Abstract
Over the past thirty years of reform and opening up, economic development is entering a new normal, the vulnerability of the energy supply system will also be highlighted, which seriously affect the sustainable development of the ecological and social economy. At present, China has promoted the structural reform of the supply side, it is a major adjustment from “demand management” to “supply management”. In this paper, we introduce the concept of vulnerability, on energy supply system vulnerability research background, purpose and meaning at the same time, the energy supply system vulnerability concept is defined, a vulnerability assessment model and by the dependence on foreign energy consumption elasticity index, energy reserves ratio, energy production elasticity index, such as per capita GDP constitutes the evaluation index system. The study on the assessment of feedback sensitivity damage level of the effect of different factors on the supply system and the corresponding system. Finally, based on the empirical analysis the sample data of 15 years in our country, from the government, enterprises, and individuals proposed China’s energy supply side perspective of the reform of the proposal.
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Acknowledgements
This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (71373059); Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Planning Fund Project (16YJA630002); Social Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province (15GLB05); Heilongjiang Province Natural Science Fund Project (G201313); Special Funds for Basic Scientific Research Business Fees in Central Universities (HEUCF170901).
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Cao, J., Dong, S. (2018). Vulnerability Analysis of Energy Supply in China. In: Li, X., Xu, X. (eds) Proceedings of the Fifth International Forum on Decision Sciences. Uncertainty and Operations Research. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-7817-0_19
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-7817-0_19
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