Skip to main content

Recent Developments in Location Estimation and Regression for Long-Memory Processes

  • Conference paper
New Directions in Time Series Analysis

Part of the book series: The IMA Volumes in Mathematics and its Applications ((IMA,volume 46))

  • 386 Accesses

Abstract

The problem of long-range dependence in statistical applications has been known to scientists and applied statisticians long before suitable models were known. Parsimonious models with such behaviour are stationary processes with non-summable correlations. Many classical limit theorems do not hold for these processes and rates of convergence are slower than under independence or weak dependence. Therefore, for many statistics, usual confidence intervals are too small by a factor which tends to infinity with increasing sample size. In this paper we give a survey of recent results on point and interval estimation of location and of the coefficients in parametric linear regression, as well as nonparametric regression.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Adenstedt R.K. (1974), On large sample estimation for the mean of a stationary random sequence, Ann. Statist 2, 1095–1107.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Beran J. (1984), Maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian processes with long-range dependence. Abstracts book, 16th European Meeting of Statisticians. Marburg, West Germany, p. 71

    Google Scholar 

  • Beran J. (1986), Estimation, testing and prediction for self-similar and related processes, PhD Thesis, ETH Zürich,

    Google Scholar 

  • Beran J. (1988), Statistical aspects of stationary processes with long-range dependence, Mimeo Series No. 1743, Department of Statistics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC,

    Google Scholar 

  • Beran J. (1989a), A test of location for data with slowly decaying serial correlations, Biometrika 76, 261–269.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Beran J. (1989b), M-estimators of location for data with slowly decaying serial correlations, submitted,

    Google Scholar 

  • Beran J. (1990), Statistical methods for data with long-range dependence, submitted,

    Google Scholar 

  • Beran J., KÃœnsch H.R. (1985), Location estimators for processes with long-range dependence, Research Report No.40, Seminar für Statistik, ETH Zurich,

    Google Scholar 

  • Carlin J.B., Dempster P., Jonas A.B. (1985), On methods and models for bayesian time series analysis, J. Econometrics 30, 67–90.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Carlin J.B., Dempster P. (1989), Sensitivity analysis of seasonal adjustments: Empirical case studies, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 84, 6–20.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Cox D.R., Townsend M.W.H. (1948), The use of the correlogram in measuring yarn irregularity, Proceedings of the Royal Society of Edinburgh A 63, 290–311.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cox, D.R. (1984), Long-range dependence: a review, In Statistics: An Appraisal. Proceedings 50th Anniversary Conference, Ed. H.A. David and H.T. David, pp. 55–74, The Iowa State University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dahlhaus R. (1989), Efficient parameter estimation for self-similar processes, Ann. Statist. 17, 1749–1766.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Damerau F.J., Mandelbrot B.B. (1973), Tests of the degree of word clustering in samples of written English, Linguistics 102, 58–75.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fox R., Taqqu M.S. (1986), Large sample properties of parameter estimates for strongly dependent stationary Gaussian Time series, Ann. Statist. 14, 517–532.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Gay R., Heyde C.C. (1990), On a class of random field models wich allows long range dependence, Biometrika 77, 401–403.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Geweke J., Porter-Hudak S. (1983), The estimation and application of long memory time series models, J. Time Series Anal. 4, 221–238.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Graf H.P. (1983), Long-range correlations and estimation of the self-similarity parameter, PhD thesis, ETH Zürich,

    Google Scholar 

  • Graf H.P., Hampel F.R., Tacier J. (1984), The problem of unsuspected serial correlations, In Robust and Nonlinear Time Series Analysis. J. Franke, W.Härdle, R.D. Martin (eds), Lecture Notes in Statistics 26, Springer, New York, 127–45.

    Google Scholar 

  • Granger C.W.J. (1966), The typical spectral shape of an economic variable, Econometrica 34, 150–161.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Granger C.W.J. (1980), Long memory relationships and the aggregation of dynamic models, J. Econometrics 14, 227–238.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Granger C.W.J., Joyeux R. (1980), An introduction to long-range time series models and fractional differencing, J. Time Series Anal. 1, 15–30.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Grenander V., Rosenblatt M. (1957), Analysis of stationary time series, New York: Wiley.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hall P., Hart J.D. (1989), Nonparametric regression with long-range dependence, Technical Report No.88, Department of Statistics, Texas A&M University, College Station,

    Google Scholar 

  • Hampel F.R. (1987), Data analysis and self-similar processes Proceedings of the 46th Session of ISI, Tokyo, Book 4, 235–254.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hampel F.R., Ronchetti E.M., Rousseeuw P.J., Stahel W.A. (1986), Robust statistics. The approach based on influence functions, New York: Wiley.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Haslett J., Raftery A.E. (1989), Space-time modelling with long-memory dependence: Assessing Ireland’s wind power resource, J. Appl. Stat. 38, 1–21.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hodges J.L., Lehmann E.L. (1970), Deficiency, Ann. Statist. 41, 783–801.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hosking J.R.M. (1981), Fractional differencing, Biometrika 68, 165–176.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hurst H.E. (1951), Long-term storage capacity of reservoirs, Trans. Amer. Soc. Civil Engineers 116, 770–799.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jeffreys H. (1939), Theory of probability, Oxford: Clarendon Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Künsch H.R. (1986), Statistical aspects of self-similar processes, Invited paper, Proc. First World Congress of the Bernoulli Society, Tashkent Vol. 1, 67–74.

    Google Scholar 

  • Künsch H., Beran J., Hampel F. (1990), Contrasts under long-range correlations, or: Why statistics sometimes works, submitted,

    Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B. (1969), Long-run linearity, locally Gaussian process, H-spectra and infinite variance, International Economic Review 10, 82–111.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B. (1971), When can price be arbitraged efficiently ? A limit to the validity of the random walk and martingale models, Reviews of Economics and Statistics LIII, 225–236.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B. (1983), The fractal geometry of nature, New York: Freeman.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B. (1973), Le problème de la réalité des cycle lents et le syndrome de Joseph, Economie Appliquée 26, 349–365.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B., van Ness J.W. (1968), Fractional Brownian motions, fractional noises and applications, SIAM Review 10, No.4, 422–437.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B., Taqqu M.S. (1979), Robust R/S analysis of long run serial correlation, Proceedings 42nd Session of the ISI, Manila Book 2, 69–100.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B., Wallis J.R. (1968), Noah, Joseph and operational hydrology, Water Resources Research 4, No.5, 909–918.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mandelbrot B.B., Wallis J.R. (1969), Computer experiments with fractional Gaussian noises, Water Resources Research 5, No.1, 228–267.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Matheron G. (1973), The intrinsic random functions and their applications, Adv. in Appl. Prob. 5, 439–468.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Newcomb S. (1886), A generalized theory of the combination of observations so as to obtain the best result, Amer. J. Math. 8, 343–366.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Pearson K. (1902), On the mathematical theory of errors of judgement, with special reference to the personal equation, Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. Ser. A 198, 235–299.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Percival D.B. (1985), On the sample mean and variance of a long memory process, Technical Report No. 69, Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle,

    Google Scholar 

  • Porter-Hudak S. (1990), An application of the seasonal fractionally differenced model to the monetary aggregates, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 85, 338–344.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Samarov A., Taqqu M.S. (1988), On the efficiency of the sample mean in long-memory noise, J. Time Series Analysis 9, 191–200.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Smith H. Fairfield (1938), An empirical law describing heterogeneity in the yields of agricultural crops, J. Agric. Sci. 28, 1–23.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Solo V. (1989), Intrinsic random functions and the paradox of 1/f noise, preprint,

    Google Scholar 

  • Student (1927), Errors of routine analysis, Biometrika 19, 151–164.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taqqu M.S. (1985), A bibliographic guide to self-similar processes and long-range dependence, In Dependence in probability and statistics, Ed. E. Eberlein and M.S. Taqqu, pp. 137–165, Birkhäuser, Basel.

    Google Scholar 

  • Whittle P. (1956), On the variation of yield variance with plot size, Biometrika 43, 337–343.

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Whittle P. (1962), Topographic correlation, power-law covariance functions, and diffusion, Biometrika 49, 304–314.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Yajima Y. (1985), On estimation of long-memory time series models, Austral. J. Statist. 27, 303–320.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yajima Y. (1988), On estimation of a regression model with long-memory stationary errors, Ann. Statist. 16, 791–807.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yajima Y. (1989), Asymptotic properties of the LSE in a regression model with long-memory stationary errors, preprint

    Google Scholar 

  • Zygmund A. (1959), Trigonometric series, London: Cambridge University Press.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1993 Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.

About this paper

Cite this paper

Beran, J. (1993). Recent Developments in Location Estimation and Regression for Long-Memory Processes. In: Brillinger, D., Caines, P., Geweke, J., Parzen, E., Rosenblatt, M., Taqqu, M.S. (eds) New Directions in Time Series Analysis. The IMA Volumes in Mathematics and its Applications, vol 46. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9296-5_1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9296-5_1

  • Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4613-9298-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4613-9296-5

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics