Abstract
An in-depth examination of drought concepts, drought indices and their definitions, prediction, and forecasting is given. Monitoring of drought and drought risk management tools are discussed. Desertification concepts, indicators, monitoring and information tools are presented from the perspective of supporting the identification of vulnerability to desertification together with measures and practices that may be used to combat desertification.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Abraham E, Tomasini D, accagno P (eds) (2003) Desertificación. Indicadores y Puntos de Referencia en America Latina y el Caribe. Zeta Editores, Mendoza, Argentina
Alley W M (1984) The palmer drought severity index: Limitations and assumptions. J Climate Appl Meteo 23:1100 – 1109
Balabanis P, Peter D, Ghazi A, Tsogas M (eds) (1999) Mediterranean Desertification. Research Results and Policy Implications (Proc. Int. Conf., Crete, 1996). Directorate General for Research, European Commission, EUR 19303, Luxembourg
Bonaccorso B, Bordi I, Cancelliere A, Rossi G, Sutera A (2003) Spatial variability of drought: An analysis of the SPI in Sicily. Water Resour Manag 17:273 – 296
Bordi I, Fraedrich K, Gerstengarbe F-W, Werner P C, Sutera A (2004) Potential predictability of dry and wet periods: Sicily and Elbe-Basin (Germany). Theor Appl Climatol77:125 – 138
Bordi I, Fraedrich K, Petitta M, Sutera A (2006) Large-scale assessment of drought variability based on NCEP/NCAR and ERA-40 Re-Analyses. Water Resour Manag 20:899 – 915
Bordi I, Sutera A (2007) Drought monitoring and forecasting at large scale. In: Rossi G, Vega T, Bonaccorso B (eds) Methods and Tools for Drought Analysis and Management. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 3 – 27
Briassoulis H, Junti M, Wilson G (2003) Mediterranean Desertification. Framing the Policy Context. Directorate General for Research, European Commission, EUR 20731, Brussels
Cacciamani C, Morgillo A, Marchesi S, Pavan V (2007) Monitoring and forecasting drought on a regional scale: Emilia-Romagna Region. In: Rossi G, Vega T, Bonaccorso B (eds) Methods and Tools for Drought Analysis and Management. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 29 – 48
Cancelliere A, Di Mauro G, Bonaccorso B, Rossi G (2007) Drought forecasting using the Standardized Precipitation Index. Water Resour Manag 21:801 – 819
Cordery I (1999) Long range forecasting of low rainfall. Int J Climatol 19:463 – 470
Cordery I, Curtis B R (1985) Drought – a problem of definition. Hydrology & Water Resources Symposium, Inst Engrs Aust, Sydney
Cordery I, McCall M (2000) A model for forecasting drought from teleconnections. Water Resour Res 36:763 – 768
Correia F N (ed) (2004) Desertificação em Portugal. Incidência no Ordenamento do Território e no Desenvolvimento Urbano. DGOTDU, Lisbon (2 vol)
Deloncle A, Berk R, D’Andrea F, Ghil M (2007) Weather regime prediction using statistical learning. J Atmos Sci 64:1619 – 1635
Enne G, Peter D, Zanolla C, Zucca C (eds) (2004) The MEDRAP Concerted Action to Support the Northern Mediterranean Action Programme to Combat Desertification, Nucleo Ricerca Desertificazione, University of Sassari, Italy
Enne G, Zanolla C, Peter D (eds) (2000) Desertification in Europe: Mitigation Strategies, Land-Use Planning (Proc. Adv. Study Course, Alghero, 1999). Directorate General for Research, European Commission, EUR 19390, Luxembourg
Enne G, Zucca C (2000) Desertification Indicators for the European Mediterranean Region. Nucleo Ricerca Desertificazione, University of Sassari, and ANPA, Ministero dell’Ambiente, Roma
Garen D C (1993) Revised surface-water supply index for western United States. J Water Resour Plann Manage 119:437 – 454
Geeson N A, Brandt C J, Thornes J B (eds) (2002) Mediterranean Desertification. A Mosaic of Processes and Responses. John Wiley & Sons, Chicheste
Guerrero-Salazar P, Yevjevich V (1975) Analysis of Drought Characteristics by the Theory of Runs. Hydrology Paper n 80, Colorado State University, Fort Collins
Guttman N B (1998) Comparing the Palmer drought index and the standardised precipitation index. J Am Water Resour Assoc 34:113 – 121
Hastenrath S, Greischar L (1993) Further work on the prediction of northeast Brazil rainfall anomalies. J Climate 6:743 – 758
Hayes M J, Svoboda M, Le Comte D, Redmond K T, Pasteris P (2005) Drought monitoring: new tools for the 21st century. In: Wilhite D A (ed) Drought and Water Crisis. Science, Technology, and Management Issues, Taylor & Francis, Bocca Raton, pp. 53 – 69
Heathcote R L (1969) Drought in Australia: a problem of perception. The Geograph Rev59:174 – 194
Karl T R (1986) The sensitivity of the Palmer Drought Severity Index and Palmer’s Z index to their calibration coefficients including potential evapotranspiration. J Climate Appl Meteo 25:77 – 86
Karl T R, Quinlan F, Ezell D Z (1987) Drought termination and amelioration: Its climatological probability. J Climate Appl Meteo 26:1198 – 1209
Kepner W G, Rubio J L, Mouat D A, Pedrazzini F (eds) (2006) Desertification in the Mediterranean Region: a Security Issue. NATO Sc.Com., AK/Nato Publishing Unit, Springer-Verlag, Dordrecht
Kim T W, Valdés J B, Nijssen B, Roncayolo D (2006) Quantification of linkages between large-scale climatic patterns and precipitation in the Colorado River Basin. J Hydrology 321:173 – 186
Kondrashov D, Ide K, Ghil M (2004) Weather regimes and preferred transition paths in a three-level quasigeostrophic model. J Atmos Sci 61:568 – 587
Louro V (ed) (2004) Desertificação. Sinais, Dinâmica e Sociedade. Instituto Piaget, Lisboa
Martin de Santa Olalla F (ed) (2001) Agricultura y Desertificación. Ediciones Mundi-Prensa, Madrid
McCabe G J, Legates D R (1995) Relationships between 700 hPa height anomalies and 1 April snowpack accumulations in the western USA. Int J Climatol 15:517 – 530
McKee T B, Doesken N J, Kleist J (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: 8th Conference on Applied Climatology. Am. Meteor. Soc., Boston,pp. 179 – 184
Mishra A K, Desai V R (2006) Drought forecasting using feed-forward recursive neural network. Ecol Modell 198:127 – 138
Moreira E E, Coelho C A, Paulo A A, Pereira L S, Mexia J T (2008) SPI-based drought category prediction using loglinear models. J Hydrol 354,116 – 130
Nicholls N, Lavery B (1992) Australian rainfall trends during the twentieth century. Int J Climatol 12:153 – 163
Nichols N, Coughlan M J, Monnik K (2005) The challenge of climate prediction in mitigating drought impacts. In: Wilhite D A (ed) Drought and Water Crisis. Science, Technology, and Management Issues, Taylor & Francis, Bocca Raton, pp. 33 – 51
Nicholson S E (1993) An overview of African rainfall fluctuations in the last decade. J Climate 6:1463 – 1466
Paulo A A, Pereira L S, Matias P G (2003) Analysis of local and regional droughts in southern Portugal using the theory of runs and the Standardized Precipitation Index. In: Rossi G, Cancelliere A, Pereira L S, Oweis T, Shatanawi M, Zairi A (eds) Tools for Drought Mitigation in Mediterranean Regions, Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 55 – 78
Paulo A A, Pereira L S (2006) Drought concepts and characterization: Comparing drought indices applied at local and regional Scales. Water Internat 31:37 – 49
Pereira L S, Louro V, Rosário L, Almeida A (2006) Desertification, territory and people, a holistic approach in the Portuguese context. In: Kepner W G, Rubio J L, Mouat D A, Pedrazzini F (eds) Desertification in the Mediterranean Region: a Security Issue. NATO Sc.Com., AK/NATO Publishing Unit, Springer-Verlag, Dordrecht, pp. 269 – 289
Pereira L S, Rosa R D, Paulo A A (2007b) Testing a modification of the Palmer drought severity index for Mediterranean environments. In: Rossi G, Vega T, Bonaccorso B (eds) Methods and Tools for Drought Analysis and Management. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 149 – 167
Rossi G, Cancelliere A, Pereira L S, Oweis T, Shatanawi M, Zairi A (eds) (2003) Tools for Drought Mitigation in Mediterranean Regions. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 257p
Rossi G (2003) Requisites for a drought watch system. In: Rossi G, Cancellieri A, Pereira L S, Oweis T, Shatanawi M, Zairi A (eds) Tools for Drought Mitigation Mediterranean Regions, Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 147 – 157
Rossi G, Castiglione L, Bonaccorso B (2007b) Guidelines for planning and implementing drought mitigation measures. In: Rossi G, Vega T, Bonaccorso B (eds) Methods and Tools for Drought Analysis and Management. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 325 – 347
Roxo M J, Mourão J M (eds) (1998) Desertificação. Instituto Mediterrânico, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisboa
Ruiz J E, Cordery I, Sharma A (2006) Impact of mid-Pacific Ocean thermocline on the prediction of Australian rainfall. J Hydrol 317:104 – 122
Ruiz J E, Cordery I, Sharma A (2007) Forecasting streamflows in Australia using the tropical Indo-Pacific thermocline as predictor. J Hydrol 341:156 – 164
Santos M A (1983) Regional droughts: a stochastic characterisation. J Hydrol 66:183 – 211
Santos J A, Corte-Real J, Leite S M (2005)Weather regimes and their connection to the winter rainfall in Portugal. Int J Climatol 25:33 – 50
Steinemann A C (2006) Using climate forecasts for drought management. J Appl Meteo Climat 45:1353 – 1361
Tadesse T, Wilhite D A, Hayes M J, Harms S K, Goddard S (2005) Discovering associations between climatic and oceanic parameters to monitor drought in Nebraska using data-mining techniques. J Climate 18:1541 – 1550
Thyer M, Frost A J, Kuczera G (2006) Parameter estimation and model identification for stochastic models of annual hydrological data: Is the observed record long enough? J Hydrol 330:313 – 328
Trigo R M, Pozo-Vázquez D, Osborn T J, Castro-Díez Y, Gámiz-Fortis S, Esteban-Parra M J (2004) North Atlantic oscillation influence on precipitation, river flow and water resources in the Iberian Peninsula. Int J Climat 24:925 – 944
Vogt J V, Somma F (eds) (2000) Drought and Drought Mitigation in Europe. Kluwer, Dordrecht
Wedgbrow C S, Wilby R L, Fox H R, O’Hare G (2002) Prospects for seasonal forecasting of summer drought and low river flow anomalies in England and Wales. Int J Climat 22:219 – 236
Wilhite D A (ed) (2005a) Drought and Water Crises. Science, Technology, and Management. Taylor and Francis, Boca Raton
Wilhite D A (2005b) Drought policy and preparedness: the Australian experience in an international context. In: Botterill L C, Wilhite D A (eds) From Disaster Response to Risk Management: Australia’s National Drought Policy. Springer, Dordrecht, pp. 157 – 183
Wilhite D A, Easterling W E, Wood D A (eds) (1987) Planning for Drought. Toward a Reduction of Societal Vulnerability. Westview Press, Boulder and London
Yevjevich V, Cunha L V, Vlachos E (eds) (1983) Coping with Droughts, Water Resources Publications, Littleton, Colorado
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2009 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Santos Pereira, L., Cordery, I., Iacovides, I. (2009). Droughts and Desertification. In: Coping with Water Scarcity. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-9579-5_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-9579-5_4
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-1-4020-9578-8
Online ISBN: 978-1-4020-9579-5
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)