Skip to main content

The Global Spread of Islamism: An Agent-Based Computer Model

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Social Networks: A Framework of Computational Intelligence

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 526))

  • 1262 Accesses

Abstract

We use an agent-based model to model a dynamic network that considers the rate at which Islamism will spread globally. We define Islamism as the organized political trend that seeks to solve modern political problems by referencing Muslim teachings. The trend is also associated with Radical Islam or Islamic Fundamentalism and is often revolutionary and violent in nature. The model assumes that Islamism spreads from state to state based on existing relations that replicate those defining global trade and communications. Islamism must diffuse through these existing networks. Since Islamism is inimical to western liberal values such as women’s rights and social tolerance, the diffusion of Islamism is hindered by a strong commitment to western liberal values. We include all countries in the analysis, scored on the degree to which they are committed to Islamism and western liberal values.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Esposito, J.L.: Claiming the center: political Islam in transition. Harv. Int. Rev. 19(2), 8–16 (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Gould, C.C.: Golbalizing Democracy and Human Rights. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Tibi, B.: Political Islam, world politics, and Europe: democratic peace and Euro-Islam vs. Global Jihad. Routledge, New York (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Marshall, P.: Radical Islam’s rules: the worldwide spread of extreme Shari’a law. Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, INC, Maryland (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Morris, A.D., McClurg Mueller, C.: Frontiers in Social Movement Theory. Yale University Press, London (1992)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Bayat, A.: Islamism and social movement theory. In: Third World Quarterly, vol. 26, pp. 891–908. Taylor and Francis Ltd., UK (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Burgat, F., Dowell, W., Fernea, R.: The Islamic movement in North Africa. In: Middle East Studies Association Bulletin, vol. 28, p 238. Indiana University Press, London (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Jackson, M.O., Yariv, L.: Diffusion on social networks. Économie Publique/Public economics 16, 69–82 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Jackson, M.O.: Social and Economic Networks. Princeton University Press, New Jersey (2008)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. Pastor-Satorras, R., Vespignani, A.: Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks. Phys. Rev. Lett. 86, 3200–3203 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Pastor-Satorras, R., Vespignani, A.: Epidemic dynamics and endemic states in complex networks. Phy Rev E Stat Nonlinear Soft Matter Phy 63, 1–8 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  12. May, R.M., Lloyd, A.L.: Infections on scale-free networks. In: Physical Review E: Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics, vol 64, pp. 1–6. University of Oxford, Oxford (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Dezso, Z., Barabasi, A.-L.: Halting viruses in scale-free networks. In: Physical Review E. vol. 65, pp. 1–4. University of Notre Dame, Indiana (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Newman, M. E. J., Forrest, S., Balthrop, J.: Email networks and the spread of computer viruses. Phys Rev E. 66, 1–4 (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Jackson, M.O., Yariv, L.: Diffusion on social networks. Économie Publique/Public economics 4, 6 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Jackson, M.O., Yariv, L.: Diffusion on Social Networks. In: Économie Publique/Public economics 4, 7 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Young, H.P.: The Diffusion of Innovations on Social Networks. John Hopkins University, Baltimore (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Jackson, M.O., Yariv, L.: Diffusion on social networks. Économie Publique/Public economics 4, 8 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Jackson, M.O., Yariv, L.: Diffusion on social networks. Économie Publique/Public economics 4, 5 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Embassy Pages. Embassy Pages. www.embassypages.com (2012)

  21. TeleGeography. Submarine Cable Map. http://www.submarinecablemap.com/ (2012)

  22. TeleGeography. Global Traffic Map 2010. http://www.telegeography.com/assets/website/images/maps/global-traffic-map-2010/global-traffic-map-2010-l.jpg (2012)

  23. Central Intelligence Agency Electricity—Consumption.CIA. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2042rank.html

  24. Central Intelligence Agency. Electricity exports. Central Intelligence Agency. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2044.html

  25. Central Intelligence Agency. Electricity imports. Central Intelligence Agency. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/fields/2043.html

  26. Matthias, L., Mutschler, U.: BDEW: Germany remains electricity exporter, but imports increase significantly. In: German Energy Blog. http://www.germanenergyblog.de/?p=7218 (2011)

  27. National Energy Grid: National energy grid map index. In: National Energy Grid. http://www.geni.org/globalenergy/library/national_energy_grid/index.shtml (2012)

  28. Tara, P.: Germany becomes net power importer from France after atomic halt. In: Bloomberg. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-30/germany-becomes-net-power-importer-from-france-after-atomic-halt.html (2011)

  29. European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity: Indicative values for Net Transfer Capacities (NTC) in continental Europe Winter 2010/11, working day, peak hours (non-binding values). https://www.entsoe.eu/publications/market-and-rd-reports/ntc-values/ntc-matrix/ (2011)

  30. Radio Free Europe: Tajikistan, Pakistan discuss electricity exports. In: RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. http://www.rferl.org/content/tajikistan_pakistan_discuss_electricity_exports/24441274.html (2012)

  31. Kelman, H.C.: Compliance, identification, and internalization: three processes of attitude change. J Conflict Resolut 2, 51–60 (1958)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Wang, Y., Xiao, G., Liu, J.: Dynamics of Competing Ideas in Complex Social Systems. Cornell University Library. http://arxiv.org/abs/1112.5534 (2011)

  33. Freedom House: Freedom in the World 2012: the Arab uprisings and their global repercussions. http://www.freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/freedom-world-2012 (2012)

  34. CIA World Factbook: The World Factbook. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/ (2012)

  35. Council of Foreign Relations: Islam: governing under Sharia. http://www.cfr.org/religion/islam-governing-under-sharia/p8034 (2013)

  36. Travel.State.Gov.: Country specific information. http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_tw/cis/cis_4965.html (2013)

  37. USCIRF.gov.: The religion-state relationship and the right to freedom of religion or belief: a comparative textual analysis of the constitutions of majority Muslim countries and other OIC members. http://www.uscirf.gov/reports-and-briefs/special-reports/3787.html (2012)

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mark J. Wierman .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Appendices

Appendix 1. Dendrogram Representing Ties Between States

Appendix 2. Islamism Scores

Country 

Islamism

Afghanistan

4

Albania

1

Algeria

4

Andorra

0

Angola

0

Antigua and Barbuda

0

Argentina

0

Armenia

0

Australia

0

Austria

0

Azerbaijan

2

Bahamas

0

Bahrain

4

Bangladesh

4

Barbados

0

Belarus

0

Belgium

0

Belize

0

Benin

0

Bhutan

0

Bolivia

0

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0

Botswana

0

Brazil

0

Brunei Darussalem

4

Bulgaria

0

Burkina Faso

2

Burma

0

Burundi

0

Cambodia

0

Cameroon

0

Canada

0

Cape Verde

0

Central African Republic

0

Chad

2

Chile

0

China

0

Columbia

0

Comoros

3

Congo

0

Congo, Democratic Republic of

0

Costa Rica

0

Cote d’Ivoire

0

Croatia

0

Cuba

0

Cyprus

0

Czech Republic

0

Denmark

0

Djibouti

2

Dominica

0

Dominican Republic

0

Ecuador

0

Egypt

4

El Salvador

0

Equatorial Guinea

0

Eritrea

0

Estonia

0

Ethiopia

0

Fiji

0

Finland

0

France

0

Gabon

0

Gambia

2

Georgia

0

Germany

0

Ghana

0

Greece

0

Grenada

0

Guatamala

0

Guinea

2

Guinea-Bissau

0

Guyana

0

Haiti

0

Holy See (Vatican City)

0

Honduras

0

Hungary

0

Iceland

0

India

0

Indonesia

1

Iran

4

Iraq

4

Ireland

0

Israel

0

Italy

0

Jamaica

0

Japan

0

Jordan

4

Kazakhstan

2

Kenya

0

Kiribati

0

Korea, North

0

Korea, South

0

Kosovo

2

Kuwait

4

Kyrgyzstan

2

Laos

0

Latvia

0

Lebanon

1

Lesotho

0

Liberia

0

Libya

4

Liechtenstein

0

Lithuania

0

Luxembourg

0

Macedonia

0

Madagascar

0

Malawi

0

Malaysia

4

Maldives

4

Mali

2

Malta

0

Marshall Islands

0

Mauritania

4

Mauritius

0

Mexico

0

Micronesia

0

Moldova

0

Monaco

0

Mongolia

0

Montenegro

0

Morocco

4

Mozambique

0

Namibia

0

Nauru

0

Nepal

0

Netherlands

0

New Zealand

0

Nicaragua

0

Niger

2

Nigeria

3

Norway

0

Oman

4

Pakistan

4

Palau

0

Panma

0

Papua New Guinea

0

Paraguay

0

Peru

0

Phillipines

0

Poland

0

Portugal

0

Qatar

4

Romania

0

Russia

0

Rwanda

0

St. Kitts and Nevis

0

St. Lucia

0

St. Vincent and The Grenadines

0

Samoa

0

San Marino

0

Sao Tome and Principe

0

Saudi Arabia

4

Senegal

2

Serbia

0

Seychelles

0

Sierra Leone

1

Singapore

0

Slovakia

0

Slovenia

0

Solomon Islands

0

Somalia

4

South Africa

0

South Sudan

0

Spain

0

Sri Lanka

0

Sudan

3

Suriname

0

Swaziland

0

Sweden

0

Switzerland

0

Syria

1

Taiwan

0

Tajikistan

2

Tanzania

0

Thailand

0

Timor-Leste

0

Togo

0

Tonga

0

Trinidad and Tobago

0

Tunisia

4

Turkey

2

Turkmenistan

2

Tuvalu

0

Uganda

0

Ukraine

0

United Arab Emirates

4

United Kingdom

0

United States

0

Uruguay

0

Uzbekistan

2

Vanuatu

0

Venezuela

0

Vietnam

0

Yemen

4

Zambia

0

Zimbabwe

0

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Eichman, M.L., Rolfsen, J.A., Wierman, M.J., Mordeson, J.N., Clark, T.D. (2014). The Global Spread of Islamism: An Agent-Based Computer Model. In: Pedrycz, W., Chen, SM. (eds) Social Networks: A Framework of Computational Intelligence. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 526. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-02993-1_18

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-02993-1_18

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-02992-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-02993-1

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics