Abstract
In this chapter, precipitation predictability is studied through the analysis of sensitivity of precipitation simulations to uncertainties of radiation calculations. The effects of large-scale forcing on precipitation predictability is examined by conducting sensitivity experiments with a weak forcing from tropical rainfall event and with a strong forcing from pre-summer torrential rainfall event. The ratio of the root-mean-squared difference between sensitivity and control experiments to the standard deviation of the control experiment is calculated to evaluate precipitation predictability. The ratios calculated from temporal and spatial average data are compared to identify the effects of large-scale forcing on precipitation predictability.
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Li, X., Gao, S. (2016). Precipitation Predictability. In: Cloud-Resolving Modeling of Convective Processes. Springer Atmospheric Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26360-1_16
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26360-1_16
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