Skip to main content

Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Groundwater Resources Using Groundwater Flow Models

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Climate Change and its Effects on Water Resources

Part of the book series: NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security ((NAPSC,volume 3))

Abstract

Climate change is a potential stressor of groundwater resources and its effects on the availability of groundwater need to be understood and determined. The impacts of climate change on groundwater systems are conceptually known, however in the context of climate change impact assessment there has been little research conducted on groundwater compared to surface water resources. One of the tools used to quantify the effects of climate change is to use groundwater flow models in conjunction with downscaled GCM (global circulation model) results and groundwater recharge estimation. The purpose of this study is to present an overview of groundwater modeling approaches to assess the impacts of climate change on groundwater resources. Basic requirements, challenges and different approaches to overcome them are presented. The principal challenge of any climate change impact study is the downscaling of GCM results to the basin scale. Furthermore, the estimation of the impacted groundwater recharge is particularly important in groundwater modeling studies. A summary of case studies demonstrating the various methodologies are provided, following with an overview of a recent climate change impact study conducted for Tahtalı stream basin in Turkey.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Bates B, Kundzewicz ZW, Wu S, Palutikof J (2008) Climate change and water. Technical paper of IPCC working group II, Geneva, 210 pp

    Google Scholar 

  2. Bovolo CI, Parkin G, Sophocleous M (2009) Groundwater resources, climate and vulnerability. Environ Res Lett 4(3):1–4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Ekmekci M, Tezcan L (2006) Assessment of vulnerability of water resources to climate change: ecohydrological implications. In: Baba A, Howard K, Gunduz O (eds) Proceedings of the NATO advanced research workshop on groundwater and ecosystems. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 59–69

    Google Scholar 

  4. Blöschl G, Montanari A (2010) Climate change impacts – throwing the dice? Hydrol Proc 24(3):374–381

    Google Scholar 

  5. Scanlon B, Healy R, Cook P (2002) Choosing appropriate techniques for quantifying groundwater recharge. Hydrogeol J 10(1):18–39

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Healy R, Cook P (2002) Using groundwater levels to estimate recharge. Hydrogeol J 10(1):91–109

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Berger K (2004) The hydrologic evaluation of landfill performance (HELP) Model: engineering documentation for HELP 3.80 D – enhancements compared to HELP 3.07. Technical report by The Institute of Soil Science, University of Hamburg, Germany

    Google Scholar 

  8. Jyrkama MI, Sykes JF (2007) The impact of climate change on spatially varying groundwater recharge in the grand river watershed. J Hydrol 338:237–250

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Scibek J, Allen DM (2006) Modeled impacts of predicted climate change on recharge and groundwater levels. Water Resour Res 42(W11405):1–18

    Google Scholar 

  10. Elçi A, Karadaş D, Fıstıkoğlu O (2010) The combined use of MODFLOW and precipitation-runoff modeling to simulate groundwater flow in a diffuse-pollution prone watershed. Water Sci Technol 62(1):180–188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Elçi A, Fıstıkoğlu O (2010) Modeling of the climate change impact on the Izmir-Tahtalı basin groundwater system. In Proceedings of 6th national hydrology congress, Denizli, 22–24 Sep 2010 (in Turkish)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Kirshen PH (2002) Potential impacts of global warming on groundwater in Eastern Massachusetts. J Water Resour Plann Manage 128(3):216–226

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Harbaugh AW (2000) MODFLOW-2000, the U.S. geological survey modular ground-water model – user guide to modularization concepts and the ground-water flow process, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston

    Google Scholar 

  14. Croley TE, Luukkonen CL (2003) Potential effects of climate change on ground water in Lansing, Michigan. J Am Water Resour Assoc 39(1):149–163

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Woldeamlak S, Batelaan O, De Smedt F (2007) Effects of climate change on the groundwater system in the Grote-Nete catchment, Belgium. Hydrogeol J 15(5):891–901

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Hsu K-C, Wang C-H, Chen K-C, Chen C-T, Ma K-W (2007) Climate-induced hydrological impacts on the groundwater system of the Pingtung Plain, Taiwan. Hydrogeol J 15(5):903–913

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Toews MW, Allen DM (2009) Simulated response of groundwater to predicted recharge in a semi-arid region using a scenario of modelled climate change. Env Res Lett 4(3):1–19

    Google Scholar 

  18. Rozell D, Wong TF (2010) Effects of climate change on groundwater resources at Shelter Island, New York State, USA. Hydrogeol J. doi:10.1007/s10040-010-0615-z

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Alper Elçi .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2011 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.

About this paper

Cite this paper

Elçi, A. (2011). Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Groundwater Resources Using Groundwater Flow Models. In: Baba, A., Tayfur, G., Gündüz, O., Howard, K., Friedel, M., Chambel, A. (eds) Climate Change and its Effects on Water Resources. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series C: Environmental Security, vol 3. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1143-3_8

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics