Skip to main content

The Relationship Between Dividend, Business Cycle, Institutional Investor and Stock Risk

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Innovative Mobile and Internet Services in Ubiquitous Computing (IMIS 2018)

Abstract

Investors usually pay more attention to stock dividend payouts and business cycle but less to investment risk. Therefore, volatility and beta, two widely used risk measures of stocks, are used to explore their relationships with dividends, business cycle and institutional ownership. We sampled 200 listed firms which have continuous records of dividend payouts and are held by institutional investors from 2008 to 2014 in Taiwan Stock market. The results show that: (1) dividend and the share ratio of institutional investors have significant positive effect on individual stock risk, (2) the relationship between business cycle and individual stock risk is negative and (3) the effect of dividend, business cycle and share ratio of institutional investor on market risk is insignificant.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Abdullah, D.A., Hayworth, S.C.: Macroeconometrics of stock price fluctuations. Q. J. Bus. Econ. 32(1), 50–67 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Bange, M.M.: Do the portfolios of small investors reflect positive feedback trading? J. Financ. Quantit. Anal. 35(2), 239–255 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Banker, R.D., Das, S., Datar, S.M.: Complementarity of prior accounting information: the case of stock dividend announcements. Account. Rev. 68(1), 28–47 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Baskin, J.: Dividend policy and the volatility of common stocks. J. Portfolio Mgmt. 15(3), 19–25 (1989)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Chan, L.K., Lakonishok, J.: Institutional trades and intraday stock price behavior. J. Financ. Econ. 33(2), 173–199 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Desjardins, J.: The 20 Largest Stock Exchanges in the World. http://www.visualcapitalist.com/20-largest-stock-exchanges-world/. Accessed Apr 2017

  7. Fischer, P.E., Verrecchia, R.E.: Public information and heuristic trade. J. Account. Econ. 27(1), 89–124 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Foster, F.D., Gallagher, D.R., Looi, A.: Institutional trading and share returns. J. Bank. Finance 35(12), 3383–3399 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. French, K.R., Schwert, G.W., Stambaugh, R.F.: Expected stock returns and volatility. J. Financ. Econ. 19(1), 3–29 (1987)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Froot, K.A., O’Connell, P.G., Seasholes, M.S.: The portfolio flows of international investors. J. Financ. Econ. 59(2), 151–193 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Gompers, P.A., Metrick, A.: Institutional investors and equity prices. Q. J. Econ. 116(1), 229–259 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Hamao, Y., Masulis, R.W., Ng, V.: Correlations in price changes and volatility across international stock markets. Rev. Financ. Stud. 3(2), 281–307 (1990)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Hamao, Y., Mei, J.: Living with the “enemy”: an analysis of foreign investment in the Japanese equity market. J. Int. Money Finance 20(1), 715–735 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Holthausen, R.W., Verrecchia, R.E.: The effect of sequential information releases on the variance of price changes in an intertemporal multi-asset market. J. Account. Res. 26(1), 82–106 (1988)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Hsiao, C.: Analysis of Panel Data. Econometric Society Monographs, 2nd edn. Cambridge University Press, New York (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Kamesaka, A., Nofsinger, J.R., Kawakita, H.: Investment patterns and performance of investor groups in Japan. Pac. Basin Finance J. 11(1), 1–22 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Lamont, O.: Earnings and expected returns. J. Finance 53(5), 1563–1587 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Lintner, J.: Distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings, and taxes. Am. Econ. Rev. 46(2), 97–113 (1956)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Lintner, J.: Security prices, risk, and maximal gains from diversification. J. Finance 20(4), 587–615 (1965)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Litzenberger, R.H., Ramaswamy, K.: The effect of personal taxes and dividends on capital asset prices: theory and empirical evidence. J. Financ. Econ. 7(2), 163–195 (1979)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Malkiel, B.G., Xu, Y.: The structure of stock market volatility. Financ. Res. Centre Work. Paper 154(1), 1–35 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Morelli, D.: The relationship between conditional stock market volatility and conditional macroeconomic volatility: empirical evidence based on UK data. Int. Rev. Financ. Anal. 11(1), 101–110 (2002)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  23. Mossin, J.: Equilibrium in a capital asset market. Econometrica 34(4), 768–783 (1966)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Mukherjee, T.K., Naka, A.: Dynamic relations between macroeconomic variables and the Japanese stock market: an application of a vector error correction model. J. Financ. Res. 18(2), 223–237 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Odean, T.: Are investors reluctant to realize their losses? J. Finance 53(5), 1775–1798 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Officer, R.R.: The variability of the market factor of the New York Stock Exchange. J. Bus. 46(3), 434–453 (1973)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Pettit, R.R.: Dividend announcements, security performance, and capital market efficiency. J. Finance 27(5), 993–1007 (1972)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Reilly, F.K., Wright, D.J.: Block trading and aggregate stock price volatility. Financ. Anal. J. 40(2), 54–60 (1984)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Scholes, M.S.: The market for securities: substitution versus price pressure and the effects of information on share prices. J. Bus. 45(2), 179–211 (1972)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Sharpe, W.F.: Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J. Finance 19(3), 425–442 (1964)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chun-Ping Chang .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Tsai, YS., Tzang, SW., Hung, CH., Chang, CP. (2019). The Relationship Between Dividend, Business Cycle, Institutional Investor and Stock Risk. In: Barolli, L., Xhafa, F., Javaid, N., Enokido, T. (eds) Innovative Mobile and Internet Services in Ubiquitous Computing. IMIS 2018. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 773. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-93554-6_78

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics