Abstract
In Chap. 4, we investigated the extent to which convicted homicide offenders could be predicted from factors measured in childhood in a population of youth from public schools. One of the problems with predicting homicide offenders out of the whole population is that the false-positive errors can be high, because many individuals who are predicted to offend who do not in fact offend (Loeber et al., 2005a). For example, in Chap. 4, we concluded that about 8–14% of high-risk boys became convicted homicide offenders, giving a false-positive rate of 86–92%.
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Farrington, D.P., Loeber, R. (2011). Prediction of Homicide Offenders Out of Violent Boys. In: Young Homicide Offenders and Victims. Longitudinal Research in the Social and Behavioral Sciences: An Interdisciplinary Series. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-9949-8_5
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