Abstract
The connection between climate change and security is now increasingly recognized as a legitimate cause for concern whether the implications are for military security (CNA Corporation, 2007), energy security (Paskal, 2009), or ecological security (Pirages & De Geest, 2003). The United Nations Security Council held its first debate on climate change in April 2007, stating that “an unstable climate will exacerbate some of the core drivers of conflict, such as migratory pressures and competition for resources’ (United Nations Security Council, 2007). Similarly, former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan has referred to climate change as a ‘threat to peace and security’ (opening address on 15 November 2006 to the 12th session of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC in Nairobi). In April 2007, high-ranking retired US generals published a report terming climate change a serious threat to the security of the USA that will promote extremism and terrorism, especially in unstable regions (CNA Corporation, 2007). This has been followed by official warnings from the US Department of Defense’s 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) and 2010 US State Department’s Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review (QDDR), which both identified climate and other environmental changes as strategic security risks. However, others have been more cautious in drawing conclusions, pointing out that the links between climate change and security are complex and that various other factors that can make regions more vulnerable should be taken into account (Salahyan, 2008). This chapter will lay out the new concepts of security being developed in the USA and other countries and examine some potential security impacts and possible solutions, drawing on literature on environmental science, political science, sociology, and social psychology.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
References
Adams, G., O’Brien, L. T., & Nelson, J. C. (2006). Perceptions of racism in Hurricane Katrina: A liberation psychology analysis. Analysis of Social Issues and Public Policy, 6, 215–235.
Afifi, T., & Warner, K. (2008). The impact of environmental degradation on migration flows across countries Working Paper No. 5/2008. Bonn: UNU-EHS.
Albert, R., Jeong, H., & Barabási, A.-L. (1999). Internet: Diameter of the World-Wide Web. Nature, 401(6749), 130–131.
Barnett, J. (2000). Destablizing the environment-conflict thesis. Review of International Studies, 26, 271–288.
Barnett, J. (2003). Security and climate change. Global Environmental Change, 13, 7–17.
Briggs, C. M. (2009). Climate change and migration. Briefing for the 17th OSCE Economic and Environmental Forum on Migration, Athens, Greece. EEF.IO/10/09
Briggs, C. M., Anderson, L., Walji, M. (2009). Environmental health risks and vulnerability in post-conflict regions. Conflict, Medicine & Survival, 25(2), 122–133.
Brown, O., Hammill, A., & McCleman, R. (2007). Climate change as the ‘new’ security threat: implications for Africa. International Affairs, 83(6), 1141–1154.
Busby, J. W. (2007). Climate change and national security: An agenda for action. New York: Council on Foreign Relations.
Buzan, B. (1991). People, states, and fear: An agenda for international security studies in the post-cold war era. Boulder, CO: Rienner.
Christie, D. J., Tint, B. S., Wagner, R. V., & Winter, D. (2008, September). Peace psychology for a peaceful world. American Psychologist, 63(6), 540–552.
CNA Corporation. (2007). National security and the threat of climate change. Retrieved Oct 15, 2009, from http://securityandclimate.cna.org/report/
Conca (2001). Environmental cooperation and international peace. In F.P. Diehl, and P. N. Gleditsch (Eds.), Environmental conflict (pp. 225–247). Boulder, CO: Westview Press.
CRED (WHO Collaborating Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters). (2010). Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT). CRED website. Retrieved June 2010, from http://www.em-dat.net/
Dalby, S. (2006). Security and environment linkages revisited. In H. G. Brauch, et al. (Eds.), Globalisation and environmental challenges: Reconceptualising security in the 21st century, hexagon series on human and environmental security and peace (Vol. 3) (pp. 165–712). Berlin: Springer.
DeFur, P. L., Gary W. E., Elaine A. C. H., Amy D. K., Rachel A. M. -F., & David R. W. (2007). Vulnerability as a function of individual and group resources in cumulative risk assessment. Environmental Health Perspectives, 115(5), 817–824.
Deudney, D. (1991). Environment and security: Muddled thinking. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 47(3), 22–28.
Deutsch, M. (1973). The resolution of conflict: Constructive and destructive processes. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
Deutsch, M. (2008). Reconciliation after destructive intergroup conflict. In A. Nadler, T. E. Malloy, & J. D. Fisher (Eds.), He social psychology of reconciliation (pp. 471–485). Oxford: Oxford Reconciliation University Press.
Deutsch, M., Coleman, P. T, & Marcus, E. C. (Eds.). (2006). The handbook of conflict resolution: Theory and practice (2nd ed., pp. 825–848, xiv, 940 pp). Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
Drury, A. C., & Olson, R. S. (1998). Disasters and political unrest: An empirical investigation. Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management, 6, 153–161. Retrieved Sept 15, 2009, from http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/eccp_impacts.htm
European Commission. (2008). Climate change and international security: Paper from the high representative and the European Commission to the European Council. Retrieved July 12, 2009, from http://www.consilium.europa.eu/ueDocs/cms_Data/docs/pressData/en/reports/99387.pdf
FAO/WFP. (2009). Special report: FAO/WFP crop and food security assessment mission to Madagascar. Retrieved Sept 18 2009, from http://reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/retrieveattachments?openagent&shortid=PSLG-7UNDUS&file=Full_Report.pdf
Füssel, H. M. (2007). Vulnerability: A generally applicable conceptual framework for climate change research. Global Environmental Change, 17, 155–167.
Gallopín, G. (2006). Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity. Global Environmental Change, 16, 293–303.
Galtung, J. (1996). Peace by peaceful means: Peace and conflict, development and civilization. London: Sage.
GBN. (2007). Impacts of climate change: A system vulnerability approach to consider the potential impacts to 2050 of a mid-upper greenhouse gas emissions scenario. Retrieved Mar 12, 2009, from http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/opinions/documents/gbn_impacts_of_climate_change.pdf
German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU). (2008). World in transition – Climate change as a security risk. London: Earthscan.
German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation & Development. (2002). Climate change and security: Challenges for German Development Cooperation. Retrieved Mar 12, 2009, from http://www.gtz.de/de/dokumente/en-climate-security.pdf
Gleditsch, N. P. (1998). Armed conflict and the environment: A critique of the literature. Journal of Peace Research, 35(3), 381–400.
Gleditsch, N., Nordas, R., & Salehyan, I. (2007). Climate change and conflict: The migration link. Coping with Crisis Working Paper Series, May 14th, 2007.
Gower, J. (2009). South Korea’s Daewoo logistics in Madagascar: The dawn of a new economic Colonialism? Paper presented at the annual meeting of the ISA – ABRI Joint International Meeting, Pontifical Catholic University, Rio de Janeiro Campus (PUC-Rio), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Jul 22, 2009. Retrieved Nov 12, 2010, from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p381468_index.html
Halden, P. (2007). The geopolitics of climate change. Stockholm: FOI Swedish Defence Research Agency.
Hare, A. P. (2007). Conflict resolution. In H. H. Blumberg, A. P. Hare, & A. Costin (Eds.), Peace psychology: A comprehensive introduction (pp. 97–132). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Hartmann, E. (1998). Population, environment and security: A new trinity. Environment and Urbanization, 10(2), 113–127.
Hauge, W., & Ellingsen, T. (1998). Beyond environmental scarcity: Causal pathways to conflict. Journal of Peace Research, 35(3), 299–317.
Homer-Dixon, T. F. (1991). On the threshold: Environmental changes as causes of acute conflict. International Security, 16, 76–116.
Homer-Dixon, T. F. (1994). Environmental scarcities and violent conflict: Evidence from cases. International Security, 19(1), 5–40.
Homer-Dixon. T. F. (1995). Strategies for studying causation in complex ecological-political systems. EPS, June 1995. Retrieved Mar 12, 2009, from http://www.library.utoronto.ca/pcs/eps/method/methods1.htm
Homer–Dixon, T. F. (1999). Environment, scarcity, and violence. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
IOM. (2005). Internal displacement in Central Asia: Underlying reasons and response strategies. IOM Technical Cooperation Centre for Europe and Central Asia, Vienna. Retrieved June 10, 2009, from http://iom.ramdisk.net/iom/artikel.php?menu_id=4
Jung-a, S., Oliver, C., & Burgis, T. (2008). Daewoo to cultivate Madagascar land for free. Financial Times.
Kaplan, F. (1991). The wizards of Armageddon. Stanford: Stanford University Press.
Kaplan, R. (1994, February). The coming anarchy. The Atlantic Monthly, 273(2), 44–76.
Klaphake, A., & Voils, O. (2006). Cooperation on international rivers from an economic perspective: Current state and experiences. In W. Scheumann & S. Neubert (Eds.), Transboundary water management in Africa. DIE Studies 21 (pp. 103–72). Bonn: Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE).
Lantze, S., & Raven-Roberts, A. (2006). Violence and complex humanitarian emergencies: implications for livelihoods models. Disasters, 30(4), 383–401.
Litfin, K. (1999). Constructing environmental security and ecological interdependence. Global Governance, 15(3), 359–378.
Lohrmann, R. (2000) Migrants, refugees and insecurity: Current threats to peace? International Migration, 38(4), 3–22.
Lowi, M. R. (1995). Water and power: The politics of a scarce resource in the Jordan River Basin. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Myers, N. (2005). Environmental refugees: An emerging security issue. Presented at: 13th Economic Forum, Prague, 23–27 May 2005.
National Intelligence Council. (2008). Global trends 2025: A transformed world. Retrieved August 10, 2009, from http://www.dni.gov/nic/PDF_2025/2025_Global_Trends_Final_Report.pdf
Normatov, I., & Petrov, G. (2006). Reservoirs and their role in social and economical development in Tajikistan and Central Asia. In L. Berga, et al. (Eds.), Dams and reservoirs, societies and environment in the 21st century (pp. 87–96). London: Taylor Francis Books.
Osmonaliyeva, A. (2010). Kyrgyzstan energy security a key concern. Central Asia Online. Retrieved December 30, 2009, from http://centralasiaonline.com/cocoon/caii/xhtml/en_GB/features/caii/features/main/2010/09/30/feature-02
Paskal, C. (2009). The vulnerability of energy infrastructure to environmental change. Chatham House briefing paper (Royal Institute for Int’l Affairs). Retrieved September 12, 2009, from http://www.chathamhouse.org.uk/publications/papers/view/-/id/737/
Phillips, D. J. H., Daoudy, M., Öjendal, J., McCaffrey, S., & Turton, A. R. (2006). Transboundary water cooperation as a tool for conflict prevention and broader benefiT-sharing. Stockholm: Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs. Accessible at: http://www.egdi.gov.se
Pirages, D., & De Geest, T. M. (2003). Ecological security: An evolutionary perspective on globalization. New York: Rowman and Littlefield.
Price-Smith, A. T. (2002). The health of nations: Infectious disease, environmental change, and their effects on national security and development. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Renaud, F. G., Bogardi, J. J., Dun, O., & Warner, K. (2007). Control, adapt or flee: How to face environmental migration? Bonn: United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security.
Sadoff, C., & Grey, D. (2002). Beyond the river: The benefits of cooperation on international rivers. Water Policy, 4(5), 389–403
Salahyan, I. (2008). From climate change to conflict? No consensus yet. Journal of Peace Research, 45, 315–326.
Schwartz, P., & Randall, D. (2003). An abrupt climate change scenario and its implications for United States National Security. Global Business Network report. Retrieved March 19, 2009, from http://www.gbn.com/articles/pdfs/Abrupt%20Climate%20Change%20February%202004.pdf
Sen, A. (1999). Development as freedom. London: Oxford University Press.
Smith, D. (2004). Trends and causes of armed conflict. In A. Austin, M. Fischer, & N. Ropers (Eds.), Transforming ethnopolitical conflict: The Berghof handbook (pp. 2–14). Wiesbaden: VS Verlag.
Smith, D., & Vivekananda, J. (2007, November). A climate of conflict: The links between climate change, peace and war. International Alert London.
Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., et al. (Eds.). (2007). Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (996pp). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_ipcc_fourth_assessment_report_wg1_report_the_physical_science_basis.htm
Stern, N. (2006). Stern review on the economics of climate change. Executive summary. London: HM Treasury.
Steward, F. (2004). Horizontale Ungleichheit als Ursache von Bürgerkriegen. In S. Kurtenbach & P. Lock (Eds.), Kriege als (Über)Lebenswelten: Schattenglobalisierung, Kriegsökonomien und Inseln der Zivilität (pp. 122–141). Bonn: Dietz
United Nations Environment Programme. (2007). Environmental degradation triggering tensions and conflict in Sudan, 2007. Retrieved August 2010, from http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentID=512%26ArticleID=5621%26l=en
United Nations Security Council. (2007). Security council holds first ever debate on climate change. 5663rd Meeting, United Nations Department of Public Information (DPI), New York City, April 17th 2007.
United Nations Development Programme. (1994). Human development report. New York: UNDP.
United States Global Change Research Program (USGCRP). (2009). Global climate change impacts in the United States. Retrieved Dec 01, 2010, from http://www.globalchange.gov/publications/reports/scientific-assessments/us-impacts
Walt, S. M. (2009). National security heats up? Foreign Policy Blog. Retrieved August 10, 2009, from http://walt.foreignpolicy.com/node/44356
Warner, K., Afifi, T., Dun, O., Stal, M., Schmidl, S., & Bogardi, J. (2008). Human security, climate change, and environmentally induced migration. In Climate change: Addressing the impact on human security. Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy (ELIAMEP) and Hellenic Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 2007–2008 Greek chairmanship of the Human Security Network, Athens. Retrieved May 23, 2011, from http://www.efmsv2008.org/file/ELIAMEP+full+report_final-1.pdf
Winter, D., & Cava, M. (2006). The psycho-ecology of armed conflict. Journal of Social Issues, 62(1), 19–40.
Wisner B., Blaikie, P., Cannon, T., & Davis, I. (2005). At risk: Natural hazards, people’s vulnerability and disasters. London, Routledge.
Wolf, A. T., Stahl, K., & Macomber, M. F. (2003). Conflict and cooperation within international river basins: The importance of institutional capacity. Water Resources Update, 125. Universities Council on Water Resouces.
Worldwatch Institute. (2005). State of the World 2005: Redefining global security. Washington, DC: Worldwatch Institute.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2011 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Briggs, C.M., Weissbecker, I. (2011). Security and Conflict: The Impact of Climate Change. In: Weissbecker, I. (eds) Climate Change and Human Well-Being. International and Cultural Psychology. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9742-5_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9742-5_6
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY
Print ISBN: 978-1-4419-9741-8
Online ISBN: 978-1-4419-9742-5
eBook Packages: Behavioral ScienceBehavioral Science and Psychology (R0)