Abstract
The major tasks of medical consultation can be summarized as follows:
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sequential collection of findings and testing of their consistency
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interpretation of these findings in terms of a diagnostic model
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extrapolation of the natural course that is likely to follow (prognosis)
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formulation of therapeutic management plans and selection of initial therapy
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explanation and justification of the above reassessment and possible modification of diagnosis, prognosis and thersapy.
The applications of formal methods of decision making have until now mostly been concentrated on problems of diagnostic reasoning (1–4). Only few investigators have applied decision analysis and other techniques to treatment selection problems and even fewer have focused on the prognostic phase of the medical consultation process.
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Willems, J.L., Pardaens, J., Lesaffre, E., Dekeyser, L., De Geest, H. (1985). Probabilistic Prognostic Decision Making: A Clinical Example. In: Roger, F.H., Grönroos, P., Tervo-Pellikka, R., O’Moore, R. (eds) Medical Informatics Europe 85. Lecture Notes in Medical Informatics, vol 25. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-93295-3_24
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-93295-3_24
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