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Development Policy Analysis in Mali: Sustainable Growth Prospects

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Software Engineering and Formal Methods (SEFM 2011)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNPSE,volume 7041))

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Abstract

In the context of the implementation of the second-generation poverty reduction strategy (CSLP II) in Mali, we investigate the country’s development potential, within existing resource constraints. We apply an integrated, resource-based approach to growth, implemented through a system-dynamics-based national development planning model. Scenario analysis indicates that the policy orientation of the CSLP II might foster growth in the long run, but, even in our most optimistic scenario, the government’s stated growth and development goals are unlikely to be achieved. Our results highlight the importance of endogenous growth mechanisms for sustainable development, and the significance for economic performance of the major delays involved in the accumulation of the resources that are necessary for growth. We believe that our approach contributes to the most commonly used tools for medium-long term planning by providing a dynamic perspective on the key resources for growth and on the constraints to the country’s development.

An earlier version of this paper was presented as part of the Doctoral Thesis “Modeling Resource-Based Growth for Development Policy Analysis”, Matteo Pedercini, University of Bergen, Norway, 2009.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Millennium Institute, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.

    Matteo Pedercini

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  1. Matteo Pedercini
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Fundación IMDEA Software, Facultad de Informatica (UPM), Campus Montegancedo, 28660, Boadilla del Monte, Madrid, Spain

    Gilles Barthe

  2. Instituto de Computación, Universidad de la República, Facultad de Ingeniería, Julio Herrera y Reissig 565 - Piso 5, 11300, Montevideo, Uruguay

    Alberto Pardo

  3. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Chalmers | University of Gothenburg, Kunskapsgatan 3, 41756, Gothenburg, Sweden

    Gerardo Schneider

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Pedercini, M. (2011). Development Policy Analysis in Mali: Sustainable Growth Prospects. In: Barthe, G., Pardo, A., Schneider, G. (eds) Software Engineering and Formal Methods. SEFM 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7041. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-24690-6_31

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-24690-6_31

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-24689-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-24690-6

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