Skip to main content

An Agent-Based Simulation to Study the Effect of Consumer Panic Buying on Supply Chain

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Highlights in Practical Applications of Agents, Multi-Agent Systems, and Trust-worthiness. The PAAMS Collection (PAAMS 2020)

Abstract

This paper presents the development of an agent-based model to study the response of a supply chain of bottled water due to consumer panic buying, triggered by a large-scale disaster, by modelling the consumers and the supply chain stakeholders as autonomous agents. Consumer panic buying increases the demand of product which proves difficult for the stores to handle. The model helps in understanding the performance of the supply chain due to the sudden rise in demand and the strategies applied to control it. A preliminary study to show the effectiveness of the consumer quota policy, used by the retailers, in handling the supply chain disruption and in fulfilling essential consumer needs is presented here.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Yoon, J., Narasimhan, R., Kim, M.: Retailer’s sourcing strategy under consumer stockpiling in anticipation of supply disruptions. Int. J. Prod. Res. 56(10), 3615–3635 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Kurihara, S., Maruyama, A., Luloff, A.: Analysis of consumer behavior in the Tokyo metropolitan area after the great East Japan earthquake. J. Food Sys. Res. 18(4), 415–426 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Increasing Disasters, Munich Re, Geo Risks Research, NatCatSERVICE, March 2019. https://www.iii.org/graph-archive/96424. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

  4. Ministry of Health: Labour and Welfare, Increase of radioactive iodine in City tap water. https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/houdou/2r985200000167kd.html. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

  5. Bottled water import by manufacturers. http://www.promarconsulting.com/compa ny-news/special-report-impact-of-japans-disasters/. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

  6. Liren, X., Junmei, C., Mingqin, Z.: Research on panic purchase’s behavior mechanism. In: Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Innovation and Management, pp. 1332–1335 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Cavallo, A., Cavallo, E., Rigobon, R.: Prices and supply disruptions during natural disasters. Rev. Income Wealth 60, S449–S471 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Inoue, H., Todo, Y.: Firm-level simulation of supply chain disruption triggered by actual and predicted earthquakes. In: RIETI Discussion Paper Series (2018). 18-E-013

    Google Scholar 

  9. Ivanov, D., Wendler, E.: Natural disasters and supply chain disruption management. In: Handbook of Disaster Risk Reduction and Management. World Scientific (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Shou, B., Xiong, H., Shen, X.: Consumer panic buying and quota policy under supply disruptions. Working Paper. City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Russell and Taylor: Operations Management, 7th. edn. John Wiley, Hoboken (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Seven-Eleven Japan’s business model. http://www.7andi.com/library/dbps_data/_template_/_res/ir/library/ar/pdf/2012_11.pdf. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

  13. Suntory R&D, production market report. https://www.suntory.com/softdrink/news/pr/article/SBF0557E.html. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

  14. Ministry of Foreign affairs of Japan (2018). https://www.mofa.go.jp/policy/human/women_rep5/010.html. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

  15. Yano, et al.: Water consumption survey, March 2007. https://unit.aist.go.jp/riss/crm/exposurefactors/documents/factor/food_intake/intake_water.pdf. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

  16. National health and nutrition examination survey, National center for health statistics, CDC, United States of America. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/index.htm. Accessed 16 Jan 2020

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Rithika Dulam .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Dulam, R., Furuta, K., Kanno, T. (2020). An Agent-Based Simulation to Study the Effect of Consumer Panic Buying on Supply Chain. In: De La Prieta, F., et al. Highlights in Practical Applications of Agents, Multi-Agent Systems, and Trust-worthiness. The PAAMS Collection. PAAMS 2020. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1233. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-51999-5_21

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-51999-5_21

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-51998-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-51999-5

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics