Abstract
The investigation of chaotic dynamical systems has been a major focus of research in economic dynamics during the last decade. In the fashion of several applied sciences, an emphasis has been put on the description of so-called strange attractors, i.e., sets of points to which trajectories starting in a neighbourhood of this set eventually converge but which are neither a fixed point nor a closed curve. Strange attractors have attracted the attention of many economists because the motion on such a set is characterized by a sensitive dependence on initial conditions: two trajectories starting at arbitrarily close initial points eventually diverge implying that the two generated time series display different frequencies and amplitudes. This sensitive dependence has been considered an indication of the potential impossibility of predicting economic time series.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Alligood, K.T. and J.A. Yorke, 1989, Accessible Saddles on Fractal Basin Boundaries, Mimeo University of Maryland.
Arneodo, A., P. Coullet, and C. Tresser, 1982, Possible New Strange Attractors with Spiral Structure Communications in Mathematical Physics 79, pp. 573–579
Arneodo, A., P. Coullet, and C. Tresser, 1982, Oscillators with Chaotic Behavior: An Illustration of a Theorem by Sil’nikov, Journal of Statistical Physics 127, pp. 171–182.
Beyn, W.-J., 1990, The Numerical Computation of Connecting Orbits in Dynamical Systems, IMA Journal of Numerical Analysis 9, pp. 379–405.
Coullet, P., C. Tresser, and A. Arneodo, 1979, Transition to Stochasticity for a Class of Forced Oscillators, Physics Letters 72A, pp. 268–270.
Delli Gatti, D., M. Gallegati and L. Gardini, 1991, Investment Confidence, Corporate Debt, and Income Fluctuations, Mimeo Urbino.
Dendrinos, D.S., 1986, On the Incongruous Spatial Employment Dynamics, (P. Nijkamp, ed.), Technological Change, Employment, and Spatial Dynamics, Springer-Verlag, Berlin-Heidelberg-New York, pp. 321–339.
Gandolfo, G., 1983, Economic Dynamics: Methods and Models, 2nd Edition, North-Holland, Amsterdam.
Glendinning, P. and C. Sparrow, 1984, Local and Global Behavior near Homoclinic Orbits, Journal of Statistical Physics 35, pp. 645–696.
Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J.A. Yorke, 1987a, Crises, Sudden Changes in Chaotic Attractors, and Transient Chaos, Physica 7D, pp. 181–200.
Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J.A. Yorke, 1987a, Basin Boundary Metamorphoses: Changes in Accessible Boundray Orbits, Physica 7D, pp. 243–262.
Grebogi, C., E. Ott, and J.A. Yorke, 1987c, Chaos, Strange Attractors, and Fractal Basin Boundaries in Nonlinear Dynamics, Science 238, pp. 632–638.
Guckenheimer, J. and P. Holmes, 1983, Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields, Springer-Verlag, New York-Berlin-Heidelberg.
Kantz, H. and P. Grassberger, 1985, Repellers, Semi-Attractors, and Long-Lived Chaotic Transients Physica 17D pp. 75–86.
Li, T.Y. and J.A. Yorke, 1975, Period Three Implies Chaos, American Mathematical Monthly 82, pp. 985–992.
Lorenz, H.-W., 1992a, Multiple Attractors, Complex Basin Boundaries, and Transient Motion in Deterministic Economic Systems, (G. Feichtinger, ed.), Dynamic Economic Models and Optimal Control, North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp. 411–430.
Lorenz, H.-W., 1992b, Complex Dynamics in Low-Dimensional Continuous-Time Business Cycle Models System Dynamics Review 8, pp. 233–250.
McDonald, S.W., C. Grebogi, E. Ott and J.A. Yorke, J.A., 1985a Fractal Basin Boundaries Physica 17D pp. 125–153.
McDonald, S.W., C. Grebogi, E. Ott and J.A. Yorke, J.A., 1985b, Structure and Crisis of Fractal Basin Boundaries, Physics Letters 107A, pp. 51–54.
Mira, C., 1987, Chaotic Dynamics - From the One-Dimensional Endomorphism to the Two-Dimensional Diffeomorphism Singapore World Scientific.
Metzler, L.A., 1941, The Nature and Stability of Inventory Cycles, Review of Economic Studies 23, pp. 113–129.
Nusse, H.E. and J.A. Yorke, 1989, A Procedure for Finding Numerical Trajectories on Chaotic Saddles, Physica 36D, pp. 137–156.
Sil’nikov, L.P., 1965, A Case of the Existence of a Countable Number of Periodic Motions, Soy. Math. Dokl. 6, pp. 163–166.
Smale, S., 1963, Diffeomorphisms with Many Periodic Points, in: Cairns, S.S., (ed.), Differential and Combinatorical Topology, Princeton Princeton University Press, pp. 63–80.
Wiggins, S., 1988, Global Bifurcations and Chaos, Analytical Methods, Springer-Verlag, New York-Berlin-Heidelberg.
Wiggins, S., 1990, Introduction to Applied Nonlinear Dynamical Systems and Chaos, Springer-Verlag, New York-Berlin-Heidelberg.
Yorke, J.A., 1991, Dynamics, An Interactive Program for IBM Clones, University of Maryland.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1993 Springer-Verlag Berlin · Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Lorenz, HW. (1993). Complex Transient Motion in Continuous-Time Economic Models. In: Nijkamp, P., Reggiani, A. (eds) Nonlinear Evolution of Spatial Economic Systems. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-78463-7_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-78463-7_5
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-78465-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-78463-7
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive