Abstract
The problem of tumor growth prediction is challenging, but promising results have been achieved with both model-driven and statistical methods. In this work, we present a framework for the evaluation of growth predictions that focuses on the spatial infiltration patterns, and specifically evaluating a prediction of future growth. We propose to frame the problem as a ranking problem rather than a segmentation problem. Using the average precision as a metric, we can evaluate the results with segmentations while using the full spatiotemporal prediction. Furthermore, by applying a biophysical tumor growth model to 21 patient cases we compare two schemes for fitting and evaluating predictions. By carefully designing a scheme that separates the prediction from the observations used for fitting the model, we show that a better fit of model parameters does not guarantee a better predictive power.
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This work was supported by the Dutch Cancer Society (project number 11026, GLASS-NL) and the Dutch Organization for Scientific Research (NWO).
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van Garderen, K.A. et al. (2022). Evaluating Glioma Growth Predictions as a Forward Ranking Problem. In: Crimi, A., Bakas, S. (eds) Brainlesion: Glioma, Multiple Sclerosis, Stroke and Traumatic Brain Injuries. BrainLes 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 12962. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08999-2_8
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