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Bosnia: HDZ, SDS, and the Three-Level Game

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The Making of Democrats
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Abstract

When Bosnia’s war ended in 1995, many observers and policymakers—both foreign and domestic —believed that the key to building a durable peace lay in creating a democratic political system. Electoral competition, it was argued, would act as a moderating force on the ethnonationalist parties that had led Bosnia into war.

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Notes

  1. Carl Bildt, Peace Journey: The Struggle for Peace in Bosnia (London: George Weidenfeld and Nicholson, 1999), 254.

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  2. International Crisis Group, Elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina, ICG Report no. 16, 22 September 1996, 13.

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  3. International Crisis Group, Doing Democracy a Disservice: 1998 Elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina, September 9, 1998, 12.

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  4. On the importance of studying not only what are the most desirable institutions in a given context but what are the most likely institutions to be chosen by political actors, see Timothy Sisk’s discussion of the South African transition. Sisk, Democratization in South Africa: The Elusive Social Contract (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995).

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  5. International Crisis Group report, “Bosnia’s November Elections: Dayton Stumbles,” December 8, 2000, 1.

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  6. See OSCE, Electoral Administration Supervisory Commission Decisions, available for each year from 1996–2001 at the OSCE archive, Sarajevo.

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  7. Author interviews, U.S. embassy personnel, Sarajevo, May 2001; See also Carrie Manning, “Elections and Political Change in Post-War Bosnia and Herzegovina,” Democratization 11, no. 2 (April 2004): 60–86.

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  8. See for example International Crisis Group, War Criminals in Bosnia-Herzegovina’s Republika Srpska: Who are the People in Your Neighborhood? Europe Report No. 103, November 2, 2000.

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  9. Dragan Stanimirovic, “Nationalist Parties Confirm their Dominance in Bosnia’s Local Elections, but a Moderate Party in RS Makes Significant Gains,” Transitions Online, October 4, 2004. Available at http://www.tol.cz/.

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  10. Interview with Nerzuk Curak, BiH Dani, October 5, 2006.

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  11. International Crisis Group, Changing Course: Implications of the Divide in Bosnian Croat Politics, Europe Report No. 39, August 13, 1998.

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  12. See International Crisis Group, Changing Course: Implications of the Divide in Bosnian Croat Politics, Europe Report No. 39, August 13, 1998.

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  13. International Crisis Group, Bosnia’s November Elections: Dayton Stumbles, Report No. 104, December 18, 2000, 4.

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  14. For accounts of this episode, see for example Roy Gutman, “Bank Job in a Battle Zone,” Newsweek, April 30, 2001;

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  15. OHR, Decision of the High Representative, March 7, 2001.

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  16. Dragan Stanimirovic, “Nationalist Parties Confirm their Dominance in Bosnia’s Local Elections, but a Moderate Party in RS Makes Significant Gains,” Transitions Online, October 4, 2004.

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  17. See Tim Judah, The Serbs: History, Myth and the Destruction of Yugoslavia (New Haven, CT: Yale Nota Bene, 2000).

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  18. This section is drawn from Carrie Manning, “Elections and Political Change in Post-War Bosnia and Herzegovina,” Democratization 11, no. 2 (April 2004): 60–86.

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  19. For details, see International Crisis Group, Implementing Equality: The ‘Constituent Peoples’ Decision in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Balkans Report no. 128, (16 April 2002).

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  20. Office of the High Representative, “Decision Removing Dr. Dragan Kalinic from his Positions as Chairman of the RSNA and as President of the SDS,” June 29, 2004.

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  21. Agence France Presse, “International Envoy Lifts Freeze on Funding for Serb Nationalist Party,” October 28, 2005.

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  22. Nina Casperson, “Contingent Nationalist Dominance: Intra-Serb Challenges to the Serb Democratic Party,” Nationalities Papers 34, no. 1 (2006): 64.

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  23. See ICG, Bosnia’s November Elections: Dayton Stumbles, Report No. 104, December 18, 2000;

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  24. ICG, Bosnia’s Municipal Elections 2000: Winners and Losers, Report No. 91, April 27, 2000;

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  25. ICG, Republika Srpska—Poplasen, Brcko, and Kosovo: Three Crises and Out? Report No. 62, April 6, 1999;

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  26. ICG, The Wages of Sin: Confronting Bosnia’s Republika Srpska, Report No. 118, October 8, 2001.

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  27. Other accounts of Serb politics in Bosnia are in Robert Thomas, Serbia under Milosevic: Politics in the 1990s (London: Hurst and Company, 1999),

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  28. Tim Judah, The Serbs: History, Myth, and the Destruction of Yugoslavia (New Haven, CT: Yale/Nota Bene, 2000).

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© 2008 Carrie Manning

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Manning, C. (2008). Bosnia: HDZ, SDS, and the Three-Level Game. In: The Making of Democrats. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230611160_4

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