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Arrival Time Prediction and Train Tracking Analysis

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Trends in Artificial Intelligence: PRICAI 2016 Workshops (PRICAI 2016)

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Abstract

Rail transportation is a convenient and safe in many countries. However, Rail transportation in some countries has significant long delays. Arrival time prediction and rescheduling the time table are partial solutions to tackle the delay problem. In this paper, the relationship between measurable properties and the delay time are studied in order to develop an arrival time prediction. The result of this experiment has three parts. The relationship between properties and arrival late are then visualized and discussed. Some properties from the acquired database show that week, day and station, are important features and impact on the delay. Various regression methods are compared in our experiment and the result shows that best RMSE is ± 3.863 min by applying Random Forest Regression on train tracking dataset.

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Acknowledgement

We would like to very thank Mr. Chokdee Suwanrat and his department of information technology and State Railway of Thailand for providing the data and consulting on a workflow of train operations and many definitions of the technical term.

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Correspondence to Somkiat Kosolsombat .

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Kosolsombat, S., Limprasert, W. (2017). Arrival Time Prediction and Train Tracking Analysis. In: Numao, M., Theeramunkong, T., Supnithi, T., Ketcham, M., Hnoohom, N., Pramkeaw, P. (eds) Trends in Artificial Intelligence: PRICAI 2016 Workshops. PRICAI 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10004. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-60675-0_15

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-60675-0_15

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-60674-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-60675-0

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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