Skip to main content

Econometric Models of Yield Changes with Weather Shocks

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Micro-Behavioral Economics of Global Warming

Part of the book series: Advances in Global Change Research ((AGLO,volume 60))

  • 716 Accesses

Abstract

This chapter describes the methods and major findings from the econometric models of grain yield changes and/or weather fluctuations. The results from the econometric models are reconciled with those from the G-MAP models using the modeling capacities of the two methodologies to capture adaptation strategies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Adams R, Rosenzweig C, Peart RM, Ritchie JT, McCarl BA, Glyer JD, Curry RB, Jones JW, Boote KJ, Allen LH (1990) Global climate change and US agriculture. Nature 345:219–224

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ainsworth EA, Long SP (2005) What have we learned from 15 years of free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE)? A meta-analytic review of the responses of photosynthesis, canopy properties and plant production to rising CO2. New Phytology 165:351–371

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Auffhammer M, Ramaathan V, Vincent JR (2006) Integrated model shows that atmospheric brown clouds and greenhouse gases have reduced rice harvests in India. Proc Natl Acad Sci 103:19668–19672

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Deschenes O, Greenstone M (2007) The economic impacts of climate change: evidence from agricultural output and random fluctuations in weather. Am Econ Rev 97:354–385

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Deschenes O, Greenstone M (2012) The economic impacts of climate change: evidence from agricultural output and random fluctuations in weather: reply. Am Econ Rev 102:3761–3773

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fisher AC, Hanemann WM, Roberts MJ, Schlenker W (2012) The economic impacts of climate change: evidence from agricultural output and random fluctuations in weather: comment. Am Econ Rev 102:3749–3760

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heckman J (1979) Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica 47:153–162

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (1990) Climate change: the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones CA, Kiniry JR (1986) CERES-Maize: a stimulation model of maize growth and development. Texas A&M University Press, College Station

    Google Scholar 

  • Kazianga H, Udry C (2006) Consumption smoothing? Livestock, insurance, and drought in rural Burkina Faso. J Dev Econ 79:413–446

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lobell D, Schlenker W, Costa-Roberts J (2011) Climate trends and global crop production since 1980. Science 333:616–620

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Masseti E, Mendelsohn R, Chonabayashi S (2014) Using degree days to value farmland?, Yale University (Unpublished)

    Google Scholar 

  • McCarl BA, Villavicencio X, Wu X (2008) Climate change and future analysis: is stationarity dying? Am J Agr Econ 90:1241–1247

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reilly J, Baethgen W, Chege F, Van de Geijn S, Enda L, Iglesias A, Kenny G, Patterson D, Rogasik J, Rotter R, Rosenzweig C, Sombroek W, Westbrook J (1996) Agriculture in a changing climate: impacts and adaptations. In: Watson R, Zinyowera M, Moss R, Dokken D (eds) Climate change 1995: impacts, adaptations, and mitigation of climate change. Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Yang XB, Epstein PR, Chivian E (2001) Climate change and extreme weather events: implications for food production, plant diseases, and pests. Global Change Hum Health 2(2):90–104

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schlenker W, Lobell D (2010) Robust negative impacts of climate change on African agriculture. Environ Res Lett 5:1–8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schlenker W, Roberts M (2009) Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to crop yields under climate change. Proc Natl Sci Acad US 106(37):15594–15598

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN (2010a) Is an integrated farm more resilient against climate change?: a micro-econometric analysis of portfolio diversification in African agriculture? Food Policy 35:32–40

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN (2010b) A microeconometric analysis of adapting portfolios to climate change: adoption of agricultural systems in Latin America. Appl Econ Perspect Policy 32:489–514

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN (2012a) Adapting natural resource enterprises under global warming in South America: a mixed logit analysis. Econ J Lat Am Caribb Econ Assoc 12:111–135

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN (2012b) Decision making under climate risks: an analysis of Sub-Saharan farmers’ adaptation behaviors. Weather Clim Soc 4:285–299

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN (2013a) Refining spatial resolution and spillovers of a microeconometric model of adapting portfolios to climate change. Mitig Adapt Strat Glob Chang 18:1019–1034

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN (2013b) An essay on the impact of climate change on US agriculture: weather fluctuations, climatic shifts, and adaptation strategies. Clim Chang 121:115–124

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN (2014) Evaluation of agro-ecological zone methods for the study of climate change with micro farming decisions in Sub-Saharan Africa. Eur J Agron 52:157–165

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2008) Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: a structural Ricardian model of African livestock management. Agric Econ 38:151–165

    Google Scholar 

  • Stige LC, Stave J, Chan K, Ciannelli L, Pettorelli N, Glants M, Herren HR, Stenseth NC (2006) The effect of climate variation on agro-pastoral production in Africa. Proc Natl Sci Acad US 103:3049–3053

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tubiello FN, Amthor JA, Boote KJ, Donatelli M, Easterling W, Fischer G, Gifford RM, Howden M, Reilly J, Rosenzweig C (2007) Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply. Eur J Agron 26:215–223

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Udry C (1995) Risk and saving in Northern Nigeria. Am Econ Rev 85:1287–1300

    Google Scholar 

  • Welch JR, Vincent JR, Auffhammer M, Moya PF, Dobermann A, Dawe D (2010) Rice yields in tropical/subtropical Asia exhibit large but opposing sensitivities to minimum and maximum temperatures. Proc Natl Sci Acad US 107:14562–14567

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Wright B (2011) The economics of grain price volatility. Appl Econ Perspect Policy 33:32–58

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. Niggol Seo .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Seo, S.N. (2015). Econometric Models of Yield Changes with Weather Shocks. In: Micro-Behavioral Economics of Global Warming. Advances in Global Change Research, vol 60. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-15946-1_5

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics