P. Treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis. Lancet. 2002;359:2018–26.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  8. Hodsman A, Hanley D, Robert J. Do bisphosphonates reduce the risk of osteoporotic fractures? An evaluation of the evidence to date. Can Med Assoc J. 2002;166:1426–30.

    Google Scholar 

  9. Hosking D, Chilvers C, Christiansen C, et al. Prevention of bone loss with alendronate in postmenopausal women under 60 years of age. N Engl J Med. 1998;338:485–92.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  10. Epstein S. Postmenopausal osteoporosis: fracture consequences and treatment efficacy vary by skeletal site. Aging Clin Exp Res. 2000;12:330–41.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  11. Harris S, Watts N, Genant H, et al. Effects of risedronate treatment on vertebral and nonvertebral fractures in women with postmenopausal osteoporosis: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 1999;282:1344–52.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  12. McClung M, Geusens P, Miller P, et al. Effect of risedronate on the risk of hip fracture in elderly women. N Engl J Med. 2001;344:333–40.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  13. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for osteoporosis in postmenopausal women: recommendations and rationale. Ann Intern Med. 2002;137:526–8.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. National Osteoporosis Foundation. NOF applauds USPSTF recommendations on BMD tests. NOF Press Release, September 16, 2002

  15. Wanko S, Inouye L. Gender and ethnic disparities in osteoporosis risk factors and screening. J Gen Intern Med. 2003;18(Suppl 1):266.

    Google Scholar 

  16. Michaëlsson K, Bergstrom R, Mallmin H, Holmberg L, Wolk A, Ljunghall S. Screening for osteopenia and osteoporosis: selection by body composition. Osteoporos Int. 1996;6:120–6.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Lydick E, Cook K, Turpin J, Melton M, Stine R, Byrnes C. Development and validation of a simple questionnaire to facilitate identification of women likely to have low bone density. Am J Managed Care. 1998;4:37–48.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  18. Black D, Palermo L, Pearson J, Abbott T, Johnell O. SOFSURF: a simple, useful risk factor system can identify the large majority of women with osteoporosis. Bone. 1998;23(Suppl 5):S605.

  19. Weinstein L, Ullery B, Bourguignon C. A simple system to determine who needs osteoporosis screening. Obstet Gynecol. 1999;93(Part 1):757–60.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  20. Cadarette S, Jaglal S, Kreiger N, McIsaac W, Darlington G, Tu J. Development and validation of the osteoporosis risk assessment instrument to facilitate selection of women for bone densitometry. Can Med Assoc J. 2000;162:1289–94.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  21. Koh L, Sedrine W, Torralba T, et al. A simple tool to identify Asian women at increased risk of osteoporosis. Osteoporos Int. 2001;12:699–705.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  22. National Osteoporosis Foundation. Physician’s Guide to Prevention and Treatment of Osteoporosis. Washington, DC: National Osteoporosis Foundation; 2003.

    Google Scholar 

  23. World Health Organization. Assessment of Fracture Risk and its Application to Screening for Postmenopausal Osteoporosis. Geneva: World Health Organization; 1994.

    Google Scholar 

  24. Cadarette S, Jaglal S, Murray T, et al. Evaluation of decision rules for referring women for bone densitometry by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry. JAMA. 2001;286:57–63.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. McNemar Q. Note on the sampling error of the difference between correlated proportions or percentages. Psychometrika. 1947;12:153–7.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  26. Elashoff JD. nQuery Advisor Version 4.0 User’s Guide. Los Angeles, CA: Statistical Solutions Ltd; 2000.

    Google Scholar 

  27. Looker A, Johnston C, Wahner H, et al. Prevalence of low femoral bone density in older US women from NHANES III. J Bone Miner Res. 1995;10:796–802.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  28. Anonymous. Osteoporosis among estrogen-deficient women—United States, 1988–1994. MMWR. 1998;47:969–73.

  29. Looker A, Wahner H, Dunn W, et al. Updated data on proximal femur bone mineral levels of US adults. Osteoporos Int. 1998;8:468–89.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  30. Looker A, Orwoll E, Johnston C, et al. Prevalence of low femoral bone density in older US adults from NHANES III. J Bone Miner Res. 1997;12:1761–8.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  31. Silverman S, Madison R. Decreased incidence of hip fracture in Hispanics, Asians, and Blacks: California hospital discharge data. Am J Public Health. 1988;78:1482–3.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  32. Finkelstein J, Lee M, Sowers M, et al. Ethnic variation in bone density in premenopausal and early perimenopausal women: effects of anthroppometric and lifestyle factors. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2002;87:3057–67.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  33. Binstock M. Osteoporosis: risk factor prevalence and drug and densitometry utilization. Obstet Gynecol. 2000;95(Suppl 4):50S.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alvah R. Cass MD, SM.

Additional information

Prior presentations: Clinical Stratification of Risk for Osteoporosis in Women from an Ethnically Diverse Population, October 25 to 28, 2003, Banff, Alberta, Canada, North American Primary Care Research Group Annual Meeting.

Conflict of interest notification: The authors have no potential conflicts of interest to disclose.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Cass, A.R., Shepherd, A.J. & Carlson, C.A. Osteoporosis risk assessment and ethnicity. J Gen Intern Med 21, 630–635 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1525-1497.2006.00459.x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1525-1497.2006.00459.x

Key words

Navigation