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The Effectiveness of the International Emissions Trading under the Paris Agreement

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Post-2020 Climate Action

Abstract

Under the Paris Agreement, parties would set and implement their own emissions targets as nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to tackle climate change risk. The international carbon emissions trading (ET) is expected to reduce global mitigation costs. Here we show the benefit of ET under both NDCs. The results show that the global welfare loss, which was measured based on estimated household consumption change in 2030, decreased by 80% (from 0.5 to 0.1%), as a consequence of achieving the NDCs through ET. These results indicate that ET is a valuable option for the international system, enabling the NDCs to be cost-effectively achieved and more ambitious targets.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The financial mechanism in the context of supporting the least developed countries and technological transfer.

Abbreviations

AIM:

Asia-Pacific Integrated Model

CES:

Constant elasticity of substitution

CGE:

Computable general equilibrium

COP:

Conference of the Parties

ET:

Emissions trading

INDCs:

Intended nationally determined contributions

NDCs:

Nationally determined contributions

OECD:

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

PA:

Paris Agreement

UNFCCC:

United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

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Correspondence to Shinichiro Fujimori .

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Fujimori, S. et al. (2017). The Effectiveness of the International Emissions Trading under the Paris Agreement. In: Fujimori, S., Kainuma, M., Masui, T. (eds) Post-2020 Climate Action. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-3869-3_5

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