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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems ((LNE,volume 248))

Abstract

In an essay on risk perception, Kenneth Arrow writes: “The concept of rationality has been basic to most economic analysis.”1 Arrow has a specific conception of rationality in mind, a major implication of which is the expected utility hypothesis. This hypothesis says that a rational individual assesses alternative choices in terms of expected utility — the aggregated, probability-weighted utilities of each alternative’s possible consequences — and then chooses the alternative that maximizes this amount.

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References

  1. Kenneth Arrow, “Risk Perception in Psychology and Economics,” Economic Inquiry 20 (1982), p. 1.

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  2. James March, “Bounded Rationality, Ambiguity, and the Engineering of Choice,” The Bell Journal of Economics 9 (1978), p. 588.

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  3. For a description of these violations, see Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, “The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice,” Science 211 (January 30, 1981), pp. 453–58; also, Kahneman and Tversky, “The Psychology of Preferences,” Scientific American 246 (January 1982), pp. 160–71.

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  4. Paul Slovic and Amos Tversky, “Who Accepts Savage’s Axioms?” Behavioral Science 19 (1974), pp. 363–73; and K. R. MacCrimmon and S. Larsson, “Utility Theory: Axioms versus ‘Paradoxes’,” Expected Utility Hypotheses and the Allais Paradox, ed. M. Allais and O. Hagen ( Dodrecht: Reidel, 1979 ), pp. 333–409.

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  5. Paul Samuelson, “Probability and the Attempts to Measure Utility,” The Economic Review 1 (1950), p. 167

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  6. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, “Prospect Theory,” Econometrica 47 (1979), pp. 263–91.

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  7. Mary Douglas, “Cultural Bias,” in In the Active Voice (London: Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1982); and Michael Thompson, “An Outline of the Cultural Theory of Risk,” IIASA Working Paper WP-80–177 ( Laxenburg, Austria, 1980 ).

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  8. See Charles Taylor, “The Diversity of Goods,” in Utilitarianism and Beyond, ed. A. Sen and B. Williams (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1982), pp. 129–44; Stuart Hampshire, Morality and Conflict (Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1984); and Ian Hacking, “Hume’s Species of Probability,” Philosophical Studies 33 (1978), pp. 21–37.

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  9. Maurice Allais, “Le Comportement de l’Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulates et Axiommes de l’Ecole Americaine,” Econometrica 21 (1953), pp. 503–46.

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  10. I first encountered this version in David Lewis, “Russian Roulette,” (1984), unpublished mimeo. He attributes it to Allan Gibbard.

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  11. Howard Raiffa, Decision Analysis (Reading, Massachusetts: Addison-Wesley, 1968), pp. 80–86. Lewis, “Russian Roulette.”

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  12. Tversky and Kahneman, “The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice,” p. 458.

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  13. Thomas Nagel, “The Limits of Objectivity,” The Tanner Lectures on Human Values, Volume 1, ed. S. McMurrin ( Salt Lake City: University of Utah Press, 1980 ), pp. 134–35.

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  14. Arrow, “Risk Perception in Psychology and Economics,” p. 6.

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  15. Ibid.

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  16. Kahneman and Tversky, “The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice,” p. 453.

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  17. See, for example, David Bell, “Regret in Decision Making Under Uncertainty,” Operations Research 30 (1982), pp. 961–81; Peter Fishburn, “Normative Theories of Rationality Under Risk and Under Uncertainty,” Bell Laboratories, June 1983; and Mark Machina, “’Expected Utility’ Analysis Without the Independence Axiom,” Econometrica 50 (1981), pp. 297–323.

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  18. Bell, “Regret in Decision Making Under Uncertainty,” p. 962.

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Manfred Grauer Michael Thompson Andrzej P. Wierzbicki

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© 1985 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Maclean, D. (1985). Rationality and Equivalent Redescriptions. In: Grauer, M., Thompson, M., Wierzbicki, A.P. (eds) Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision Processes. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol 248. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02432-4_7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02432-4_7

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-15675-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-662-02432-4

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