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Forecasting environmental health risks based on the kinetic theory of aging of living systems

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“It is difficult to avoid two things: dullness if you confine yourself to your specialty and inconsistency if you go beyond it.” Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

Abstract

A method of iterative congruence for searching for the parameters of a kinetic mathematical model for aging of living systems using medical statistics data is developed. Its possibilities for describing risk functions of mortality and life expectancy for humans and animals depending on environmental factors are illustrated. The concept of forecasting environmental risks, i.e., risks to the population’s health from ecological factors, is formulated.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Applied Research Center for Medical and Ecological Safety, ul. Smol’naya 21/1, Moscow, 125493, Russia

    A. A. Viktorov

  2. Research and Development Center Pharmprotection, Russian Federal Medical and Biological Agency, Vashutinskoe sh. 11, Khimki, Moscow oblast, 141402, Russia

    V. D. Gladkikh

  3. National Research Nuclear University MEPhI (Moscow Engineering Physics Institute), Kashirskoe sh. 31, Moscow, 115409, Russia

    A. I. Ksenofontov

  4. Central Children’s Clinical Hospital, Russian Federal Medical and Biological Agency, ul. Moskvorech’e 20, Moscow, 115309, Russia

    E. E. Morozova

Authors
  1. A. A. Viktorov
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  2. V. D. Gladkikh
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  3. A. I. Ksenofontov
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  4. E. E. Morozova
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. A. Viktorov.

Additional information

Original Russian Text © A.A. Viktorov, V.D. Gladkikh, A.I. Ksenofontov, E.E. Morozova, 2014, published in Uspekhi Gerontologii, 2014, Vol. 27, No. 1, pp. 37–43.

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Viktorov, A.A., Gladkikh, V.D., Ksenofontov, A.I. et al. Forecasting environmental health risks based on the kinetic theory of aging of living systems. Adv Gerontol 5, 141–146 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1134/S2079057015030133

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S2079057015030133

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