Abstract
In Ukraine, the growth of intensive agricultural enterprises that focus on fast profits contribute considerably to food insecurity and increasing socio-economic and environmental risks. Ukraine has important natural and labor resources for effective rural development; more than 50% of food production is still contributed by small and medium farms, despite the difficulties associated with economic instabilities and the lack of proper policy support. Currently, the main issue for the agro-policy is to use these resources in a sustainable way, enforcing robust long term development of rural communities and agriculture. In this chapter, we introduce a stochastic, geographically explicit model for designing forward-looking policies regarding robust resources allocation and composition of agricultural production, in order to enhance food security and rural development. In particular, we investigate the role of investments into rural facilities to stabilize and enhance the performance of the agrofood sector in view of uncertainties and incomplete information. The security goals are introduced in the form of multidimensional risk indicators.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Agriholdings in Ukraine: Good or Bad? German–Ukrainian Policy Dialogue in Agriculture. Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting, Policy Paper Series AgPP No 21, 2008.
Agriculture at a Crossroads. IAASTD (International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge, Science and Technology for Development) Global Report. UNDP, UNEP, UNESCO, World Bank, WHO, Global Environment Facility. Copyright ©2009 IAASTD. Island Press, address- Street1718 Connecticut Avenue, NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC PostalCode20009. HD1428.I544 2008.
Arrow, K. J., & Fisher, A. C. (1974). Preservation, uncertainty and irreversibility. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 88, 312–319.
Borodina, O. (2009). Food Security and Socioeconomic Aspects of Sustainable Rural Development in Ukraine. Interim Report IR-09-053, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.
Borodina, O. (2007). Applying Historical Precedent to a New Conventional Wisdom on Public Sector Roles in Agriculture and Rural Development: Case of Ukraine /FAO Research Report, Rome, 2007.
Christev, A., Kupets, O., & Lehmann, H. (2005). Trade Liberalization and Employment Effects in Ukraine. IZA Discussion Paper No. 1826, Institute for the Study of Labor (Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit, Bonn).
Cramon-Taubadel von, S., Hess, S., & Brümmer, B. (2010). A Preliminary Analysis of the Impact of a Ukraine-EU Free Trade Agreement on Agriculture. Policy Research Working Paper 5264. The World Bank Development Research Group, Agriculture and Rural Development Team & Europe and Central Asia Region, April 2010.
Dantzig, G. B. (1963). Linear Programming and Extensions. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Ermoliev, Y., & Leonardi, G. (1981). Some proposals for stochastic facility location models. Mathematical Modeling, 3, 407–420.
Ermoliev, Y., & Wets, R. (Eds.). (1988). Numerical techniques of stochastic optimization. Computational Mathematics. Berlin: Springer.
Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., Fischer, G., Jonas, M., Makowski, M., & Wagner, F. (2010). Carbon emission trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties. Climatic Change, 103(1-2).
Ermolieva T., Fischer, G., & van Velthuizen, H. (2005). Livestock Production and Environmental Risks in China: Scenarios to 2030”, FAO/IIASA Research Report. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
Fischer, G., Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., & Sun, L. (2008). Risk-adjusted approaches for planning sustainable agricultural development. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 1–10.
Fischer, G., Ermolieva, T., Ermoliev, Y., & van Velthuizen, H. (2007). Sequential downscaling methods for Estimation from Aggregate Data. In K. Marti, Y. Ermoliev, M. Makowski, & G. Pflug (Eds.), Coping with Uncertainty: Modeling and Policy Issue. Berlin, StateNew York: Springer.
Fujita, M., Krugman, P., & Venables, A. J. (1999). The Spatial Economy: Cities, Regions, and Internatinal Trade. Cambridge, Massachusetts, London, England: MIT Press.
Giucci, R., & Bilan, O. (2005). High inflation in Ukraine: Roots and remedies. Interim Report U1, Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting, German Advisory Group on Economic Reform.
Heyets, V. M. (2008). Agricultural and food markets under the WTO accession.
Kantorovich, L. V. (1939). Mathematicheskie Metody Organizatsii i Planirovania Proizvodstva, Leningrad State University Publishers, translated as “Mathematical Methods in the Organization and Planning of Production” (1960) in Management Science 6, 4, pp, 366–422.
Kantorovich, L. V., & Gavurin, M. K. (1940). (first version 1940, publ. 1949), “Primenenie matematicheskikh metodov v voprosakh analiza gruzopotokov,” in Problemy povysheniia effektivnosti raboty transporta (The Use of Mathematical Methods in Analyzing Problems of Goods Transport, in Problems of Increasing the Efficiency in the Transport Industry, pp. 110–138). Academy of Sciences, U.S.S.R.
Kantorovich, L. V. (1959), Ekonomicheskii raschst nailichshego ispolzovania resursov, Acad. of SC., USSR (translated (1965), The Best Use of Economic Resources. Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Mass.
Koenker, R., & Bassett, G. (1978). Regression quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33–50.
Koopmans, T. (1947). Optimum utilization of the transportation system. In Proc. Intern. Statis. Conf., Voll. V. Washington, D.C.
Koopmans, T. (1975). Concepts of optimality and their uses. Nobel Memorial Lecture, December 11. Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Leader European Observatory: Assessing the added value of the LEADER approach. Rural Innovation Dossiern 4 (Links Between Actions for the Development of the Rural Community).
Libanova, E. (2006). Demographic crisys in Ukraine: Research problems, conclusions, and actions. In Steschenko (Ed.), Complex Demographic Forecasts to 2050 in Ukraine. Interim Report. NAS of Ukraine: Institute of Economics and Forecasting (In Ukrainian).
Pantyley, V. (2009). Demographic situation of rural population in country-regionplaceUkraine in the period of intensive socio-economic transformation. Europ. Countries, 1, 34–52. DOI: 10.2478/v10091/009-0004-6.
Prokopa, I., & Popova, O. (2008). Depopulation in Rural Areas of Ukraine: Destructive Changes and Threats (in Ukrainian). Interim Report. NAS of Ukraine: Institute of Economics and Forecasting.
Rockafellar, T., & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of conditional value-at-Risk. The Journal of Risk, 2, 21–41.
Scrieciu, S. (2006). How useful are computable general equilibrium models for sustainability impact assessment? In C. Kirkpatrick, & C. George (Eds.), Impact Assessment and Sustainable Development: European Practice and Experience. Edward Elgar: Cheltenham.
Shnyrkov, A., Rogach, A., & Kopystyra, A. (2006). Ukraine’s joining the WTO: realities and challenges. Transition Studies Review, 13(3), 513–523 (DOI 10.1007/s11300-006-0121-0). New York: Springer.
Tarassevych, O. (2006). Ukraine: Poultry and Products Country Report. USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, GAIN Report, UP6015, (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd).
Tarassevych, O. (2004). Ukraine: Livestock and Products. Annual GAIN Report, UP4014, (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psd).
Acknowledgements
The authors are grateful to the participants of the IIASA/GAMM workshop on Coping with Uncertainty, and to the anonymous referees of this chapter, for their critical suggestions that led to improvements of this chapter.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Borodina, O. et al. (2012). Sustainable Agriculture, Food Security, and Socio-Economic Risks in Ukraine. In: Ermoliev, Y., Makowski, M., Marti, K. (eds) Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol 658. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1_8
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1_8
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-22883-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-22884-1
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsBusiness and Management (R0)