Skip to main content

Generating Competitive Technical Intelligence Using Topical Analysis, Patent Citation Analysis, and Term Clumping Analysis

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Anticipating Future Innovation Pathways Through Large Data Analysis

Part of the book series: Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management ((ITKM))

Abstract

Because of the flexibility and complexity of Newly Emerging Science and Technologies (NESTs), traditional statistical analysis fails to capture technology evolution in detail. Tracking technology evolution pathways supports industrial, governmental, and academic decisions to guide future development trends. Patents are one of the most important NESTs data sources and are pertinent to developmental paths. This paper draws upon text analyses, augmented by expert knowledge, to identify key NESTs sub-domains and component technologies. We then complement those analyses with patent citation analysis to help track developmental progressions. We identify key sub-domain patents, associated with particular component technology trajectories, then extract pivotal patents via citation analysis. We compose evolutionary pathways by combining citation and topical intelligence obtained through term clumping. We demonstrate our approach with empirical analysis of dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs), as an example of a promising NESTs, contributing to the remarkable growth in the renewable energy industry. The systematic approach we proposed not only offers a macro-perspective covering technology development levels and future trends, but also makes R&D information accessible for micro-level probes as needed. We work to uncover developmental trends and to compile mentions of possible applications, and this study informs NESTs management by spotting prime opportunities for innovation.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Batagelj, V., & Mrvar, A. (2004). Pajek-analysis and visualization of large networks. Berlin Heidelberg: Springer.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Barirani, A., Agard, B., & Beaudry, C. (2013). Discovering and assessing fields of expertise in nanomedicine: A patent co-citation network perspective. Scientometrics, 94(3), 1111–1136.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bengisu, M. (2003). Critical and emerging technologies in materials, manufacturing, and industrial engineering: A study for priority setting. Scientometrics, 58(3), 473–487.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boyack, K. W., Börner, K., & Klavans, R. (2009). Mapping the structure and evolution of chemistry research. Scientometrics, 79(1), 45–60.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang, P. L., Wu, C. C., & Leu, H. J. (2010). Using patent analyses to monitor the technological trends in an emerging field of technology: A case of carbon nanotube field emission display. Scientometrics, 82(1), 5–19.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cho, T. S., & Shih, H. Y. (2011). Patent citation network analysis of core and emerging technologies in Taiwan: 1997–2008. Scientometrics, 89(3), 795–811.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Choi, C., & Park, Y. (2009). Monitoring the organic structure of technology based on the patent development paths. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76(6), 754–768.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Choi, S., Kim, H., Yoon, J., Kim, K., & Lee, J. Y. (2013). An SAO-based text-mining approach for technology roadmapping using patent information. R&D Management, 43(1), 52–74.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Daim, T. U., Rueda, G., Martin, H., & Gerdsri, P. (2006). Forecasting emerging technologies: Use of bibliometrics and patent analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(8), 981–1012.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dibiaggio, L., & Nesta, L. (2005). Patents statistics, knowledge specialisation and the organisation of competencies. Revue d’économie industrielle, 110(1), 103–126.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Érdi, P., Makovi, K., Somogyvári, Z., Strandburg, K., Tobochnik, J., Volf, P., & Zalányi, L. (2013). Prediction of emerging technologies based on analysis of the US patent citation network. Scientometrics, 95(1), 225–242.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harhoff, D., Scherer, F. M., & Vopel, K. (2003). Citations, family size, opposition and the value of patent rights. Research Policy, 32(8), 1343–1363.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Han, K., & Shin, J. (2014). A systematic way of identifying and forecasting technological reverse salients using QFD, bibliometrics, and trend impact analysis: A carbon nanotube biosensor case. Technovation, 34(9), 559–570.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ho, J. C., Saw, E. C., Lu, L. Y., & Liu, J. S. (2014). Technological barriers and research trends in fuel cell technologies: A citation network analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 82, 66–79.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huang, L., Zhang, Y., Guo, Y., Zhu, D., & Porter, A. L. (2014a). Four dimensional Science and Technology planning: A new approach based on bibliometrics and technology roadmapping. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 81, 39–48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang Y., Zhu F. Guo Y., Porter, A.L., & Zhu, D.(2014b). Identifying technology evolution pathways based on tech mining and patent citation network- illustrated for dye-sensitized solar cells. Proceedings-the 5th International Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA). Brussels, Belgium.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jaffe, A. B., & Trajtenberg, M. (2002). Patents, citations, and innovations: A window on the knowledge economy. MIT press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kajikawa, Y., & Takeda, Y. (2008). Structure of research on biomass and bio-fuels: A citation-based approach. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 75(9), 1349–1359.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kostoff, R. N., & Schaller, R. R. (2001). Science and technology roadmaps. Engineering Management, IEEE Transactions on, 48(2), 132–143.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lacasa, I. D., Grupp, H., & Schmoch, U. (2003). Tracing technological change over long periods in Germany in chemicals using patent statistics. Scientometrics, 57(2), 175–195.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lee, C., Seol, H., & Park, Y. (2007). Identifying new IT-based service concepts based on the technological strength: A text mining and morphology analysis approach. The 4th International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery, (Vol. 4, pp. 36–40).

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, C. Y., Lee, J. D., & Kim, Y. (2008a). Demand forecasting for new technology with a short history in a competitive environment: The case of the home networking market in South Korea. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 75(1), 91–106.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lee, S., Lee, S., Seol, H., & Park, Y. (2008b). Using patent information for designing new product and technology: Keyword based technology roadmapping. R&D Management, 38(2), 169–188.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lee, S., Yoon, B., Lee, C., & Park, J. (2009). Business planning based on technological capabilities: Patent analysis for technology-driven roadmapping. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76(6), 769–786.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ma, J., & Porter, A. L. (2015). Analyzing patent topical information to identify technology pathways and potential opportunities. Scientometrics, 102(1), 811–827.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ma, T., Porter, A. L., Guo, Y., Ready, J., Xu, C., & Gao, L. (2014). A technology opportunities analysis model: Applied to dye-sensitised solar cells for China. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 26(1), 87–104.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Milanez, D. H., de Faria, L. I. L., do Amaral, R. M., Leiva, D. R., & Gregolin, J. A. R. (2014). Patents in nanotechnology: An analysis using macro-indicators and forecasting curves. Scientometrics, 101(2), 1097–1112.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Michel, J., & Bettels, B. (2001). Patent citation analysis. A closer look at the basic input data from patent search reports. Scientometrics, 51(1), 185–201.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Newman, N. C., Porter, A. L., Newman, D., Trumbach, C. C., & Bolan, S. D. (2014). Comparing methods to extract technical content for technological intelligence. Journal of Engineering and Technology Management, 32, 97–109.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • O’Brien, J. J., Carley, S., & Porter, A. L. (2013). Keyword field cleaning through ClusterSuite: A termclumping tool for VantagePoint software. Poster presented at 3rd Global Tech Mining Conference. Atlanta, USA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Porter, A. L., & Cunningham, S. W. (2005). Tech mining: Exploiting new technologies for competitive advantage. New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Porter, A. L., & Detampel, M. J. (1995). Technology opportunities analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 49(3), 237–255.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Porter, A. L., Guo, Y., & Chiavatta, D. (2011). Tech mining: Text mining and visualization tools, as applied to nanoenhanced solar cells. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 1(2), 172–181.

    Google Scholar 

  • Robinson, D. K., Huang, L., Guo, Y., & Porter, A. L. (2013). Forecasting Innovation Pathways (FIP) for new and emerging science and technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(2), 267–285.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shibata, N., Kajikawa, Y., Takeda, Y., & Matsushima, K. (2008). Detecting emerging research fronts based on topological measures in citation networks of scientific publications. Technovation, 28(11), 758–775.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smalheiser, N. R. (2001). Predicting emerging technologies with the aid of text-based data mining: The micro approach. Technovation, 21(10), 689–693.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomson Reuters. DWPI Manual Code Revision. (2015). Retrieved January 21, 2015, from http://ip-science.thomsonreuters.com/m/pdfs/DWPI_mcr_Jan2015.pdf

  • Watatani, K., Xie, Z., Nakatsuji, N., & Sengoku, S. (2013). Global competencies of regional stem cell research: Bibliometrics for investigating and forecasting research trends. Regenerative Medicine, 8(5), 659–668.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xin, L., Jiwu, W., Lucheng, H., Jiang, L., & Jian, L. (2010). Empirical research on the technology opportunities analysis based on morphology analysis and conjoint analysis. Foresight, 12(2), 66–76.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoon, B., & Park, Y. (2005). A systematic approach for identifying technology opportunities: Keyword-based morphology analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 72(2), 145–160.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoon, B., & Park, Y. (2007). Development of new technology forecasting algorithm: Hybrid approach for morphology analysis and conjoint analysis of patent information. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 54(3), 588–599.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoon, B., Phaal, R., & Probert, D. (2008). Morphology analysis for technology roadmapping: Application of text mining. R&D Management, 38(1), 51–68.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoon, J., & Kim, K. (2011a). An automated method for identifying TRIZ evolution trends from patents. Expert Systems with Applications, 38(12), 15540–15548.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoon, J., & Kim, K. (2011b). Identifying rapidly evolving technological trends for R&D planning using SAO-based semantic patent networks. Scientometrics, 88(1), 213–228.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoon, J., Park, Y., Kim, M., Lee, J., & Lee, D. (2014). Tracing evolving trends in printed electronics using patent information. Journal of nanoparticle research, 16(7), 1–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhou, X., Zhang, Y., Porter, A. L., Guo, Y., & Zhu, D. (2014). A patent analysis method to trace technology evolutionary pathways. Scientometrics, 100(3), 705–721.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Y., Guo, Y., Wang, X., Zhu, D., & Porter, A. L. (2013). A hybrid visualisation model for technology roadmapping: Bibliometrics, qualitative methodology and empirical study. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 25(6), 707–724.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Y., Porter, A. L., Hu, Z., Guo, Y., & Newman, N. C. (2014a). “Term clumping” for technical intelligence: A case study on dye-sensitized solar cells. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 85, 26–39.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Y., Zhou, X., Porter, A. L., & Gomila, J. M. V. (2014b). How to combine term clumping and technology roadmapping for newly emerging science & technology competitive intelligence: “problem & solution” pattern based semantic TRIZ tool and case study. Scientometrics, 101(2), 1375–1389.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, Y., Zhou, X., Porter, A. L., Gomila, J. M. V., & Yan, A. (2014c). Triple Helix innovation in China’s dye-sensitized solar cell industry: Hybrid methods with semantic TRIZ and technology roadmapping. Scientometrics, 99(1), 55–75.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

We acknowledge support from the US National Science Foundation (NSF) (Award No. 1064146), MOE (Ministry of Education in China) Project of Humanities and Social Sciences (Award No. 13YJC630042) and the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2014AA015105). Besides, we are grateful for the scholarship provided by the China Scholarship Council (CSC Student ID 201406030005). The findings and observations contained in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the supporters.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Huang, Y., Zhang, Y., Ma, J., Porter, A.L., Wang, X., Guo, Y. (2016). Generating Competitive Technical Intelligence Using Topical Analysis, Patent Citation Analysis, and Term Clumping Analysis. In: Daim, T., Chiavetta, D., Porter, A., Saritas, O. (eds) Anticipating Future Innovation Pathways Through Large Data Analysis. Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39056-7_9

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics