Skip to main content

The Economic Transformation

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Agricultural Development and Economic Transformation

Abstract

The economic transformation is the overriding feature of economic growth in low- and middle-income countries. The transformation is from a predominantly rural and agricultural nation to one that is predominantly urban with urban industry and services dominating the economy. It is accompanied by a demographic transition. The population growth rate first accelerates then slows and eventually declines. Health and life expectancy improve greatly. The many factors determining these two transformations are discussed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 34.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 44.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Crist et al. (2017) make the case for “eventually reversing population growth,” on the grounds of the already out of hand reduction in biodiversity with large spread effects. That would strongly reinforce the poverty reduction relationships discussed in this chapter. They also document the sharp decline in emphasis on reduced population growth rates attributing that in part to the view that the green revolution reduced the urgency of feeding an increased population.

References

  • Ahluwalia, M. S. (1978). Rural poverty and agricultural performance in India. Journal of Development Studies, 14, 298–323.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bell, C., Hazell, P., & Slade, R. (1982). Project evaluation in regional perspective: A study of an irrigation project in Northwest Malaysia. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bocquet-Appel, J. P. (2011). The agricultural demographic transition during and after the agriculture inventions. Current Anthropology, 52(S4), S497–S510.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boserup, E. (1965). The conditions of agricultural growth: The economics of agrarian change under population pressure. Abingdon: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Christiaensen, L., Demery, L., & Kuhl, J. (2011). The (evolving) role of agriculture in poverty reduction: An empirical perspective. Journal of Development Economics, 96(2), 239–254.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crist, E., Mora, C., & Engelman, R. (2017). The interaction of human population, food production, and biodiversity practice. Science, 356(6335), 260–264.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Delgado, C. L., Hopkines, J., Kelly, V. A., Hazell, P., Mckenna, A. A., Gruhn, P., et al. (1998). Agricultural growth linkages in sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: International Finance Corporation.

    Google Scholar 

  • Galor, O., & Weil, D. (2000). Population, technology, and growth: From Malthusian stagnation to the demographic transition and beyond. The American Economic Review, 90(4), 806–828.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Garenne, M., & Joseph, V. (2002). The timing of the fertility transition in sub-Saharan Africa. World Development, 30(10), 1835–1843.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gavian, S., El-Meehy, T., Bulbul, L., & Ender, G. (2002). The importance of agricultural growth to SME development and rural employment in Egypt. In G. Ender & J. S. Holtzman (Eds.), Does agricultural policy reform work? The impact on Egypt’s agriculture, 1996–2002 (pp. 395–435). Bethesda: Abt Associates Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Griffin, K. B. (1974). The political economy of agrarian change: An essay on the green revolution. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hesketh, T., Lu, L., & Xing, Z. W. (2005). The effect of China’s one-child family policy after 25 years. New England Journal of Medicine, 353(11), 1171–1176.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hazell, P. B., & Röell, A. (1983). Rural growth linkages: Household expenditure patterns in Malaysia and Nigeria (Vol. 41). Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hazell, P.B., & Ramasamy, C. (1991). The green revolution reconsidered: The impact of high yielding varieties in South India. Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hayami, Y., & Ruttan, V. W. (1985). Agricultural development: An international perspective (2nd ed.). Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, R. (2003). The demographic transition: Three centuries of fundamental change. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(4), 167–190.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. The Manchester School, 22(2), 139–191.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lutz, W., & Samir, K. C. (2011). Global human capital: Integrating education and population. Science, 333(6042), 587–592.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McCullough, E. B. (2016). Labor productivity and employment gaps in sub-Saharan Africa. Food Policy, 67, 133–152.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mead, D. C., & Liedholm, C. (1998). The dynamics of micro and small enterprises in developing countries. World Development, 26(1), 61–74.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mellor, J. W. (1976). The new economics of growth: A strategy for India and the developing world. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mellor, J. W. (Ed.). (1995). Agriculture on the road to industrialization. Baltimore: Published for the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) by Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao, C. H. (1975). Technological change and the distribution of gains in Indian agriculture (Vol. 17). Delhi: Macmillan Company of India.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ravallion, M., & Datt, G. (2002). Why has economic growth been more pro-poor in some states of India than others? Journal of Development Economics, 68(2), 381–400.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thirtle, C., Lin, L., & Piesse, J. (2003). The impact of research-led agricultural productivity growth on poverty reduction in Africa, Asia and Latin America. World Development, 31(12), 1959–1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tiffen, M., Mortimore, M., & Gichuki, F. (1994). More people less erosion: Environmental recovery in Kenya. London: Overseas Development Institute.

    Google Scholar 

  • Timmer, C. P. (1997). How well do the poor connect to the growth process? (CAER Discussion Paper No. 17). Cambridge, MA: Harvard Institute for International Development.

    Google Scholar 

  • Williamson, J. G. (2013). Demographic dividends revisited. Asian Development Review, 30(2), 1–25.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • World Bank Group. (2008). World development report 2008: Agriculture for development. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Mellor, J.W. (2017). The Economic Transformation. In: Agricultural Development and Economic Transformation. Palgrave Studies in Agricultural Economics and Food Policy. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65259-7_2

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65259-7_2

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-65258-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-65259-7

  • eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics