Abstract
Rudolf Carnap (1962) distinguished between probability1, which concerns rational degrees of belief, and probability2, which concerns statistical regularities. Although he claimed that both notions of probability were crucial to scientific inference, he practically ignored probability2 in the development of his systems of inductive logic. By contrast, evidential probability, developed by Henry Kyburg (1961) and later by Kyburg and Choh Man Teng (2001), is a theory that gives primacy to probability2, and Kyburg’s philosophical program was an uncompromising approach to see how far he could go with relative frequencies.
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Haenni, R., Romeijn, JW., Wheeler, G., Williamson, J. (2011). Evidential Probability. In: Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks. Synthese Library, vol 350. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-0008-6_4
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