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Classification of States

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Understanding Markov Chains

Part of the book series: Springer Undergraduate Mathematics Series ((SUMS))

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Abstract

In this chapter we present the notions of communicating, transient and recurrent states, as well as the concept of irreducibility of a Markov chain. We also examine the notions of positive and null recurrence, periodicity, and aperiodicity of such chains. Those topics will be important when analysing the long-run behavior of Markov chains in the next chapter.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    In graph theory, one says that and are strongly connected.

  2. 2.

    almost surely.

  3. 3.

    almost surely.

  4. 4.

    For any sequence \((a_n)_{n\ge 0}\) of nonnegative real numbers, \(\displaystyle \sum _{n=0}^\infty a_n < \infty \) implies \(\lim _{n\rightarrow \infty } a_n = 0\).

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Correspondence to Nicolas Privault .

Exercises

Exercises

Exercise 6.1

Consider a Markov chain \((X_n)_{n\ge 0}\) on the state space \(\{ 0,1,2,3 \}\), with transition matrix

$$ \left[ \begin{array}{cccc} 1/3 ~&{} 1/3 ~&{} 1/3 ~&{} 0 \\ 0 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 1 \\ 0 ~&{} 1 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 0 \\ 0 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 1 ~&{} 0 \end{array} \right] . $$
  1. (a)

    Draw the graph of this chain and find its communicating classes. Is this Markov chain reducible? Why?

  2. (b)

    Find the periods of states , , , and .

  3. (c)

    Compute \(\mathbb {P}(T_0<\infty \mid X_0=0)\), \(\mathbb {P}(T_0 = \infty \mid X_0=0)\), and \(\mathbb {P}(R_0<\infty \mid X_0=0)\).

  4. (d)

    Which state(s) is (are) absorbing, recurrent, and transient?

Exercise 6.2

Consider the Markov chain on \(\{ 0 , 1 , 2 \}\) with transition matrix

$$ \left[ \begin{array}{ccc} 1/3 ~&{} 1/3 ~&{} 1/3 \\ 1/4 ~&{} 3/4 ~&{} 0 \\ 0 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 1 \end{array} \right] . $$
  1. (a)

    Is the chain irreducible? Give its communicating classes.

  2. (b)

    Which states are absorbing, transient, recurrent, positive recurrent?

  3. (c)

    Find the period of every state.

Exercise 6.3

Consider a Markov chain \((X_n)_{n\ge 0}\) on the state space \(\{ 0,1,2,3,4\}\), with transition matrix

$$ \left[ \begin{array}{ccccc} 0 &{} ~1/4 &{} ~1/4 &{} ~1/4 &{} ~1/4 \\ 1 &{} 0 &{} 0 &{} 0 &{} 0 \\ 0 &{} 1 &{} 0 &{} 0 &{} 0 \\ 0 &{} 0 &{} 1 &{} 0 &{} 0 \\ 0 &{} 0 &{} 0 &{} 0 &{} 1 \end{array} \right] . $$
  1. (a)

    Draw the graph of this chain.

  2. (b)

    Find the periods of states , , , and .

  3. (c)

    Which state(s) is (are) absorbing, recurrent, and transient?

  4. (d)

    Is the Markov chain reducible? Why?

Exercise 6.4

Consider the Markov chain with transition matrix

$$ \left[ ~ P_{i, j} ~ \right] _{ 0 \le i , j \le 5 } = \left[ \begin{array}{cccccc} 1/2 &{} ~0 &{} ~1/4 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~1/4 \\ 1/3 &{} ~1/3 &{} ~1/3 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 \\ 0 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~1 &{} ~0 \\ 1/6 &{} ~1/2 &{} ~1/6 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~1/6 \\ 0 &{} ~0 &{} ~1 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 \\ 0 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~0 &{} ~1 \end{array} \right] . $$
  1. (a)

    Is the chain reducible? If yes, find its communicating classes.

  2. (b)

    Determine the transient and recurrent states of the chain.

  3. (c)

    Find the period of each state.

Exercise 6.5

Consider the Markov chain with transition matrix

$$ \left[ \begin{array}{cccc} 0.8 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 0.2 ~&{} 0 \\ 0 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 1 ~&{} 0 \\ 1 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 0 \\ 0.3 ~&{} 0.4 ~&{} 0 ~&{} 0.3 \end{array} \right] . $$
  1. (a)

    Is the chain irreducible? If not, give its communicating classes.

  2. (b)

    Find the period of each state. Which states are absorbing, transient, recurrent, positive recurrent?

Exercise 6.6

In the following chain, find:

  1. (a)

    the communicating class(es),

  2. (b)

    the transient state(s),

  3. (c)

    the recurrent state(s),

  4. (d)

    the positive recurrent state(s),

  5. (e)

    the period of every state.

figure h

Exercise 6.7

Consider two boxes containing a total of N balls. At each unit of time one ball is chosen randomly among N and moved to the other box.

  1. (a)

    Write down the transition matrix of the Markov chain \((X_n)_{n\in {\mathord {\mathbb N}}}\) with state space \(\{ 0, 1, 2, \ldots , N\}\), representing the number of balls in the first box.

  2. (b)

    Determine the periodicity, transience and recurrence of the Markov chain.

Exercise 6.8

  1. (a)

    Is the Markov chain of Exercise 4.10-(a) recurrent? positive recurrent?

  2. (b)

    Find the periodicity of every state.

  3. (c)

    Same questions for the success runs Markov chain of Exercise 4.10-(b).

Problem 6.9

Let \(\alpha > 0\) and consider the Markov chain with state space \({\mathord {\mathbb N}}\) and transition matrix given by

$$ P_{i, i-1} = \frac{1}{\alpha + 1}, \quad P_{i, i+1} = \frac{\alpha }{\alpha + 1}, \qquad i \ge 1. $$

and a reflecting barrier at 0, such that \(P_{0,1}=1\). Compute the mean return times \(\mathrm{I}\! \mathrm{E}[ T^r_k \mid X_0 = k ]\) for \(k\in {\mathord {\mathbb N}}\), and show that the chain is positive recurrent if and only if \(\alpha < 1\).

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Privault, N. (2018). Classification of States. In: Understanding Markov Chains. Springer Undergraduate Mathematics Series. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0659-4_6

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