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About Trend Detection in River Floods

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In Extremis

Abstract

This chapter reviews some methods for studying changes in the occurrence of extreme river flows. Some general background information on change detection is given. Changes in various characteristics of high flows are investigated using a variety of approaches. Although many cases of statistically significant changes are found, they go in different directions and are of different character in different regions. There does not seem to be a clear, uniform signal of change, except for, possibly, the occurrence of most extreme flows that seems to be increasing in the recent decades.

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Acknowledgements

A part of this research was performed within the ENSEMBLES (Ensembles-Based Predictions of Climate Changes and their Impacts) project financed by the European Commission under the 6th Framework Program. The author thanks the Foundation for Polish Science for the financial support of his work. The daily mean river flow data were provided under a projectspecific license by the Global Runoff Data Centre [7.3], Federal Institute of Hydrology, Koblenz, Germany. Constructive remarks of the anonymous referee are gratefully acknowledged.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, Adam Mickiewicz University, 61-614, Poznań, Poland

    Maciej Radziejewski

  2. Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment Polish Academy of Sciences, 60-809, Poznań, Poland

    Maciej Radziejewski

Authors
  1. Maciej Radziejewski
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Correspondence to Maciej Radziejewski .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Klimafolgenforschung (PIK), Abt. Integrierte Systemanalyse, Potsdam Institut für, Telegraphenberg A31, Potsdam, 14412, Brandenburg, Germany

    Jürgen Kropp

  2. Klimafolgenforschung (PIK), Potsdam Institut für, Telegrafenberg 31 A, Potsdam, 14473, Brandenburg, Germany

    Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber

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Radziejewski, M. (2011). About Trend Detection in River Floods. In: Kropp, J., Schellnhuber, HJ. (eds) In Extremis. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-14863-7_7

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