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Integrated Assessment Modeling

A Simultaneous Equations Model of the Global Climate System

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Comparative Risk Assessment and Environmental Decision Making

Part of the book series: Nato Science Series: IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences ((NAIV,volume 38))

Abstract

In this paper, we present a simultaneous equations model that provides a computationally efficient framework for computing long term, policy-dependent projections of global climate change. As part of our formulation, we explore the dynamic properties and numerical stability of the coupled system. We illustrate the framework with a numerical casestudy that utilizes the coupled system to compute projections of global-mean surface temperature change for three global carbon emissions control strategies. As part of our analysis, we explore the system’s sensitivity to changes in the numerical specification of two key scientific uncertainties concerning the global climate system.

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© 2004 Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Valverde, L.J. (2004). Integrated Assessment Modeling. In: Linkov, I., Ramadan, A.B. (eds) Comparative Risk Assessment and Environmental Decision Making. Nato Science Series: IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences, vol 38. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-2243-3_12

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