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Statistical Analysis of Long-Term Temporal Trends of Temperature During 1901–2002 at Kancheepuram in Tamil Nadu (India)

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Water Resources and Environmental Engineering II

Abstract

In recent years, climate change has impacted globally in the form of increased precipitation, rising temperature and sea level, and withdrawal of glaciers, among others. Kancheepuram district falls under the northeastern agroecological zones of Tamil Nadu. Agriculture is the main occupation and is mainly dependent on the monsoon. Since the potential agricultural yields are predicted to decrease for the projected increase in temperature, the aim of the present study is to investigate potential trends in 102 years of temperature. The statistical analyses have been carried out to detect change point if any and the possible trend in monthly, seasonal, and annual historical series of minimum and maximum temperatures between the years 1901 and 2002. The most commonly used Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator test are used to detect the trend in the time series. Pettitt’s test, standard normal homogeneity test are applied to detect possible change points.

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Correspondence to Sathyanathan Rangarajan .

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Rangarajan, S., Thattai, D., Jaiswal, U., Chaurasia, N. (2019). Statistical Analysis of Long-Term Temporal Trends of Temperature During 1901–2002 at Kancheepuram in Tamil Nadu (India). In: Rathinasamy, M., Chandramouli, S., Phanindra, K., Mahesh, U. (eds) Water Resources and Environmental Engineering II. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-2038-5_4

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