Abstract
In this paper, we propose a novel deep recurrent neural network as an Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) progression model, capable of jointly conducting tasks of missing values imputation, phenotypic measurements forecast, and clinical state prediction of a subject based on his/her longitudinal imaging biomarkers. Unlike the existing methods that mostly ignore missing values or impute them by means of an independent statistical model before training a disease progression model, we devise a unified recurrent network architecture for jointly performing missing values imputation, biomarker values forecast, and clinical state prediction from the longitudinal data. For these tasks to be handled in a unified framework, we also define an objective function that can be efficiently optimized by means of stochastic gradient descent in an end-to-end manner. We validated the effectiveness of our proposed method by comparing with the comparative methods over the TADPOLE challenge cohort.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
- 2.
\(\left\{ \mathbf{W}_{x},\mathbf{b}_{x},\mathbf{W}_{\gamma },\mathbf{b}_{\gamma },\mathbf{W}_{z}\mathbf{b}_{z},\mathbf{W}_{\beta },\mathbf{b}_{\beta },\mathbf{W}_{h},\mathbf{U}_{h},\mathbf{b}_{h},\mathbf{W}_{y},\mathbf{b}_{y},\mathbf{W}_{f}, \mathbf{b}_{f}\right\} \).
References
Albright, J.: Forecasting the Progression of Alzheimer’s Disease using Neural Networks and a Novel Pre-Processing Algorithm. arXiv preprint arXiv:1903.07510 (2019)
Cao, W., Wang, D., Li, J., Zhou, H., Li, L., Li, Y.: BRITS: bidirectional recurrent imputation for time series. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 31, 6775–6785 (2018)
Che, Z., Purushotham, S., Cho, K., Sontag, D., Liu, Y.: Recurrent neural networks for multivariate time series with missing values. Sci. Rep. 8, 6085 (2018)
Davis, W.: A new method for measuring cranial cavity volume and its ppplication to the assessment of cerebral atrophy at autopsy. Neuropathol. Appl. Neurobiol. 3(5), 341–358 (1977)
Ghazi, M.M., et al.: Training recurrent neural networks robust to incomplete data: application to Alzheimer’s disease progression modeling. Med. Image Anal. 53, 39–46 (2019)
Hand, D.J., Till, R.J.: A simple generalisation of the area under the ROC curve for multiple class classification problems. Mach. Learn. 45(2), 171–186 (2001)
Jarrett, D., Yoon, J., van der Schaar, M.: MATCH-Net: dynamic prediction in survival analysis using convolutional neural networks. In: Machine Learning for Health (ML4H) Workshop, Neural Information Processing Systems, vol. 31 (2018)
Li, K., Chan, W., Doody, R.S., Quinn, J., Luo, S.: Prediction of conversion to Alzheimer’s disease with longitudinal measures and time-to-event data. J. Alzheimer’s Dis. 58(2), 361–371 (2017)
Lipton, Z.C., Kale, D.C., Wetzel, R.: Modeling missing data in clinical time series with RNNs. In: Proceedings of Machine Learning for Healthcare, vol. 56 (2016)
Marinescu, R.V., et al.: TADPOLE Challenge: Prediction of Longitudinal Evolution in Alzheimer’s Disease. arXiv preprint arXiv:1805.03909 (2018)
Moore, P.J., Lyons, T.J., Gallacher, J.: Random forest prediction of Alzheimer’s disease using pairwise selection from time series data. PLoS ONE 14(2), e0211558 (2019)
Acknowledgement
This work was supported by Institute for Information & communications Technology Planning & Evaluation (IITP) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIT) (No. 2017-0-01779, A machine learning and statistical inference framework for explainable artificial intelligence). According to ADNI’s data use agreement (https://ida.loni.usc.edu/collaboration/access/appLicense.jsp).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Jung, W., Mulyadi, A.W., Suk, HI. (2019). Unified Modeling of Imputation, Forecasting, and Prediction for AD Progression. In: Shen, D., et al. Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention – MICCAI 2019. MICCAI 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11767. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32251-9_19
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32251-9_19
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-32250-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-32251-9
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)