Abstract
This paper uses machine learning techniques in detecting firms that issue fraudulent financial statements (FFS) and deals with the identification of factors associated to FFS. To this end, a number of experiments have been conducted using representative learning algorithms, which were trained using a data set of 164 fraud and non-fraud Greek firms. A random committee of cost-sensitive decision tree classifiers is the best choice according to our experiments.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Albrecht, C.C., Albrecht, W.S., Dunn, J.G.: Can auditors detect fraud: a review of the research evidence. Journal of Forensic Accounting 2(1), 1–12 (2001)
Ansah, S.O., Moyes, G.D., Oyelere, P.B., Hay, D.: An empirical analysis of the likelihood of detecting fraud in New Zealand. Managerial Auditing Journal 17(4), 192–204 (2002)
Barandela, R., Sánchez, J.S., GarcÃa, V., Rangel, E.: Strategies for learning in class imbalance problems. Pattern Recognition 36(3), 849–851 (2003)
Bell, T., Carcello, J.: A decision aid for assessing the likelihood of fraudulent financial reporting. Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory 9(1), 169–178 (2000)
Bollen, L., Mertens, G., Meuwissen, R., VanRaak, J., Scelleman, C.: Classification and Analysis of Major European Business Failures. Maastricht Accounting, Auditing and Information Management Research Center (MARC) of University Maastricht and RSM (2005)
Breiman, L.: Bagging Predictors. Machine Learning 24(3), 123–140 (1996)
Calderon, T.G., Cheh, J.J.: A roadmap for future neural networks research in auditing and risk assessment. International Journal of Accounting Information Systems 3(4), 203–236 (2002)
Coffee, J.: A theory of corporate scandals: Why the USA and Europe differ. Oxford Review of Economic Policy 21(2), 198–211 (2005)
Deng, Q.: Application of Support Vector Machine in the Detection of Fraudulent Financial Statements. In: 4th International Conference on Computer Science & Education, pp. 1056–1059 (2009)
Yue, D., Wu, X., Shen, N., Chu, C.-H.: Logistic Regression for Detecting Fraudulent Financial Statement of Listed Companies in China. In: International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, pp. 104–108 (2009)
Domingos, P.: MetaCost: A General Method for Making Classifiers Cost-Sensitive. In: Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, pp. 155–164. ACM Press (1999)
Freund, Y., Schapire, R.E.: Experiments with a New Boosting Algorithm. In: Proceedings of ICML 1996, pp. 148–156 (1996)
Hoogs, B., Kiehl, T., Lacomb, C., Senturk, D.: A Genetic Algorithm Approach to Detecting Temporal Patterns Indicative of Financial Statement Fraud. Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management 15, 41–56 (2007)
Kirkos, S., Spathis, C., Manolopoulos, Y.: Data Mining Techniques for the Detection of Fraudulent Financial Statements. Expert Systems with Applications 32, 995–1003 (2007)
Lin, J.W., Hwang, M., Becker, J.K.: A Fuzzy Neural Network for Assessing the Risk of Fraudulent Financial Reporting. Managerial Auditing Journal 18, 657–665 (2003)
Melville, P., Mooney, R.: Constructing Diverse Classifier Ensembles using Artificial Training Examples. In: IJCAI 2003, Mexico, pp. 505–510 (2003)
Quinlan, J.R.: C4.5: Programs for machine learning. Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco (1993)
Ravisankar, P., Ravi, V., Raghava, G., Bose, I.: Detection of financial statement fraud and feature selection using data mining techniques. Decision Sup. Systems 50, 491–500 (2011)
RodrÃguez, J.J., Kuncheva, L.I., Alonso, C.J.: Rotation forest: A new classifier ensemble method. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Machine Intell. 28(10), 1619–1630 (2006)
Spathis, C., Doumpos, M., Zopounidis, C.: Detecting falsified financial statements: a comparative study using multicriteria analysis and multivariate statistical techniques. The European Accounting Review 11(3), 509–535 (2002)
Ho, T.K.: The Random Subspace Method for Constructing Decision Forests. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence 20(8), 832–844 (1998)
Watts, R.L., Zimmerman, J.L.: Positive Accounting Theory. Prentice-Hall (1986)
Witten, I., Frank, E., Hall, M.: Data Mining: Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques, 3rd edn. Morgan Kaufmann (2011) ISBN 978-0-12-374856-0
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Zouboulidis, E., Kotsiantis, S. (2012). Forecasting Fraudulent Financial Statements with Committee of Cost-Sensitive Decision Tree Classifiers. In: Maglogiannis, I., Plagianakos, V., Vlahavas, I. (eds) Artificial Intelligence: Theories and Applications. SETN 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 7297. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-30448-4_8
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-30448-4_8
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-30447-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-30448-4
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)