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Assessment and Management of Critical Events: The Breakdown of Marine Fisheries and The North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation

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The Science of Disasters

Abstract

In the coming decades, global environmental change is likely to have important repercussions on humanity itself, e.g. ways of living or nutritional possibilities. Simultaneously there exists considerable uncertainty regarding the general trends and rates of change. The scientific community has been instrumental in drawing attention to these dimensions in order to prevent/mitigate disastrous events. Although it is rather difficult to make accurate predictions and guarantee sensible and effective decisions under the conditions of nonlinearity and vague knowledge, new and smart techniques open some promising roads for scientific progress. In this chapter we address these issues by discussing novel model approaches with respect to the key features of two examples (i) the breakdown of a bioeconomic sector and (ii) the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. We show what is already possible today and where we have to go in order to make substantial steps forward.

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Authors
  1. Jürgen Kropp
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  2. Kirsten Zickfeld
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  3. Klaus Eisenack
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Kropp, J., Zickfeld, K., Eisenack, K. (2002). Assessment and Management of Critical Events: The Breakdown of Marine Fisheries and The North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation. In: The Science of Disasters. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-56257-0_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-56257-0_6

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-62531-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-56257-0

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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