Skip to main content

Complex Transient Motion in Continuous-Time Economic Models

  • Chapter
Nonlinear Evolution of Spatial Economic Systems

Abstract

The investigation of chaotic dynamical systems has been a major focus of research in economic dynamics during the last decade. In the fashion of several applied sciences, an emphasis has been put on the description of so-called strange attractors, i.e., sets of points to which trajectories starting in a neighbourhood of this set eventually converge but which are neither a fixed point nor a closed curve. Strange attractors have attracted the attention of many economists because the motion on such a set is characterized by a sensitive dependence on initial conditions: two trajectories starting at arbitrarily close initial points eventually diverge implying that the two generated time series display different frequencies and amplitudes. This sensitive dependence has been considered an indication of the potential impossibility of predicting economic time series.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Alligood, K.T. and J.A. Yorke, 1989, Accessible Saddles on Fractal Basin Boundaries, Mimeo University of Maryland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Arneodo, A., P. Coullet, and C. Tresser, 1982, Possible New Strange Attractors with Spiral Structure Communications in Mathematical Physics 79, pp. 573–579

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Arneodo, A., P. Coullet, and C. Tresser, 1982, Oscillators with Chaotic Behavior: An Illustration of a Theorem by Sil’nikov, Journal of Statistical Physics 127, pp. 171–182.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beyn, W.-J., 1990, The Numerical Computation of Connecting Orbits in Dynamical Systems, IMA Journal of Numerical Analysis 9, pp. 379–405.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coullet, P., C. Tresser, and A. Arneodo, 1979, Transition to Stochasticity for a Class of Forced Oscillators, Physics Letters 72A, pp. 268–270.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Delli Gatti, D., M. Gallegati and L. Gardini, 1991, Investment Confidence, Corporate Debt, and Income Fluctuations, Mimeo Urbino.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dendrinos, D.S., 1986, On the Incongruous Spatial Employment Dynamics, (P. Nijkamp, ed.), Technological Change, Employment, and Spatial Dynamics, Springer-Verlag, Berlin-Heidelberg-New York, pp. 321–339.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gandolfo, G., 1983, Economic Dynamics: Methods and Models, 2nd Edition, North-Holland, Amsterdam.

    Google Scholar 

  • Glendinning, P. and C. Sparrow, 1984, Local and Global Behavior near Homoclinic Orbits, Journal of Statistical Physics 35, pp. 645–696.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J.A. Yorke, 1987a, Crises, Sudden Changes in Chaotic Attractors, and Transient Chaos, Physica 7D, pp. 181–200.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J.A. Yorke, 1987a, Basin Boundary Metamorphoses: Changes in Accessible Boundray Orbits, Physica 7D, pp. 243–262.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J.A. Yorke, 1987c, Chaos, Strange Attractors, and Fractal Basin Boundaries in Nonlinear Dynamics, Science 238, pp. 632–638.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guckenheimer, J. and P. Holmes, 1983, Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields, Springer-Verlag, New York-Berlin-Heidelberg.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kantz, H. and P. Grassberger, 1985, Repellers, Semi-Attractors, and Long-Lived Chaotic Transients Physica 17D pp. 75–86.

    Google Scholar 

  • Li, T.Y. and J.A. Yorke, 1975, Period Three Implies Chaos, American Mathematical Monthly 82, pp. 985–992.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lorenz, H.-W., 1992a, Multiple Attractors, Complex Basin Boundaries, and Transient Motion in Deterministic Economic Systems, (G. Feichtinger, ed.), Dynamic Economic Models and Optimal Control, North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp. 411–430.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lorenz, H.-W., 1992b, Complex Dynamics in Low-Dimensional Continuous-Time Business Cycle Models System Dynamics Review 8, pp. 233–250.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McDonald, S.W., C. Grebogi, E. Ott and J.A. Yorke, J.A., 1985a Fractal Basin Boundaries Physica 17D pp. 125–153.

    Google Scholar 

  • McDonald, S.W., C. Grebogi, E. Ott and J.A. Yorke, J.A., 1985b, Structure and Crisis of Fractal Basin Boundaries, Physics Letters 107A, pp. 51–54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mira, C., 1987, Chaotic Dynamics - From the One-Dimensional Endomorphism to the Two-Dimensional Diffeomorphism Singapore World Scientific.

    Google Scholar 

  • Metzler, L.A., 1941, The Nature and Stability of Inventory Cycles, Review of Economic Studies 23, pp. 113–129.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nusse, H.E. and J.A. Yorke, 1989, A Procedure for Finding Numerical Trajectories on Chaotic Saddles, Physica 36D, pp. 137–156.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sil’nikov, L.P., 1965, A Case of the Existence of a Countable Number of Periodic Motions, Soy. Math. Dokl. 6, pp. 163–166.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smale, S., 1963, Diffeomorphisms with Many Periodic Points, in: Cairns, S.S., (ed.), Differential and Combinatorical Topology, Princeton Princeton University Press, pp. 63–80.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wiggins, S., 1988, Global Bifurcations and Chaos, Analytical Methods, Springer-Verlag, New York-Berlin-Heidelberg.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Wiggins, S., 1990, Introduction to Applied Nonlinear Dynamical Systems and Chaos, Springer-Verlag, New York-Berlin-Heidelberg.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yorke, J.A., 1991, Dynamics, An Interactive Program for IBM Clones, University of Maryland.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1993 Springer-Verlag Berlin · Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Lorenz, HW. (1993). Complex Transient Motion in Continuous-Time Economic Models. In: Nijkamp, P., Reggiani, A. (eds) Nonlinear Evolution of Spatial Economic Systems. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-78463-7_5

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-78463-7_5

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-78465-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-78463-7

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics