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Economic and Mathematical Evaluation Model of Interaction Between Container Transportation System and Russian Regions

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VIII International Scientific Siberian Transport Forum (TransSiberia 2019)

Abstract

The purpose of the article is to develop an economic and mathematical evaluation model of interaction between the container transportation sector and a region. The topicality of the research is evidenced by the lack of coordination mechanisms between the development programs for container transportation system and other branches of regional economy. This leads to a disproportionate development of the terminal capacities in the region, inefficient transportation flows with empty containers, suboptimal use of the rolling stock. The article establishes an outline for interaction analysis that considers multifaceted, reciprocal effect the container transportation has on a region. To estimate the economic development of a region due to the interaction with the container system, the notion of regional wealth will be used. The main factors affecting regional wealth and their numerical indicators are provided in the article. The lagging nature of the influence of individual factors on the regional wealth is noted, and a general method for determining this time lag is designed. A linear evaluation form for regional wealth is provided, which considers its dependence on the factors of the container transportation development. The practical significance of the research results lies in the model’s potential to predict the wealth growth of a region, to evaluate the priorities for the structural and technical development of the container transportation system, to design strategies for social and economic development of the region and its transportation sector, to generate optimal investment flows.

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Correspondence to Daria Kochneva .

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Kochneva, D., Say, V., Siziy, S. (2020). Economic and Mathematical Evaluation Model of Interaction Between Container Transportation System and Russian Regions. In: Popovic, Z., Manakov, A., Breskich, V. (eds) VIII International Scientific Siberian Transport Forum. TransSiberia 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1116. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37919-3_77

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37919-3_77

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-37918-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-37919-3

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