Skip to main content

Guided Incremental Construction of Belief Networks

  • Conference paper
Advances in Intelligent Data Analysis V (IDA 2003)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNCS,volume 2810))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Because uncertain reasoning is often intractable, it is hard to reason with a large amount of knowledge. One solution to this problem is to specify a set of possible models, some simple and some complex, and choose which to use based on the problem. We present an architecture for interpreting temporal data, called AIID, that incrementally constructs belief networks based on data that arrives asynchronously. It synthesizes the opportunistic control of the blackboard architecture with recent work on constructing belief networks from fragments. We have implemented this architecture in the domain of military analysis.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Atkin, M., King, G.W., Westbrook, D., Heeringa, B., Hannon, A., Cohen, P.: SPT: Hierarchical Agent Control: A framework for defining agent behavior. In: Proceedings of Fifth International Conference on Autonomous Agents, pp. 425–432 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Atkin, M., Westbrook, D.L., Cohen, P.: Domain-general simulation and planning with physical schemas. In: Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference, pp. 464–470 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Burns, B., Morrison, C.: Temporal abstraction in Bayesian networks. In: AAAI Spring Symposium, Palo Alto, CA (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Carver, N., Lesser, V.: The evolution of blackboard control architectures. Expert Systems with Applications 7, 1–30 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Erman, L.D., Hayes-Roth, F., Lesser, V.R., Reddy, D.R.: The HEARSAY-II speech understanding system: Integrating knowledge to resolve uncertainty. ACM Computing Survey 12, 213–253 (1980)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Goldman, R.P., Charniak, E.: A language for construction of belief networks. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence 15(3), 196–208 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Heckerman, D.: A tutorial on learning with Bayesian networks. In: Jordan, M. (ed.) Learning in Graphical Models. MIT Press, Cambridge (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Horvitz, E.: Computation and Action Under Bounded Resources. PhD thesis, Stanford University (December 1990)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Koller, D., Pfeffer, A.: Object-oriented Bayesian networks. In: Proceedings of the Thirteenth Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1997), pp. 302–313 (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Laskey, K.B., Mahoney, S.M.: Network fragments: Representing knowledge for constructing probabilistic models. In: Proceedings of the Thirteenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1997). Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Lenat, D.B., Guha, R.V.: Building large knowledge-based systems: Representation and inference in the Cyc project. Addison Wesley, Reading (1990)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Murphy, K.P.: Dynamic Bayesian Networks: Representation, Inference and Learning. PhD thesis, U.C. Berkeley (July 2002)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Nii, H.P.: Blackboard systems. In: Barr, A., Cohen, P.R., Feigenbaum, E.A. (eds.) The Handbook of Artificial Intelligence, vol. IV, pp. 1–82. Addison-Wesley, Reading (1989)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Pearl, J.: Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo (1988)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Pfeffer, A., Koller, D., Milch, B., Takusagawa, K.T.: SPOOK: A system for probabilistic object-oriented knowledge representation. In: Proceedings of the 14th Annual Conference on Uncertainty in AI (UAI 1999), pp. 541–550. Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Russell, S., Norvig, P.: Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach. Addison-Wesley, Reading (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Srinivas, S.: A generalization of the noisy-or model. In: Proceedings of the Ninth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI 1993). Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco (1993)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2003 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Sutton, C.A., Burns, B., Morrison, C., Cohen, P.R. (2003). Guided Incremental Construction of Belief Networks. In: R. Berthold, M., Lenz, HJ., Bradley, E., Kruse, R., Borgelt, C. (eds) Advances in Intelligent Data Analysis V. IDA 2003. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 2810. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-45231-7_49

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-45231-7_49

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-40813-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-45231-7

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics